Posted on 05/10/2024 3:58:40 AM PDT by janetjanet998
Russia has launched a ground offensive into Ukraine’s northeast Kharkiv region and fighting there is ongoing, the Ukrainian defence ministry said Friday.
“At approximately 5 am (0200 GMT), the enemy attempted to break through our defence line under the cover of armoured vehicles,” the ministry said. A high-ranking Ukrainian military source said Russia had advanced into Ukraine by one kilometre
Especially if the situation in Kharkiv continues to deteriorate
French will be first
Kharkiv in 3 days! Lol!
You spelled Kharkov wrong. Lol
Post
See new posts
Conversation
Mikael Valtersson
@MikaelValterss1
NEWS ANALYSIS KHARKOV FRONT, 12:30 MAY 10th 2024
There is massive activity among both Russian and Ukrainian social media accounts about what’s happening on the Kharkov front. Ukrainian sources claim that RuAF has failed to break through Ukrainian defence lines and some Russian accounts talk about taking settlements and advances.
But what is actually happening on the ground and who is right? Well, both sides could both be right and wrong at the same time. First of all, there is no massive Russian advance, just reconnaissance in force and clearing of the border area, at some places, on the Ukrainian side of the border.
The main Ukrainian defence line is situated 5-10 km from the border and there are no Russian attempts to break through it, so the Ukrainians are right when they say that the Russians haven’t broken through.
At the same time Russian claims to have taken some settlements on the border might be true, but these settlements are no longer settlements but just some ruins and stones on the ground.
So even if RuAF might have captured Strilcha (1 on map 2) situated on the border this is no big victory. Russian forces need to reach places like Lypchi (2) or Volchansk (3) to be seen to have made real progress in the area.
This operation is probably, at the present stage, mostly aimed at establishing an up to 5 km deep buffer zone on the Ukrainian side of the border, to make future Ukrainian incursions impossible, at least in this 40-60 km broad area.
But the fog of war is thick.
The first map is from
@rybar_force
but not from X, but their Telegram channels.
https://twitter.com/MikaelValterss1/status/1788888804624830861
Russian Ministry of Defense claims control over Novokalynove in Donetsk region of Ukraine.
Looks like they made an advance in the south.
If you weren’t paying attention, that potential situation was dealt with on Monday and Tuesday. Macron was doing his usual yapping about French deployment, Hakeem Jeffries had just floated the prospect of U.S. troops going in and Cameron was boasting that the Ukes (really Brit “advisors”) could fire their Storm Shadows into Russia proper. Putin reacted by immediately starting tactical nuclear weapons drills in the theater with Belarus quickly joining in. Both the French and British ambassadors were called in and dressed down. The unambiguous red line was given to NATO, boots on the ground means immediate crossing of the nuclear threshold and Britain was told any British base in Europe could be retaliated against if the Storm Shadows were used inside Russia. Tuesday the entirety of NATO was falling over itself trying walk back the idea of NATO boots on the ground.
You can put that idea to bed, there will be no NATO deployment.
What I wonder about is the effects on overall Ukrainian reserves. I was under the idea they have little.
So if they have to divert what reserves they have to the Kharkiv region that may weaken the eastern zone or take strength away from any summer offensives they had possibly planned.
” Russian forces need to reach places like Lypchi (2) or Volchansk (3) to be seen to have made real progress in the area.”
Evacuation of civilian population ongoing in Vovchansk district so they are close to that goal.
Ukrainian Ministry of Defense: Ukrainian armed forces repelled Russian breakthrough attempt at Vovchansk. I guess they stopped them but are preparing for the worse.
If the Russians take Kharkov/Kharkiev relatively quickly or they fail sets the stage for this summer.
If Kharkov is taken look at the south and keep your eye on Odessa and see if Russia makes a move in that direction or continues on to start hitting Kiev.
If the Russians fail to take Kharkov or it takes several months and cost them a lot of men and equipment, then any further major advances will not happen this year and could change what Russia might be willing to settle for in any negotiation that takes place in the future.
We haven’t seen a climb-down that fast since the sudden end to the Kaliningrad blockade in 2022.
Holiday Season in Russia is over now.
You will see that on the front lines in Ukraine pretty soon.
Army Group North is now also moving.
Stay tuned.— -- GEROMAN -- time will tell - 👀 -- (@GeromanAT) May 10, 2024
Maybe the Finns or Swedes will move on St. Peterburg, or the Chinese into Siberia.
Lots of old scores to settle with the 21st century Sick Old Man’s crumbling empire.
Putin trashed 50 years of detente to take Crimea. So, he can’t complain now if the crows pick him apart.
French will be first
A most curious "flip" by Macron when he came out with that. But has France backed the "threat" up with, say, tripled arms support, first? Or is Macron just going to dare the Russians to attack French troops?
Chasiv Yar by Victory Day 2025!
A most curious “flip” by Macron when he came out with that. But has France backed the “threat” up with, say, tripled arms support, first? Or is Macron just going to dare the Russians to attack French troops?
—-
It seems that they are already practicing surrendering
French fighter jets accidentally displayed the wrong flags in the sky - Russian
https://rumble.com/v4u41iz-french-fighter-jets-accidentally-displayed-the-wrong-flags-in-the-sky-russi.html
I think the Ukes are going on whatever offensive they can muster on the Russian bank of the Dnieper around Krynki. My fear, until Tuesday, was a NATO Inchon type landing in this area.
Shouldn’t the bibbed one warn them not too?
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.