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Professor Helmut Norpoth from Stony Brook University told Lou Dobbs on August 16th, 2016, that Donald Trump had an 87% chance of winning the 2016 Presidential election. Professor Norpoth is a political science professor at Long IslandÂ’s Stoney Brook University.His model has been correct since 1996 on predicting the popular vote. We reported that his 2016 forecast rested on a model that tracks cyclical movements in American presidential elections. It goes back to 1828, when popular voting became widespread and the two-party system took hold. Over nearly two centuries, American presidential elections have exhibited a distinct cycle. This is...

Encouraging polls are hard to come by lately but he’s had a couple. Trafalgar gave him a good one a few days ago when they found him a point up in Wisconsin, matching his margin from 2016. That was an outlier, as the previous three surveys of the state had Biden ahead by eight, eight, and 11 points. But if anyone’s entitled to a benefit of the doubt on a Rust Belt poll it’s Trafalgar, which detected Trump’s impending upsets there four years ago when no other pollster did. So maybe Wisconsin’s tighter at the moment than the conventional...

The country's top intelligence officials on Thursday held a classified briefing with congressional leaders amid demands for more information on the reports that Russian agents offered Taliban-linked militants in Afghanistan thousands of dollars in bounties for killing American troops. Top intelligence officials, including CIA chief Director Gina Haspel and Director of National Intelligence John Ratcliffe, held the briefing Thursday afternoon with members of the so-called “Gang of Eight”: Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell, R-Ky., House Speaker Nancy Pelosi, D-Calif., and the top Republicans and Democrats on the two intelligence committees. The Capitol Hill meetings come as President Trump has been...

We’ve had close elections before, but political experts are bracing for events that might be unprecedented come November. Surprisingly large portions of both Republicans and Democrats seem poised to challenge the results of the 2020 presidential election if their side loses. Some even favor authoritarian rule over elections as the best way to run the country. And a new worry for 2020 is the risk that more mail-in voting could delay official results well past Election Day, leaving voters wondering whether it will be Donald Trump’s agenda or Joe Biden’s, once January arrives. New research by the Democracy Fund Voter...

How convenient. Joe Biden told reporters he will hold NO CAMPAIGN RALLIES! Joe Biden: “I’m going to follow the doc’s orders. I will not hold any rallies.” Joe Biden can’t fill a gym. He’s hoping the liberal media and tech giants will carry him over the finish line. THIS IS HUGE! CLICK ABOVE ARTICLE LINK FOR THE VIDEO

President Trump’s reelection campaign has announced a staff shakeup just over four months before the general election as polls show him trailing former Vice President Joe Biden. Michael Glassner, who organizes Trump’s rallies, is being reassigned to a legal role within the campaign, and Jeff DeWit, a former Arizona state treasurer and Trump's 2016 Arizona chair, will come on as chief operating officer. The shakeup, which was first reported by Axios and confirmed by a campaign official to The Hill, comes after a rally two weekends ago in Tulsa, Okla., where the president garnered embarrassing headlines after being unable to...

At the present time the polls look bad for President Trump. How bad? Credible polls show him 10 points behind Biden, and struggling in key swing states as well as what should be easy states, like Georgia. His campaign seems listless at the moment, lacking a clear message or strategy for turning around his bad poll numbers. ThereÂ’s a story up on Fox News wondering whether Trump might drop out of the race. Is this story based on anything? Since we know Trump follows Fox, this might be a planted story in hopes that it will shake him up...

Let me tell you why I believe the polls… Because in 2016, the polls were accurate. No, not the state polls. The state polls were way off. The average of the national polls, however, was almost exactly correct. President Trump lost the national popular vote in 2016 by 2.1 points — and just barely beat Hillary Clinton.

Joe Biden is hiding in his basement, but maybe that's because the rabid-left looters, rioters and protestors are carrying out his presidential campaign just fine for him. What else can be concluded but that, given that President Obama has cynically admitted that the civil unrest covering the U.S. is "tailor-made" for electing Joe Biden? Here's a report from National Review: Former President Barack Obama told aides this month that the nationwide protests following the death of George Floyd are “a tailor-made moment” to help his former vice president Joe Biden defeat Donald Trump in November. According to a New York...

The Biden campaign is in major trouble. The Democrat front runner can barely win a primary yet he is the only remaining candidate in the race. Also, a key state, Wisconsin, has President Trump in the lead by a reputable pollster. It’s inevitable. The Biden campaign is in a horrible spot. Their candidate couldn’t hold a job in the US doing anything due to his horrible decline in health and increasing dementia. He can’t afford to hold a rally because he’ll mess up and say something crazy. He looks weak and feeble and so he stays in his basement where...

