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🇺🇲 NEW NATIONAL POLL PRES: (R) Trump 46% (+4) (D) Biden 42% --- (D) Biden 43% (+4) (R) DeSantis 39% —— GOP PRES: Trump 67% (+57) DeSantis 10% Ramaswamy 10% Haley 4% Pence 4% —— GEN. BALLOT: DEM 44% (+1) GOP 43% —— @claritycampaign (Dem) | LVs | 9/20-25 https://static1.squarespace.com/static/61ae8d5e55be5c7314b4c83a/t/651b174c0e30a96b37667612/1696274255301/Clarity+Omnibus+Overview+-+September+2023.pdf

Former President Trump leads Joe Biden by 10 points in a hypothetical 2024 presidential election match-up in Nevada, according to a new poll. According to official tallies, Trump lost the state in 2020 and 2016. Democratic Presidential candidates have carried Nevada in every election since 2008 when Barrack Obama flipped the state blue. Prior to that, the state had gone for George W. Bush in 2000 and 2004. The state could soon flip back red, however, according to a new Blueprint Polling survey that was published last Friday. According to Blueprint, 44.1% of likely voters back Trump while Biden is...

Donald Trump issued a harsh directive for fellow members of his party: Be quiet or I’ll be forced to lead alone. Speaking in the historic Fox Theater in Atlanta, Georgia, Trump appeared to be fed up with leadership of the party he will likely lead into the November election. "You know, the Republicans, honestly folks, our leaders, our leaders have to get tougher. This is too tough to do it alone. But you know what, I think I’m going to be forced to. I think I am going to be forced to, our leaders have to get a lot tougher,”...

Poll average shows @realDonaldTrump holds the lead in Arizona. Trump 36% Cruz 21.5% Kasich 11.5%

Despite the Republican establishment’s “#NeverTrump” movement against the party’s presidential primary front-runner, Donald Trump’s campaign is positioned to advance this month. Trump might even gain enough delegates by the end of March to reach the halfway point of the 1,237 needed to win the GOP presidential nomination on the first ballot. Going into the week of March 7, Trump has 385 delegates versus 300 for Sen. Ted Cruz. Cruz has surged since last Thursday’s Fox News debate, splitting with Trump the GOP elections held on Saturday. Cruz won the Kansas and Maine caucuses, while Trump took the primary contests in...

A solid Mississippi poll (full pdf below including crosstabs) shows candidate Donald Trump with a significant lead in the state. [The Mississippi Primary is Tuesday March 8th] State polling results show Donald Trump 41%, Ted Cruz 17% and Marco Rubio 16%. Results from a statewide poll commissioned by Y’allPolitics and conducted by Magellan Strategies BR on Monday evening show that Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton both hold commanding leads heading into next week’s presidential primaries. Remarkably, both Trump and Clinton were winning not only by wide margins, but also across most every demographic and voter type. On the Republican side,...

Fox 2 Detroit|Michigan Poll: Donald Trump 42% Ted Cruz 19% Marco Rubio 15% John Kasich 14%

Kentucky GOP POLL/OANN: Trump 50% Cruz 23% Rubio 18%

Louisiana GOP POLL/OANN Trump 48% Cruz 31% Rubio 15%

Super Tuesday poll shows Donald Trump leads in Tennessee, Georgia; Cruz ahead in Texas

Even as Marco Rubio and Ted Cruz escalate their attacks on Donald Trump, next week's cascade of Super Tuesday contests offers the GOP front-runner a unique opportunity to simultaneously weaken, and perhaps disable, his principal competitors on separate battlefields of a two-front war. On one side, Trump could deal a crushing blow to Cruz, the Texas senator, across a series of Southern and Border States, from Alabama and Arkansas to Tennessee and Oklahoma, that are dominated by evangelical and blue-collar voters. On the other front, polls show Trump leading in mostly white-collar, far less evangelical states including Vermont, Massachusetts, and...

