Free Republic

Tropical Depression 10 has formed between the Yucatan Peninsula and the Western Tip of Cuba. Governor DeSantis issued a state of emergency for 33 Florida counties in advance of the system. Mash graphics to enlarge. All graphics and links are self-updating NHC Public AdvisoriesNHC Discussions

Several of the attorneys who spearheaded President Donald Trump’s frenzied effort to overturn the results of the 2020 election tried, and failed, to collect payment for the work they did for Trump’s political operation, despite the fact that their lawsuits and false claims of election interference helped the Trump campaign and allied committees raise $250 million in the weeks following the November vote. Among them was Trump’s closest ally, former New York mayor Rudy Giuliani. Trump and Giuliani had a handshake agreement that Giuliani and his team would get paid by the Trump political operation for their post-election work, according...

The late-blooming 2022 Atlantic Tropical Storm season is making up for lost time. A tropical system has developed in the Central Caribbean Sea. This storm system is forecast to threaten continental U.S. interests next week. While the tropical wave passed south of a key geographic area known as Hebert's Box #1, it will very likely pass through Hebert's Box #2. These boxes are useful as predictors of hurricanes that will strike South Florida. For more information about Hebert's Boxes, see Hebert Box. See graphic below which illustrated the Hebert's Boxes. Mash the graphics below to enlarge. All links and images...

Day two of the Atlantic Tropical Storm Season: Potential Tropical Cyclone One, the tropical system which would be Alex is likely to become a tropical depression or tropical storm while it moves slowly northeastward over the northwestern Caribbean Sea and southeastern Gulf of Mexico during the next day or two. The tropical system is somewhat unusual because it originally made landfall along the E Pacific Coast of Mexico as a Category 2 hurricane named Agatha. The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories. Gulf of Mexico Satellite ChannelsFlorida Radar Loop Public AdvisoriesBuoy Data GOM

Tropical Storm Nicholas has formed in the SW Gulf of Mexico Mash the graphics below to enlarge. All links and images are self-updating. GOES Satellite NHC Public Advisories NHC Discussions Tropical Tidbits by Levi CowanKHOU.com Houston Local FOX4 Beaumont Beaumont/Port Arthur Local KPLC.com Lake Charles Local

Ida became a tropical storm over the West-Central Caribbean Sea. Initial forecast model guidance predicts landfall as a hurricane in the North-Central Gulf of Mexico. Mash the graphics below to enlarge. All links and images are self-updating. GOES Satellite Floater NHC Public Advisories NHC Forecast Discussions Buoy Info Tropical Tidbits by Levi Cowan NWS Radar Local News Sources: NOLA.com New Orleans Local WWLTV.com New Orleans Local KPLC.com Lake Charles Local WLOX.com Biloxi MS Local FOX4 Beaumont Beaumont/Port Arthur Local KHOU.com Houston Local

Henri formed in the mid-Atlantic. After initially following a loopy southward and westward track, Henri is forecast to move northward toward New England. Mash the graphics below to enlarge. All links and images are self-updating. GOES Satellite Floater NHC Public Advisories NHC Forecast Discussions Buoy Info Tropical Tidbits by Levi Cowan NWS Radar

The nineteenth named storm of the busy 2020 Atlantic Hurricane season developed off the southern Florida peninsula. The storm track forecast carries Sally across the southern FL peninsula into the Gulf of Mexico. Mash the graphics below to enlarge. All links and images are self-updating. NHC Public Advisories NHC Forecast Discussions NWS Local StatementsKey West Radar LoopMobile AL Radar LoopNew Orleans Radar Loop Buoy Obs Near Storm Track

Cristobal has started to move toward the Gulf of Mexico after stalling over Campeche Mexico. Tropical Storm and storm surge watches have been issued along the Northern Gulf of Mexico coast. Most of the convection is located to the east of the storm. Satellite Imagery NHC Public Advisories NHC Discussions New Orleans Radar Loop Lake Charles LA Radar Loop Mobile AL Radar Loop Houston/Galveston TX Radar Loop Buoy Data with Storm Track overlay

Hurricane Dorian battered St. Thomas in the U.S. Virgin Islands, and brushing Puerto Rico. Taking aim at the Florida Atlantic Coastline, Hurricane Dorian is projected to be a major hurricane (Category 3) at landfall. Satellite Imagery Dorian NHC Public Advisories NHC Discussions Florida Radar Loop (with storm track overlay) Buoy Data with Storm Track overlay

Major Hurricane Michael is churning toward the northeastern Gulf of Mexico coast. Florida Governor Rick Scott declared a state of emergency Monday for 35 counties with mandatory coastal evacuations in the FL Panhandle. 1,250 National Guard troops are aiding the process and more than 4,000 more placed on standby. FEMA is already on the ground in Florida; other federal agencies are also preparing to assist people in the storm's path. Alabama Gov. Kay Ivey on Monday declared a state of emergency for the entire state. Georgia Governor Nathan Deal issued a state of emergency for 92 counties ahead of Hurricane...

