Free Republic

President Donald Trump. It's fair to say pollsters, political commentators and experts on both sides of the Atlantic didn't believe they would ever see that. And neither did I. If you listened to us all on the airwaves it was clear that most believed common sense would prevail and prevent someone so polarising and unpredictable being elected to the most powerful office in the world. But there was one expert in a TV studio that, if it had had a voice, would have been saying something like "I told you so". EagleAi was designed and built by Havas for ITV...

John McLaughlin, a pollster for Donald Trump, on Sunday partly attributed the businessman's win in the presidential election to polls that showed him behind for most of the campaign. McLaughlin compared Trump's victory to the come-from-behind campaign of Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu last year, saying there were a number of similarities between the races. "We don't want to be ahead. Because if we are ahead, all of the sudden the psychology changes, the media focus attack on us even more so than they were doing," McLaughlin said in an interview with radio host John Catsimatidis. "But there is an...

Voter demographic data for 2016 were collected by Edison Research for the National Election Pool, a consortium of ABC News, The Associated Press, CBS News, CNN, Fox News and NBC News. The voter survey is based on questionnaires completed by 24,537 voters leaving 350 voting places throughout the United States on Election Day including 4,398 telephone interviews with early and absentee voters.

Americans who had cast their votes for the next president early on Tuesday appeared to be worried about the direction of the country, and were looking for a "strong leader who can take the country back from the rich and powerful," according to an early reading from the Reuters/Ipsos national Election Day poll. The poll of more than 10,000 people who have already cast their ballots in the presidential election showed a majority of voters are worried about their ability to get ahead and have little confidence in political parties or the media to improve their situation. A majority also...

Click the link or first comment. Print it out before you go to the polls.Make AMERICA Great Again!

The latest Florida polls show Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump in a dead heat just one day before the general election. According to CBS News, the presidential nominees are tied in Ohio and in Florida, two key battleground states that will help determine who becomes the next POTUS. Trump has trailed previously in these states, though not by much, but the latest polls indicate that both states could end up going red on Tuesday. “In Ohio and Florida the races are tight and the trend line is toward Donald Trump. Trump has the narrowest of leads — up one point...

Republican nominee Donald Trump is leading over Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton by two points, according to the Investor’s Business Daily (IBD) national poll published Monday. Trump’s reversal is due primarily to his increasing support from women voters. Clinton still leads among women 43 percent, but Trump overcame a double-digit deficit in the poll, and is only trailing 3 points behind the Democratic nominee. Clinton lost one point, bring her down to 42 percent in Sunday’s poll, while Trump remained stable at 43 percent in the daily tracking poll. Libertarian candidate Gary Johnson earned 6 percent of the vote, and Green...

Eva Resnick-Day had seen Hillary Clinton campaigning before. At a political event in March, the environmental activist had a sharp, if brief, exchange with the Democratic presidential nominee over campaign support from the fossil-fuel industry. But when Ms. Clinton held a rally at Heinz Field on Friday Ms. Resnick-Day was there as a supporter. “The window to act on climate change is so narrow,” she said. And unlike Republican Donald Trump, Ms. Clinton hasn’t dismissed climate change as a hoax. “Having a climate-change denier as president is unacceptable,” Ms. Resnick-Day said. Activists like Ms. Resnick-Day, along with black voters and...

Reading the Early Vote Can Be Screwy, But in Florida the Trump Camp Has Reason to Be Optimistic Compared to 2012, early voting indicates Donald Trump heads into Election Day in far better shape than Mitt Romney, while Hillary Clinton lags Barack Obama. We have cautioned our readers not to read too much into early and absentee ballot returns–the reasons why were laid out by Sean Trende at RCP–but since the media made such a splash about the “surge” in Hispanic voting in Florida on Saturday we feel the need to shine some light during what has become the Dark...

Are the expert election prognosticators seeing some signs in the chicken entrails which tell them that Donald Trump actually has a chance of being elected? I mean, only three weeks ago Charlie Cook was literally saying that the race was over. Clinton had not only already won, but she was probably going to have a landslide of historic proportions. But now, in the final 48 hours, some folks are changing their tune… at least a bit. (Washington Post) With hours until Election Day, the wildest U.S. presidential race in memory has grown more competitive in most of the battleground states,...

