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Earth on the verge of crossing critical climate thresholds, Stanford study finds
The Stanford Daily ^ | February 28, 2023 | By Steven Liu

Posted on 03/01/2023 4:34:32 AM PST by Oldeconomybuyer

A new Stanford study found that even if we reach net zero emissions by 2100, global warming is on track to eclipse critical preventative goals set by the United Nations in the Paris Climate Agreement of 2015.

Researchers used artificial neural networks to predict the time until critical global warming thresholds are reached. The model projected that global warming would reach 1.5 degrees Celsius (2.7 degrees Fahrenheit) above pre-industrial levels between 2033 and 2035.

The AI model uses historical temperature data and climate simulations as inputs. This unique approach allows the machine learning model to make more accurate predictions beyond the scope of historical data, according to Noah Diffenbaugh, the study’s lead author and Stanford professor of earth systems. Further, they say the AI could separate signal from noise and directly incorporate uncertainties into the prediction.

“The main message from the AI prediction [is] that the world’s on the cusp of reaching 1.5 degrees of warming,” said Diffenbaugh. “The AI predicts a high probability [of reaching 1.5 degrees] in the next 10 to 15 years, even if emissions are reduced in that time period.”

(Excerpt) Read more at stanforddaily.com ...


TOPICS: Culture/Society; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: globalwarming; hoax; propaganda; socialism
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To: Oldeconomybuyer

Or not.


21 posted on 03/01/2023 4:51:27 AM PST by Vision (Woke is communism and it has no place in America. Election Reform Now! Obama is an evildoer.)
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To: E. Pluribus Unum
That’s not what the solar cycle model says, which, at 93% accuracy, is far more accurate than any GIGO computer model.

Preach! Us Amateur Radio guys have known this for decades and decades already as we follow the solar cycle as well, just for a different purpose: radio wave propagation.

Isn't it odd (not really...) that as we start reaching the peak of the current solar cycle, these "computer models" are saying we're going to have hotter than normal summers already?

Coincidence? I think not.

22 posted on 03/01/2023 4:52:08 AM PST by usconservative (When The Ballot Box No Longer Counts, The Ammunition Box Does. (What's In Your Ammo Box?))
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To: GaryCrow
Now I find out we’ve got until 2100.

So tonight I'm gonna party like it's 2099!

23 posted on 03/01/2023 4:52:09 AM PST by dfwgator (Endut! Hoch Hech!)
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To: HartleyMBaldwin
Ooh, this model’s so much better. It’s got AI!

Exactly. This is not science.

24 posted on 03/01/2023 4:53:22 AM PST by neverevergiveup
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To: Oldeconomybuyer

Oh noes. We all die.


25 posted on 03/01/2023 4:54:06 AM PST by Tax-chick ("The plausibility structure of the elite rulers must be enforced."~Stephen McAlpine)
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To: HartleyMBaldwin

And what happens when that threshold is finally crossed . . . ?


26 posted on 03/01/2023 4:57:07 AM PST by knarf (I say things that are true . . . I have no proof, but they're true.)
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To: devere

Eisenhower warned of this in his farewell speech in the passage right after he warned us of the MIC.

Smart guy, Ike.


27 posted on 03/01/2023 4:57:09 AM PST by FreedomPoster (Islam delenda est)
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To: Oldeconomybuyer

Another “Chicken Little” announcement!


28 posted on 03/01/2023 4:58:00 AM PST by Carl Vehse (A proud member of the LGBFJB community)
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To: Oldeconomybuyer

So if we’re convinced it’s going to happen anyway, why waste the time, effort and money to pursue an already lost cause? I am so tired of this BS.


29 posted on 03/01/2023 5:01:37 AM PST by USMA '71 ((Re-elect no one!))
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To: knarf

Then we’re all doomed. DOOOOOMED!


30 posted on 03/01/2023 5:02:01 AM PST by HartleyMBaldwin
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To: Oldeconomybuyer
One of Rush's most genius moments is when he came up with the Gore countdown clock:


31 posted on 03/01/2023 5:02:08 AM PST by Tell It Right (1st Thessalonians 5:21 -- Put everything to the test, hold fast to that which is true.)
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To: Skwor
Oh NOES!! Our new model of limited data and subjective input is so much better now at predicting the outcomes we desire.

We is all DOOMED!! 😱😮😯☠️

32 posted on 03/01/2023 5:02:08 AM PST by Thommas (The snout of the camel is already under the tent.)
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To: Oldeconomybuyer

They are trying to use corrupted science as a basis to usher in a type of green socialism. I remember a speech by Gorbachev from a little before the year 2000 as he had joined an international enviromental group who said that enviromentalism and climate change would be the new vehicles by which international socialism could be ushered in.


33 posted on 03/01/2023 5:02:19 AM PST by mdmathis6 (A horrible historic indictment: Biden Democrats plunging the world into war to hide their crimes!)
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To: Tax-chick

“Researchers used artificial neural networks to predict the time until critical global warming thresholds are reached”
I used a real neural network to conclude that this article is BS.
The “climate threshold” the UN is worried about is 1.5 degrees C. We have already warmed about 1.25 degrees C since 1850. And no catastrophe has occurred. The coral is fine, the penguins are fine, the snail darters and spotted owls are all fine, not that I have ever seen any of these creatures so would not miss them if they disappeared.


34 posted on 03/01/2023 5:04:24 AM PST by brookwood (Clinging to our guns, religion, healthy children, traditional marriage, high standard of living...)
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To: Mount Athos

As soon as they go after china in a big way for building dirty coal plants I might pay attention.


35 posted on 03/01/2023 5:05:21 AM PST by oldasrocks (quew)
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To: Oldeconomybuyer

This time they really mean it.


36 posted on 03/01/2023 5:06:12 AM PST by Organic Panic (Democrats. Memories as short as Joe Biden's eyes)
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To: Oldeconomybuyer
"This unique approach allows the machine learning model to make more accurate predictions beyond the scope of historical data"

In other words, we programmed it to tell us exactly what we want it to tell us.

Garbage in, garbage out.

37 posted on 03/01/2023 5:09:30 AM PST by Mr. K (No consequence of repealing Obamacare is worse than Obamacare)
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To: HartleyMBaldwin

Last week in Central Texas the high was supposed to be 82, and the news reader also said, “not a record high for this date”. So I looked it up. Some of the hottest weather on record was in the 30’s, 50’s and the 80’s. It’s really random on any particular day and keep in mind, the accurate weather records only go back less that 100 years. How was internal combustion engines and R12 Freon hurting the environment in 1930?


38 posted on 03/01/2023 5:19:15 AM PST by 9422WMR (45 1. Lie, cheat, steal. It’s how the democRATS operate. )
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To: HartleyMBaldwin

Any computer program is always less intelligent than its creators. If you don’t trust leftist nerds in real life, why would you trust one of their leftist nerd computer programs?


39 posted on 03/01/2023 5:27:26 AM PST by wildcard_redneck (Biden will mess up the Ukraine worse than Afghanistan.)
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To: Oldeconomybuyer

Climate is a thermodynamic system, so until the modeling adapts to the correct foundation it will always be wrong. REAL wrong.

Only people who’ve been educated beyond their capacity for comprehension can/will believe the atmosphere (or a barely discernible component thereof) has anything to do with causing climate.
Good grief!


40 posted on 03/01/2023 5:31:50 AM PST by Montana_Sam (Truth lives.)
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