Tropical Storm Mitchell: The NHC has issued a Public Advisory Update indicating Tropical Storm Mitchell has formed about 90 miles South of Cozumel, Mexico. Current forecast predicts Mitchell will reach hurricane strength in the Gulf of Mexico before making landfall in the Northern GOM. Landfall is estimated by 96 hours. Gulf of Mexico Satellite ChannelsPublic AdvisoriesNHC Discussions NHC Local Weather Statements/Radar Key West FLNHC Local Weather Statements/Radar New Orleans, LANHC Local Weather Statements/Radar Mobile AL/Pensacola FLNHC Local Weather Statements/Radar Panama City, FLNHC Local Weather Statements/Radar Tallahassee, FLNHC Local Weather Statements/Radar Tampa Bay, FL

The National Hurricane Center has been issuing advisories for Hurricane Florence since August 30. The five day "Cone of Uncertainty" archive progression since Aug. 30 may be found here. As the super-size storm named Florence approached the U.S. Atlantic Coast, stories abound of people who are refusing to evacuate barrier islands. The 82nd Airborne has relocated all of its assets, while FEMA is using Fort Bragg as a major staging area for post-storm supplies, including meals, water and cots. Fort Jackson (Columbia SC) has cancelled events including basic training graduation to prepare for military and civilian evacuees from coastal locations....

September 10 is the statistical peak of the Atlantic Tropical Storm season, and the conga line of storms dancing across the Atlantic is not disappointing historical data. The Governors of NC and SC have declared states of emergency for a potential major hurricane landfall, while Hurricane Florence is slowly creeping westward. Florence is predicted to increase forward motion and intensity Monday. Hurricanes Hazel (1954) and Hugo (1989) are two notorious major hurricanes to make landfall in NC and SC, respectively. North Carolina has prior experience with "F" named hurricanes. Hurricanes Fran (1996) and Floyd (1999) caused widespread flooding and damage...

The 2018 Atlantic Tropical Storm season is off to an early start with Subtropical Storm Alberto. Gradual strengthening is forecast until the system reaches the northern Gulf Coast by Monday night. Rainfall totals of 5 to 10 inches with maximum amounts of 15 inches are possible along the track of Alberto from eastern Louisiana, across much of Mississippi, Alabama, western Tennessee and the western Florida panhandle. Rainfall totals of 3 to 5 inches with maximum totals of 8 inches possible from the southern Appalachians into the coastal southeast. Mash image to find lots of satellite imagery linksPublic AdvisoriesNHC DiscussionsFL Radar...

While thoughts and prayers are with our Texas FRiends and neighbors, we are at the peak of the Atlantic Tropical Storm season. Hurricane Irma continues its trek from Cape Verde across the pond and toward the Hebert Box (see below). People with interests in the Southeastern U.S. and Gulf of Mexico should be alert to the forecast path updates for this powerful storm. It is important to note that the average NHC track errors are about 175 and 225 statute miles at days 4 and 5, respectively. Hurricane Irma originally had a small wind field. In the past 24 hours,...

Hurricane Harvey made landfall near Rockport TX about 10:00PM CDT Friday night. Top sustained winds were 130mph. Rockport High School sustained heavy damage when a portion of the roof collapsed. A senior housing complex collapsed. The Rockport courthouse sustained major damage with “a cargo trailer halfway in the building.” Multiple tornadoes reported in the Houston/Galveston areas. There are reports of scattered structural fires and a shooting was reported in Corpus Christi. Residents along the San Bernard River were advised to evacuate and most TX Gulf coast counties are under flash flood watches. Many locations are under a boil-water notice. Power...

Hurricane Matthew is big, bad and just downright scary, and we await the long anticipated sharp turn northward. Jamaica is completing final storm preparations. All interests in the Eastern U.S. and Bahamas should be carefully watching the track of Mighty Matthew. Ripped straight from the NHC Discussion page: Matthew remains south of a low-to mid-level ridge over the western Atlantic. The dynamical models forecast this ridge to weaken over the next 72 hours as a mid- to upper-level trough develops over the Gulf of Mexico. This evolution should cause Matthew to turn northwestward after 24 hours and northward by 48-72...

Joe Bastardi @BigJoeBastardi · 6m I am worried this can get to cat 3 by July 4..we have it as a 2. But to put in perspective, Able, MAY 1951 was cat 3 off NC.

Late season Hurricane Sandy churning poleward off the Eastern U.S. coast. Sea Surface TempsPublic AdvisoriesNHC Tropical DiscussionsSatellite ImagesBuoy Data: Current Observations