Free Republic

The rhetoric in Washington DC and the media is … silly. Here is a chart of Federal government receipts and Federal government expenditure on interest for Treasury debt. fedrecifedint Does that look like the US can’t afford to pay its debt? Of course not. The problems is the voracious spending in DC which no one seemingly wants to stop. Now, if I plot Federal government current receipts against Federal government current expenditures, we see a different picture: its the spending that’s the problem. govtrevexp You can see in the picture that the much vaunted reduction in the deficit was a...

U.S. Treasury Secretary Jacob J. Lew warned Congress that “uncertainty” over the debt limit is starting to stress financial markets and trying to time an increase to the last minute “could be very dangerous.” Lew was speaking in testimony prepared for a hearing before the Senate Finance Committee today. debtceilgst But not the growth rate in debt or entitlements? Obamacare and other entitlements will lead to even more explosive debt growth in the US. debtprojection7 The US and much of the world has already been experiencing explosive debt in both the public and private sectors. See this link for a...

As former Reagan adviser David Stockman said about Obamacare, “It is a massive entitlement to end all entitlements.” But housing is an entitlement as well. Last week, no less than 63 members of the House and 13 Senators wrote to Financial Housing Finance Administration chief Ed Demarco demanding that he not lower the maximum loan limit for mortgages guaranteed by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. In earlier correspondence to DeMarco, first reported by National Mortgage News, National Association of Realtors (NAR) President Gary Thomas questioned the legality of FHFA reducing the loan limits at this time. “Our nation’s housing market...

I have discussed the declining labor force participation and M2 Money Velocity before. Nothing has been the same since 2000. m2velolfp And real median household income has also shrank since 2000. realmedhinc There are not good economic conditions for a thriving housing market or mortgage market. But throw on some color from declining labor force participation, and we have an uh-oh! moment. Let’s start with the number of full-time workers. Usually work full-time is at 116,208 thousand. usuallywork The number of people on Social Security is now 57,554 thousand. ssnumb That is a ratio of full-time workers to Social Security...

The Social Security Administration has begun warning the public it cannot guarantee full benefit payments if the debt ceiling isn’t increased. When asked by the public, the agency is notifying beneficiaries that “Unlike a federal shutdown which has no impact on the payment of Social Security benefits, failure to raise the debt ceiling puts Social Security benefits at risk,” according to a person familiar with the agency directive. The warning was assembled after the agency consulted with the Treasury Department, which would play a lead role in determining how the government handles payments if the borrowing limit isn’t raised soon....

After the housing crash of 2008, millions of US borrowers were suddenly plunged into a negative equity position of their homes where the amount they owed to lenders exceeded the value of the property. The problem was so bad that it has motivated cities to consider eminent domain to seize the underwater debt of borrowers (as in Richmond and San Bernardino California). Here is a recent map of negative equity from Zillow. zillowmapofnegeq These borrowers have nothing on Uncle Sam. Uncle Sam now owes $17 trillion to bondholders. GFDEBTN_Max_630_378 (3) Currently, Uncle Sam has public debt equal to 100.46% of...

Many pragmatic House Republicans have come to a simple conclusion: Navigating their way out of this fiscal mess won’t be easy. They think their best chance to fund the government, raise the debt ceiling and extract any concession from President Barack Obama is to strike a big budget deal. Yes, the grand bargain is back. It’s about the only common thread these days that runs from House Republican leadership down through the rank and file. Most House Republicans privately concede they’re fighting a battle they’re unlikely to win, and to avoid a prolonged shutdown and a disastrous debt default,...

President Barack Obama warned Thursday that as bad as the government shutdown is, a failure to raise the debt ceiling would be even more damaging to the U.S. economy, and called on congressional Republicans to end their “irresponsibility” on both issues. “As reckless as a government shutdown is … an economic shutdown that results from default would be dramatically worse,” Obama said on the morning of the third day of the government shutdown, at an event held at M. Luis Construction Company in the D.C. suburb of Rockville, Md. The president had on Wednesday warned Wall Street that “this time’s...

NEW YORK (MainStreet) — The 2013 Long-Term Budget Outlook released by the Congressional Budget Office (CBO) September 17 does not bode well for those who want to see decreasing deficits. The CBO projects spending for federal healthcareprograms will "rise substantially" in relation to the Gross Domestic Product (GDP)." The CBO predicts that budget deficits will decline during the next few years. After this initial decline, though, the CBO calculates ...

Liberals are unwillingly to realize that you cannot legislate the poor into success. When poverty becomes comfortable, it goes from being a condition to a way of life. When liberals decided to increase the amount of benefits provided to the poor (which happens every year automatically) because “with a little more help, they will be able to make it on their own” the poor become more entrenched in their entitlement mentality. They will do even less to change any aspect of their life because they are certain that liberals will continue to provide more for them so they can work...