Hillary Clinton is one state away from losing the presidential election, FiveThirtyEight's Nate Silver said Sunday. While the Democratic presidential nominee has a 65.7 percent chance of winning the presidency on Tuesday, she is not "in a terribly safe position," the pollster said on ABC's "This Week." "The electoral map is actually less solid for Clinton than it was for Obama four years ago," Silver said. Silver came to notoriety by correctly predicting President Obama's victories in 2008 and 2012. Clinton is weaker among Midwestern voters, while Obama had leads in states like Ohio....

Trump had spotted the protester and claimed he was a Hillary Clinton supporter before asking security to 'take him out.' Secret Service grabbed Trump and rush him off stage to the side, while the protester with possible gun was tackled to ground by security and attendees.

Very interesting interview: 1) FL closing because of late-breaking Hispanics, Trump wins 2) NC gone. "Privately Hillary's people tell me they know NC is out of reach." 3) NV close, "Busloads of Hispanics coming in, we have it very close, but Trump getting more Hispanics than anyone realizes and is winning indies there" (forget his number) 4) Overall he said Trump was +7 with indies 5) MI "VERY close. Very close. Trump 2:1 with indies there, black vote down." 6) PA "Depends on black turnout. Blacks don't seem "stoked about voting" but may vote. Trump will win whites, indies. 7)...

Link only due to copyright issues: http://www.bloomberg.com/politics/articles/2016-11-04/trump-shows-early-voting-strength-in-ohio-iowa-in-closing-days

A definite and early sign that Trump will win will be the gap in the first few states that call in their totals. Lets say its Iowa,Indiana,South Carolina,Michigan and one more in middle America. Trump wins all of them handily,either a 65/35 or 60/40 clear victory. This would prove what we have all been suspicious of regarding the skewed polls. ABC and CNN in particular will lose all credibility.

Renowned statistician Nate Silver warned Friday that new polling could indicate trouble for Hillary Clinton as the 2016 race for the White House enters its final days. “There’s been a potential breach of Hillary Clinton’s electoral firewall,” Silver wrote on his data-journalism publication, FiveThirtyEight. Silver was referring to the so-called blue wall — states that have reliably voted for Democrats in the past several election cycles — and other states which have solidly been in Clinton’s court throughout the cycle. Specifically, Silver pointed to New Hampshire where polls have increasingly narrowed. Three polls released on Thursday showed Donald Trump at...

Good reference source heading into the final weekend leading into the Presidential Election

If the polls closed right at this moment (which they won't) and if the results in each state perfectly mirrored the current RealClearPolitics average of polls in each state (which they won't), Hillary Clinton would be elected president by an electoral college margin of 8 votes. From her high in the polls a week or two ago, Clinton's leads in a number of critical battleground states have collapsed or evaporated entirely. The election could come down to one state with four electoral college votes that flips from Clinton to Donald Trump and, boom: A 269-269 electoral college tie, and a...

The furor over the FBI probe of Hillary Clinton’s emails is helping Donald Trump among independent voters in key swing states. In Wisconsin, a state that for months has been seen as safe Democratic turf, a new Marquette Law School poll released Wednesday found a shift in independent voters’ views. Many moved toward Trump after the FBI said Friday it was again probing Clinton’s use of a private email system for government business. In Florida, a new CNN/ORC survey of Florida voters had Clinton up 2 and Quinnipiac had her up 1. Trump was leading among independent voters, 46-40, Quinnipiac...

Donald Trump edges Hillary Clinton by just one point in New Hampshire with less than a week remaining before Election Day, a new poll finds. Trump beats Clinton 40% to 39%, in the latest survey of likely voters from WBUR. Clinton led Trump by three points in WBUR’s prior poll, on Oct. 12. The new survey was taken Saturday through Tuesday, after Federal Bureau of Investigation Director James Comey said the agency was examining new emails related to its probe of Clinton’s private server. Other New Hampshire polls, meanwhile, have given Clinton the lead, as the RealClearPolitics average shows. McConnell’s...