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TheNYT’s needle initially showed Clinton with an 85 percent chance of victory, but then the needle began lurching toward Trump, one editor told Pompeo. “[Y]ou could tell who was watching, because they were the ones who started getting distraught … There were people crying in the newsroom that night,” the person said. The change comes as poll numbers are increasingly tightening ahead of Tuesday’s midterm election. Democrats and Republicans are essentially tied in the roughly 30 House districts rated as toss-ups by the Cook Political Report, which relied on 10,000 interviews for its conclusion.

The Evening Campaign Update (Because The Campaign Never Ends) [I will be live-blogging the mid-term election results here starting at 6:00 p.m. Central Time Tuesday. Please join me in the comments section for tons of fun as the results either make me look like the smartest guy on the planet or a damn fool. Could go either way.] Some pro tips for Election Night Results-Watching: We may have a very good idea on how the House balance of power will end up fairly early in the evening. – A large number of the “tossup” seats in this election are in...

Been Looking at data from TargetSamart , mostly in the states of GA, FL, TX, CA and CO. In states that are competitive, the Democrats have been turning out "Unmarried, Female, Infrequent Voters". The Republicans have been turning out "Older, Highly Motivated, Male Voters" I know who I thinks going to win ...

Dragging into its fourth week, all signs are on that the migrant caravan is falling apart. According to the Associated Press: ISLA, Mexico – A 4,000-strong caravan of Central American migrants traveling through Mexico split up into several groups with one spending the night in a town in the coastal state of Veracruz and other migrants continuing toward the country's capital. The divisions came during a tense day in which tempers flared and some migrants argued with caravan organizers and criticized Mexican officials. How did it happen?  Obviously, someone promised them something for free and then didn't pay up.  This is about what you'd expect when someone...

The Campaign Update Week in Review (Because The Campaign Never Ends) Hey! There’s an election tomorrow! I will be live-blogging it here starting at 6:00 p.m. Central Time. Please join me in the comments section for tons of fun as the results either make me look like the smartest guy on the planet or a damn fool. Could go either way. Get out and vote for Republicans. – If you haven’t already done so, get your sorry but out to the polls tomorrow and vote Republican. Period. There is nothing to think about here. Just find that “Straight Republican” button...

“They’ve been nervous since day one. Since I declared my candidacy in April 2017, they’ve been nervous. And it shows right now. Nancy Pelosi has spent well over half-a-million dollars in the last week to try and distort my campaign,” the Republican nominee in New Hampshire’s 1st Congressional District said Saturday...It’s one of the precious few Democrat-held seats Republicans have a chance at flipping, from blue to red. Those open races include battles for Minnesota's 8th District seat, held by a retiring Democratic incumbent; Minnesota's 1st, where incumbent Democrat Tim Walz is running for governor; and Nevada's 3rd, where incumbent...

The Campaign Update Week in Review (Because The Campaign Never Ends) President Donald Trump was in both Montana and Florida for rallies on Saturday. Think about that for a minute: He’s based in Washington, D.C. He gets up in the morning, gets his daily security briefing, then hops on Marine One – after chatting with the hostile fake news media for a little bit – which takes him to Joint Base Andrews. There, he boards Air Force One for the 5-hour flight out to Belgrade, Montana. He spends an hour speaking to an audience of thousands of Montanans – with...

Today’s Campaign Update (Because The Campaign Never Ends) Sitting here on a Saturday morning wondering when Oprah and Barack are going to go up to Michigan to campaign on behalf of the single most-qualified candidate for the U.S. senate running anywhere in this election. That would be John James, a black man, who is running against the execrable Debbie Stabenow, a white woman. Ok, silly me – James is a Republican, so he doesn’t qualify as being “black” in the world of Oprah and Barack. Speaking of America’s Biggest Mistake… – A day after the Oprah campaigned on behalf of...

Wow: The last big jobs report before Election Day brought unadulterated excellent news. Year-over-year wage growth above 3 percent for the first time in nearly a decade. Payrolls adding 250,000 new jobs, well above expectations. Unemployment unchanged at 3.7 percent, a 49-year low — and the rate would have dropped, except that more people returned to the labor force. That last is huge, for two reasons: l  First, it means Americans who had given up hope of finding work are back in the fight. That’s a major plus for society. l  Second, it suggests that the nation isn’t up against...

Today’s Campaign Update (Because The Campaign Never Ends) Fake Beto supports the fake “migrant caravan” with real campaign funds. – Project Veritas released a new video overnight that shows staffers for Irish Bob O’Rourke illegally using campaign funds to pay for transportation and supplies for the fake “migrant caravan” that is slowly making its way up through Mexico. Here are a few quotes from staffers that appear in the video: “I just hope nobody that’s the wrong person finds out about this,” says one staffer about sending supplies to the caravan members. “It’s f***ing happening.” exclaims a staffer when discussing...

