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Tomorrow, the nation heads to the polls to decide who will become the 45th president of the United States. In both 2008 and 2012 readers participating in our polls came close to matching the actual vote margins on election day. In 2008, they favored Barack Obama with 56% of the vote in our last pre-election survey, and he grabbed 53% of the actual tally. In 2012, the president received 59% of the MedPage Today vote, and 52% on election day. Readers were slow to warm to the candidate Obama endorsed as evidenced by a yearlong slog. In January, readers gave...

New Group Kicks off Post-Election GOP Conflicts Early The much-anticipated battle within the Republican party — widely expected to play out whether or not Donald Trump loses on Tuesday — has arrived early. On October 11, a group of about three-dozen conservative intellectuals, political operatives, and former administration officials gathered to assess the damage Trump has done to the GOP and the problems he has revealed within it. The meeting, first reported by Real Clear Politics, was hosted by Restart GOP, an organization founded last month by a handful of anonymous Republican operatives still working for party committees. The attendees...

Still, the poll has Clinton 46% Trump 45% JOHNSON 4% STEIN 2%. Sunday's Poll ResultsMonday's Poll Results

On the freezing, windswept streets of Iceland's capital, there is little evidence that a motley crew of computer hackers and anarchists could soon form its next government. As elderly couples and swarms of tourists amble around Reykjavik, not a single outdoor canvasser or campaign poster is in sight. But inside the headquarters of the Pirate party, which lurks by the harbour, dozens of volunteers are hammering on keyboards as they spread their anti-establishment message on social media - which they say is where the real election battle is being fought. With an affluent, friendly population that is smaller than Bristol...

Donald Trump's adviser for African-American outreach predicts the Republican nominee will receive more black votes than the 5% projected in a new FOX News poll. Brunell Donald-Kyei, vice-chair of diversity outreach for the Trump campaign, estimated support from the black community will be between 16 and 25% on election day. On Wednesday's edition of Special Report, Donald-Kyei talked about "backlash" in the black community when you say you're a Trump supporter. She expects blacks will use the election booth to "speak up." "I'm going to tell you there's backlash when you say hey, I'm a Trump supporter and I'm black,"...

Talking to Camille Paglia is like approaching a machine gun: madness to stick your head up and ask a question, unless you want your brain blown apart by the answer, but a visceral delight to watch as she obliterates every subject in sight. Most of the time she does this for kicks. It’s only on turning to Hillary Clinton that she perpetrates an actual murder: of Clinton II’s most cherished claim, that her becoming 45th president of the United States would represent a feminist triumph. ‘In order to run for president of the United States, you have to spend two...

There aren’t many states more important this November than North Carolina, a rapidly changing state crucial to Donald J. Trump’s hopes of winning the White House and to Democrats’ hopes of winning the Senate. If Mr. Trump does not win the state, his path to the presidency – already narrow – becomes nearly impossible. There also aren’t many states with better election data than North Carolina. The state releases detailed, individual-level information on every voter in the state. It even publishes a daily account of who has voted early, either in person or by mail. To get a better sense...

FAU Poll Shows Trump Closing to Within Three Points of Clinton in ‘Must-Win’ State of Florida Rubio and Murphy in Tight Senate Race; Medical Marijuana Likely to Pass BOCA RATON, Fla. (October 26, 2016) – Donald Trump has closed to within three points of Hillary Clinton in what the Republican nominee has called the “must-win” state of Florida, according to a poll of 500 likely Florida voters conducted by the Florida Atlantic University Business and Economics Polling Initiative (FAU BEPI). Trump has cut in half Clinton’s six-point lead from FAU’s poll just two weeks earlier. Among likely voters in Florida,...

Q: The candidates in the General Election for President of the United States are the Republican Donald Trump, the Democrat Hillary Clinton and the Libertarian Gary Johnson or someone else. If the election were held today, for whom would you vote? (ROTATE) Donald Trump: 46% Hillary Clinton: 42% Gary Johnson: 4% Someone else: 2% Undecided: 6%

Re: POLITICO Playbook, presented by Boeing – DIG-OUT EDITION – EXCLUSIVE: Hillary prepares to run against Trump! DAVID BROCK ‘now thinks Hillary will face The Donald,’ and that he’ll be tough – TRUMP PLANS outreach to African Americans – B’DAY: Eric Schultz From:ntanden@gmail.com To: john.podesta@gmail.com Date: 2016-01-24 13:07 Subject: Re: POLITICO Playbook, presented by Boeing – DIG-OUT EDITION – EXCLUSIVE: Hillary prepares to run against Trump! DAVID BROCK ‘now thinks Hillary will face The Donald,’ and that he’ll be tough – TRUMP PLANS outreach to African Americans – B’DAY: Eric Schultz I truly believe he's an unhinged soulless narcissist. Because...