"We Ask America" Illinois GOP Presidential Primary Poll: Trump 38.44% Rubio 21.21% Cruz 15.87%

Republican primary front-runner Donald Trump has widened his lead in Oklahoma, according to a new poll. The poll by Cole Hargrave Snodgrass and Associates finds Trump leading the state with 29 percent support, followed by Marco Rubio with 21 percent and Ted Cruz with 20 percent. Ben Carson places fourth in the poll with 6 percent, followed by John Kasich with 5 percent. Trump is up 5 points since the last version the poll two weeks ago, while Cruz has dropped 5 points over that same span. The poll comes a week ahead of the state's March 1 primary. Pollster...

Donald Trump romped to an easy win in the South Carolina primary by being "ruthlessly honest" and reassembling the coalition of voters that gave Ronald Reagan two landslide presidential wins. That's the analysis of former South Carolina Republican Party Chairman Van Hipp, who is also the author of "The New Terrorism: How to Fight It and Defeat It." On Saturday, Trump claimed all 50 Republican delegates at stake by winning statewide and in each of the Palmetto State's congressional districts. Trump scored more than 32 percent of the vote. Marco Rubio edged Ted Cruz for second, but both were 10...

With Donald Trump's victory in the South Carolina primary, many GOP pundits are beating the drums for other candidates to drop out of the race under the theory that a two- or three-person race would be the end of Trump's presidential campaign. But Ted Cruz, Marco Rubio, John Kasich, and Ben Carson might need more than everyone else's dropping out in order to beat Trump in the primaries. They'll have to present their own affirmative visions and, probably, address some of the populist concerns that have elevated Trump. It doesn't seem quite clear that winnowing the field will necessarily spell...

Businessman Donald Trump led the six-candidate GOP field, with 28 percent of those who said they would vote in the Illinois Republican primary, well ahead of the 15 percent who preferred Texas Sen. Ted Cruz. Close behind were Florida Sen. Marco Rubio (14 percent) and Ohio Gov. John Kasich (13 percent). Bush and retired surgeon Ben Carson were in the single digits, at 8 percent and 6 percent, respectively. The remaining respondents said they either did not know (15 percent) or would vote for someone else (1 percent). The sample of 306 Republicans was part of a statewide poll of...

1 Month to NC Presidential Primary, Trump Atop Rubio and Cruz; Clinton Well Ahead of Sanders; General Election Head-To-Head Matchups Favor Republicans if Clinton is the Democratic Nominee: 2 weeks till voting begins in the North Carolina presidential primary and 4 weeks until votes are counted, Donald Trump remains the Republican front-runner, according to SurveyUSA polling conducted exclusively for Time Warner Cable News North Carolina. But: By the time North Carolina's primary ballots are counted 03/15/16, Trump may be the only Republican left in the race, Trump may have splintered off to launch a 3rd-party bid for the White House,...

Trump 35% Kasich 17% Cruz 12% Rubio 12% Carson 9%

On the Republican side, Donald Trump led the GOP field with roughly 33 percent of the vote, followed by Marco Rubio and John Kasich at 14 percent each. Clark isn't surprised by Trump's popularity in Vermont. "I think Vermont has that independent streak that having the nomenclature of establishment candidate isn't going to sway a lot of Vermont voters," he says. The poll also shows that the GOP race is still very fluid. Roughly half of all people who plan to vote in the Republican primary say they might change their mind before March 1. Clark says it's clear that...

"Ted Cruz Overtakes Donald Trump in Latest Republican Presidential Poll" - that's the headline of the Wall Street Journal, citing its joint national poll with NBC, the results released yesterday. The subhead is, "Texas senator leads businessman 28 to 26 percent nationally." Really? The national survey was completed February 14-16, entirely after the South Carolina debate on Saturday night (February 13) when Donald Trump went, as they say, "over the top" in accusing former President George W. Bush of being a liar about the Iraq War. Perhaps that hurt Trump's national standing among Republicans. And while this poll was in...