(AP) – The United States is pumping record amounts of oil, vaulting over Russia to become the world’s biggest producer of crude. The Energy Information Administration said Thursday that the U.S. produced more than 11.3 million barrels a day in August, a 4 percent increase over the old record set in July. Russia’s energy ministry estimates that country pumped 11.2 million barrels a day in August. OPEC reports Saudi Arabia pumped 10.4 million barrels a day It’s the first time since 1973 that the U.S. leads the world in oil production. in August including Texas, which accounts for about 40...

RealClearPolitics has 204 "safe" seats for the Democrats and 197 "safe" seats for the Republicans. They have 34 seats in the tossup category. Based on a reasonable analysis, I predict Democrats win 7 and Republicans win 27. The totals for the next Congress being, Democrats 211 and Republicans 224. Republicans lose a total of 17 seats from 2016 high.

Steven Clifford, author and former CEO of the King Broadcasting Company and National Mobile Television, told PJM that the federal government should “prohibit straight white males from voting” in U.S. elections as a way to “save” democracy. “I think it’s the only hope for democracy in America and I will be leading a great movement to prohibit straight white males, who I believe supported Donald Trump by about 85 percent, from exercising the franchise and I think that will save our democracy,” Clifford said during an interview after speaking at the forum “Destroying the Myths of Market Fundamentalism,” which was...

Today’s Campaign Update (Because The Campaign Never Ends) Fake news media declares Luis Bracamontes to be a “race”. – President Trump tweeted out a video on Wednesday featuring admitted, convicted multi-murderer Luis Bracamontes on Wednesday, and naturally our fake news media immediately declared the President’s tweet to be the worst thing any person in the history of mankind has ever done. This declaration becomes the 14,982nd time President Donald Trump (I never tire of typing those glorious words) has done something that our fake news media has declared to be the worst thing any person in the history of mankind...

“So today the president proposed doing away with birthright citizenship, the constitutional right that any child born in the United States automatically becomes an American citizen,” Todd said. The tone of Todd’s narrative exposing his contempt for President Trump. “Now what the president really is proposing is that we stop talking about bombs sent to his political opponents by a political supporter,” he continued. “That we stop talking about whether a mass murderer was somehow influenced by his words or policy proposals.

The Evening Campaign Update (Because The Campaign Never Ends) One of my Twitter followers sent me a private message today asking “how can you vote for some of these Republicans?” Seriously? You have to ask me that? My answer was very simple: “Because they aren’t Democrats.” That was several hours ago, and I haven’t heard back from this person. Frankly, I expect she will un-follow me by the end of the day. Why would I ever vote for another Democrat? It’s a serious question. This is a political party that has over the last three years done everything it can...

Today’s Campaign Update (Because The Campaign Never Ends) Well, now we know why he was transferred. – Infamous Boston Gangster Whitey Bulger was transferred to a new, maximum security prison in Virginia on Tuesday. There, he was beaten to death by several mob-connected inmates before 9:00 a.m. That’s some security right there. Another media narrative epic fail. – Despite the best efforts of our fake news media to lay the blame for the fake pipe bomber solely at President Donald Trump’s feet over the last week, a new poll taken by the ultra-leftwing Huffington Post shows that only 24% of...

I raise this as a serious question -- Was that it? The fake bombs sent to democrats that weren't at their address and the bombs didn't explode -- Seriously, was that the democrats October surprise, did the left put all of its eggs into that basket. Is there a sane, rational, intelligent person that believes that that wasn’t a set up? Is there another “snake in the woodpile” so to speak that they are preparing to unleash? Sex? A video? Another 9th circuit ruling? Another mob? What is next? What does the left have in it's pathetic bag of tricks?...

Today’s Campaign Update (Because The Campaign Never Ends) I’m convinced she’s a vampire – she’s never going away. – The Pantsuit Princess was in the news yet again on Monday, doing some public sit down talk before an audience of overpaying suckers. Looking as if she was enjoying the relaxing effects of some sort of prescription medication, she had this to say when the moderator mis-identified Eric Holder as Cory Booker: Matt Batzel ✔ @MattBatzel Wow. Hillary tries to crack joke after Moderator confuses Eric Holder and Cory Booker: “I know they all look alike” pic.twitter.com/K1BpdShf8k #maga 4:12 PM -...

Speaking exclusively to Fox News on Monday, vulnerable incumbent Missouri Democratic Sen. Claire McCaskill dropped the names of two high-profile colleagues, Elizabeth Warren and Bernie Sanders, when asked to identify the "crazy Democrats" from whom her campaign has distanced itself in recent days. McCaskill said she wouldn't call the two "crazy," but noted they had disagreements with each other. **SNIP** When Baier asked if McCaskill had any "crazy" colleagues in the Senate, McCaskill referenced Massachusetts Sen. Elizabeth Warren, considered a potential 2020 presidential contender. "Well, I would say this," McCaskill replied. "I would not call my colleagues crazy, but Elizabeth...