Washington (CNN Business)Twitch, the video streaming service popular with online gamers, has suspended an account belonging to the Trump campaign, becoming the latest tech platform to take action against President Donald Trump. In a statement provided to CNN, Twitch, which is owned by Amazon (AMZN), said that "hateful conduct is not allowed." "In line with our policies, President Trump's channel has been issued a temporary suspension from Twitch for comments made on stream, and the offending content has been removed," said Brielle Villablanca, a Twitch spokesperson. MORE AT LINK

Don’t believe the BS polls and media claims about ‘Sleepy Joe’ Biden. He is not in the lead. He is barely awake – literally. We predicted the 2016 election result a few days before the election. Of course, we wanted President Trump to win the election but we had evidence too. Election Prediction 2016: Current Trend Lines Show Trump Will Win in Landslide The media was looking at BS polls that over-sampled Democrats and included other material sampling errors and regurgitated the results in different ways. What they didn’t comprehend was that Hillary was a horrible candidate. CLICK ARTICLE LINK...

Some GOP operatives are wondering if the president could drop out of the presidential race if his poll numbers don't improve. A stretch of lackluster polling for President Trump has some Republican operatives nervous about the president’s reelection prospects in November – with some even floating the possibility for the first time that Trump could drop out if his poll numbers don’t rebound. “It’s too early, but if the polls continue to worsen, you can see a scenario where he drops out,” one GOP operative who asked to remain anonymous told Fox News. Trump’s poll numbers in recent weeks have...

As he gave a cold, blank stare, Joe Biden could not articulate even ONE reason why the American people should vote for him. If Trump was asked this same question, he could write a novel!

President Trump may soon need a new nickname for “Sleepy Joe” Biden. How does President-elect sound? On present trend that’s exactly what Mr. Biden will be on Nov. 4, as Mr. Trump heads for what could be an historic repudiation that would take the Republican Senate down with him. Mr. Trump refuses to acknowledge what every poll now says is true: His approval rating has fallen to the 40% or below that is George H.W. Bush and Jimmy Carter territory. They’re the last two Presidents to be denied a second term. This isn’t 2017 when Mr. Trump reached similar depths...

Democrats are holding a sizeable lead in vote-by-mail enrollment in Florida, leading Republicans by over 300,000 voters, according to Division of Election data released last week. Current data shows Democrats enjoying a sizeable advantage, enrolling 1.46 million Democrats for vote-by-mail. Republicans, meanwhile, have 1.16 million signed up. According to Politico, Democrats “held an advantage of about 8,800 in vote-by-mail enrollment” in 2016. The news could signal trouble for the Trump campaign, which narrowly secured the Sunshine State in the last election, winning by less than 113,000 votes. Democrats, both nationwide and in Florida, specifically, have been encouraging voters to apply...

Thursday on MSNBC, “The Last Word,” 2018 Georgia Democratic gubernatorial candidate Stacey Abrams said the Republican Party was planning to have an “army” of people who are “going to get in line and try to scare people out of voting.” O’Donnell said, “When you look at the various voter suppression tactics that are still alive and still working for Republicans in this country, how do you expect that to impact this election? Is it happening in the states that Democrats need to win?”

Tucker Carlson warned viewers Thursday that President Trump is facing an uphill battle for reelection and a victory for former Vice President Joe Biden would enable the "radicals who control" him to "remake the country." Before laying out what Trump should do to boost his chances of winning a second term, Carlson recalled why millions voted for him in 2016. "Alone among national leaders, Donald Trump warned Americans for decades about China and the perils of globalization. Everything about the war on coronavirus proved Donald Trump right," Carlson said. "China really is our main global adversary. The Chinese government really...

Democrats will hold an almost entirely virtual presidential nominating convention Aug. 17-20 in Milwaukee using live broadcasts and online streaming, party officials said Wednesday. Party Chairman Tom Perez said scaling back Democrats’ festivities is a matter of public health. He sought to draw a contrast with Trump’s push for a traditional convention in North Carolina, clashing with the state’s Democratic governor, Roy Cooper, and public health officials over the details amid the pandemic. The Republican National Committee has confirmed its official business will be conducted in Charlotte. But Trump has said he plans to accept his nomination in Jacksonville, Florida,...

In the Washington Post appeared an analysis of what is going right for Biden against Trump. To summarize: * He is leading in polls, sometimes by double digits. Isn’t it amazing how well Biden does in polls when most are skewed heavily towards Democrats and Independents even though that is not how the public votes? Remember, Hillary was leading big through Election Day. * Biden is raising lots of money and then the article admits Trump has around $100 million more in the bank than Biden. * Trump is receiving poor marks on the pandemic. What a shock considering he...