Posted on 06/29/2023 8:52:24 AM PDT by zeestephen
2024 Republican Presidential Nomination - FOX News - Trump 56, DeSantis 22, Pence 4 <><><> 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination - Biden 64, Kennedy 17, Williamson 10 <><><> General Election: Trump vs. Biden - Economist/YouGov - Trump 44, Biden 40 <><><> General Election: Trump vs. Biden - The Messenger/HarrisX - Trump 45, Biden 43 <><><> 2024 Generic Congressional Vote - Economist/YouGov - Democrats 41, Republicans 40
(Excerpt) Read more at realclearpolitics.com ...
Desanctomoniuos is not even un the running.
What I would like to hear is clear and convincing data showing if Trump can win the general. Not being a provocateur, as I want him to win, just want reasoning and datapoints.
The important poll point here: Economist/YouGov says Trump went from -3 to +4.
DeSantis is equally competitive with Trump vis-a-vis Biden. Of course Trump is ahead of the DeSantis within the primary. It is 8 months until the first primaries and caucuses, so no big deal. If DeSantis was showing equally poor against Biden as he is against Trump, that would be an issue. But, again, he’s not. It’s a marathon and I don’t think Trump will be in the campaign by the time the primaries arrive, which is why so many people are jumping into the race.
Marquette University is actually in Wisconsin.
I decided to show their poll since their state expertise is probably better than average.
56 Electoral votes were decided in 2020 by less than 1% within several states.
It is well within the possibilities that Trump could win in an electoral landslide.
1. Georgia: Biden leads by .2 percentage points (99% of precincts reporting) [16]
2. (tie) Arizona: Biden leads by .6 percentage points (98% reporting) [11]
2. (tie) Wisconsin: Biden wins by .6 percentage points (99% reporting) [10]
4. Pennsylvania: Biden wins by .7 percentage points (98% reporting) [19]
P is our friend.
The primaries are six plus months away. The general election is a year away. This far out, are any of the polls important?
If that New Hampshire poll is correct that would probably mean that DJT won’t visit the state next year as he did in ‘16 and ‘20. Bummer! I wanted to see him again.
In breaking news...FOX has just called the 2024 election for Biden, with a record 87 million votes.
The latest and greatest poll from You Gov.
June 28th
General Election: Trump vs. Biden
Trump +4
Trump can win because 1) he is already winning in the polls (wasn’t ahead in a single poll in 2016 or 2020) and he outperforms the polls, 2) Biden has a report card now, 3) people can see what Biden can do, and 4) people will see Biden’s imbecilic self do several campaign events a day, can’t hide in the basement like 2020.
The problem with Biden is that voters now know what a Biden presidency looks like. In 2020, a lot of voters believed that a Biden presidency would be a third Obama term. Inflation is a major turnoff for many voters and will be the deciding factor.
Donald Trump holds a 42%-40% lead over Joe Biden. If Trump beats Biden in the popular vote, Trump would win one of the greatest electoral college victories in decades. Polling shows Trump has a lead on Biden because 37% of independents support Trump vs. only 17% of independents who support Biden.
The same poll shows Joe Biden beating Ron DeSantis by a margin of 37%-35%. Polling shows DeSantis only recives 24% of the indpendent vote. That is 13 points less than Donald Trump.
"P is our friend."
Who with a brain thinks a state like Wisconsin has DJT only one ahead of D. Santis? (Not saying you) The poll is way off. The only state close is Utah because of Mittens’ Zombies
3 Things:1. Polls don’t matter, Ballots do. 2. Swing States are where the action is. 3. New Hampshire has become a left wing disgrace, so much for, “ Live Free or Die.”
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