From:ntanden@gmail.com To: john.podesta@gmail.com Date: 2015-09-15 18:36 Subject: Re: I mean it makes my life more difficult after telling every reporter I know she's actually progressive but that is really the smallest of issues. It worries me more that she doesn't seem to know what planet we are all living in at the moment. On Tue, Sep 15, 2015 at 4:23 PM John Podesta wrote: > I pushed her on this on Sunday night. She claims she didn't remember > saying it. Not sure I believe her. We were speculating, that it may be a > Don Baer intervention. > >...

he UK has frozen all bank accounts owned by Russia's state-run broadcaster, Russia Today (RT), its editor-in-chief has claimed. Margarita Simonyan tweeted: "They've closed our accounts in Britain. All our accounts. 'The decision is not subject to review.' Praise be to freedom of speech!" RT has previously been sanctioned by Ofcom for biased reporting on the conflicts in Ukraine and Syria.

On October 16, a North Carolina headquarters of the Republican Party was firebombed , and an abhorrent threat was painted on its outside wall As Democrats, we are starting this campaign to enable the Orange County, North Carolina Republican office to re-open as soon as possible. Until an investigation is undertaken, we cannot know who did this or why. No matter the result, this is not how Americans resolve their differences. We talk, we argue, sometimes we march, and most of all we vote. We do not resort to violence by individuals or by mobs. So, let's all pitch in...

HILLSBOROUGH, N.C. (WNCN) — The Republican Party headquarters in Orange County was vandalized and firebombed overnight, Hillsborough Police said Sunday afternoon. The building at 347 Ja-Max Drive was hit with graffiti and “flammable material” was thrown through a window starting a fire inside, police said in an email. Graffiti that said “Nazi Republicans leave town or else” was spray painted in black paint on the side of a building next to the Republican headquarters, according to police. That graffiti, which was also at 353 Ja-Max Drive, included a swastika and was discovered before 9 a.m. by a nearby business owner,...

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Let's jump right into this, because this post is going to be a bit on the wonky side. It's presidential silly season, as we have said before, and this iteration of it is particularly bad, like a dumpster fire that suddenly has a thousand gallons of gasoline dropped onto it from a crop-duster flown by a blind zombie. Which, of course, makes it quite fascinating to watch for those of us with an independent persuasion. Chiefly interesting for myself is watching how the polls shift and change with each landmark on this sad, sad journey. It makes poll aggregating groups,...

After last week’s revelations of Donald Trump’s raunchy braggadocio, his opponents feel warmly vindicated. They knew it all the time. But they remain incredulous. How, they still ask, could such a vulgar jerk have ended up a nominee for president? In this, they fail to recognize a core aspect of his appeal — not his specific policies or economic acumen, but his ability to subvert social norms that many people have come to loathe. For example, early in his campaign, Trump took to making a certain terse directive a feature of his rallies. He would interrupt his monologue and tell...

Former British Conservative Party Member of Parliament and “right wing” blogger Louise Mensch privately tried to assist the Hillary Clinton campaign, emails published by Wikileaks reveal. Mrs. Mensch runs the Rupert Murdoch-backed blog Heat Street, which claims to stand against identity politics and what it labels “social justice warriors” under the slogan “no safe spaces.” However, its editor in chief, Mrs. Mensch, was caught writing a campaign advertisement script for the Democratic candidate – a woman who has traded off identity politics and social justice warrior politics. The ad appears to be based on the idea that Mrs. Clinton should...

My country club locker room is a fascinating 19th hole observatory where human nature and intelligence often come into conflict. Almost all of my golfing buddies are risk takers by nature and many of them are gamblers — not just in the card room but also in the casinos in Las Vegas. Having spent some time in Sin City myself in my early 20s as one of the first blackjack counters, I was, and still am, most familiar with odds and the impossibility of beating the “House” in any game other than blackjack over a long period of time. Still,...