Sen. Claire McCaskill (D-Mo.) on Monday called for criminal charges to be filed against people who defrauded a federal phone subsidy program. McCaskill sent a letter to the Federal Communications Commission, urging the agency to refer examples of fraud in its Lifeline program to the Justice Department for prosecution. "Knowingly providing false information to a government agency for profit must be investigated. If these companies are found in violation of federal law, I expect the DOJ will prosecute those responsible to the fullest extent of the law," she wrote. She also urged the FCC to more aggressively use its own...

When Trader Joe's announced it was dropping health benefits for part-time workers, it reassured them that they'd be no worse off as a result. "We believe that with the $500 from Trader Joe's and the tax credits available under the (Affordable Care Act), many of you should be able to obtain health care coverage at very little if any net cost to you," noted CEO Dan Bane in a memo to employees revealed this week. In other words, Trader Joe's — like some other companies — has decided to shift its health care costs onto federal taxpayers via the subsidized...

President Obama recently spoke at a Binghamton University Presidential Town Hall meeting. “We don’t have an urgent deficit crisis. The only crisis we have is one that’s manufactured in Washington, and it’s ideological. And the basic notion is, is that we shouldn’t be helping people get health care and we shouldn’t be helping kids who can’t help themselves and whose parents are underresourced, we shouldn’t be helping them get a leg up. And so some of the Headstart, even deeper cuts in education support, even deeper cuts in basic science and research. And, you know, that’s like eating your corn...

President Obama recently spoke at a Binghamton University Presidential Town Hall meeting. “We don’t have an urgent deficit crisis. The only crisis we have is one that’s manufactured in Washington, and it’s ideological. And the basic notion is, is that we shouldn’t be helping people get health care and we shouldn’t be helping kids who can’t help themselves and whose parents are underresourced, we shouldn’t be helping them get a leg up. And so some of the Headstart, even deeper cuts in education support, even deeper cuts in basic science and research. And, you know, that’s like eating your corn...

The liabilities for mortgage giants Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac amount to $4.9 trillion, according to economist James Hamilton<. That equals $42,494.15 per household. This is especially troubling since the US homeownership rate is 65% and 60% of home sales are made with all-cash. So, renters really end up subsidizing homeownership AND Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. While this is outrageous, the other costs of government spending and promises are even more outrageous. We know that the employment situation in the US is terrible with 70% of jobs created since January 2009 being low-paying, part-time jobs. And median household income...

We know that the employment situation in the US is terrible with 70% of jobs created since January 2009 being low-paying, part-time jobs. And median household income keeps declining. 20130816_mainstreetmisery After reading James Hamilton’s horrifying paper on the size of off-balance sheet liabilities for America, I thought I would put together the following table to you could see the household share of government debt, entitlements and The Federal Reserve Balance Sheet. householdshare There are 115,310,000 households in America. Government spending in the U.S. as of Q2 2013 was a little over $5.8 trillion. That equates to $50,328.68 per household. The...

There is very little meaning in things simply given away. America’s public education system has become the quintessence of that idea -- a “free” system that produces unprepared and overly entitled youths ill-equipped to advance America's future. High-minded progressives see public education as something to be protected from private competition and the ravages of more innovative systems at home and abroad. I spared teachers from my ire of my last column, but they are not without fault. For the most part, though, teachers are superseded by education reformers, especially on the right. In public education, teachers are rarely specialists in...

The Federal government debt outstanding is almost $17 trillion. This has grown at a staggering pace since 2007. GFDEBTN_Max_630_378 (2) And that is the GOOD news! According to economist James Hamilton at University of California at San Diego, the value of notional off-balance sheet liabilities was around $70 trillion in 2012. We were already aware that unfunded liabilities are staggering, according to USDebtclock.org. usbtclcok The biggest items in this category are Social Security and Medicare. If current policies are maintained, these off-balance sheet liabilities will require enormous sacrifices from future taxpayers. Better know as massive increase in taxes. Hamiton includes...

The Federal government debt outstanding is almost $17 trillion. GFDEBTN_Max_630_378 (2) And that is the GOOD news! According to economist James Hamilton at University of California at San Diego, the value of notional off-balance sheet liabilities was around $70 trillion in 2012. We were already aware that unfunded liabilities are staggering, according to USDebtclock.org. usbtclcok The biggest items in this category come, of course, from Social Security and Medicare. If current policies are maintained, these off-balance sheet liabilities will require enormous sacrifices from future taxpayers. Better know as massive increase in taxes. Hamiton includes the implicit mortgage guarantees of Fannie...

The Newtown Middle School student won $2,000 as the runner-up. A Connecticut eighth-grader who misspelled the correct answer to a "Jeopardy!" question and lost money over it says he was cheated. Thomas Hurley III correctly answered the Final Jeopardy question about the Emancipation Proclamation signed by President Abraham Lincoln. But Thomas spelled it "emanciptation" and was ruled out by host Alex Trebek. He bet $3,000 of his $9,600 in winnings and finished well behind a rival who amassed $66,600. "I was pretty upset that I was cheated out of the final 'Jeopardy!' question," he told The News-Times of Danbury. "It...