Click on the link below for the analysis. http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/10/27/oct-26-state-poll-averages-usually-call-election-right/ There are some good points that this blog makes about why Ohio might be out of reach for Romney. It boils down to the fact that all polls show the race as tied as best in Ohio - not a single poll has shown R&R leading there. The average lead for 0 based on OH state polls is around 2 points, enough to put him over the top in Ohio based on historical trends correlating polls to actual results. I have read articles here from prognosticators, tea leaf readers and political...