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Trump would beat Biden, win GOP field regardless of size, Harvard poll shows
Boston Herald ^ | February 20, 2023 | MATTHEW MEDSGER

Posted on 02/25/2023 4:01:03 PM PST by SoConPubbie

If the election were held today, Donald Trump would be the 47th President of the United States, according to a survey of 1,838 registered voters.

According to a Harvard CAPS/Harris survey conducted on Feb. 15 and 16, those asked said they would choose Biden and Trump to win their respective party primaries in 2024, setting up the potential for a repeat of 2020’s contest.

Vice President Kamala Harris takes second in the Democratic Party and Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis takes second on the Republican side, according to those polled.

Polling shows, however, that Biden would not do as well in a second matchup against the 45th president as he did in the first, when he earned a historic 81,283,098 votes, or 51.3% of the votes cast, becoming the first candidate earn more than 80 million votes.

Trump won just 46.8% of the vote, or 74,222,958 votes, the last time around. Despite that the former president, those surveyed indicated, would win a rematch by a wide margin.

“According to the polling memo, President Trump would beat Joe Biden by 5 points in the general election. Conversely, the survey shows that President Trump’s nearest opponent and Joe Biden are virtually tied in a hypothetical general election,” Trump’s campaign wrote in response to the poll’s results.

Though 13% remain undecided, of those surveyed 46% would choose Trump over Biden’s 41%. These numbers are actually unchanged from January’s survey results, pollsters indicated.

Biden’s support among those polled regarding a theoretical race against DeSantis remains unchanged at 41%, with the Sunshine State’s governor winning by a single point and 17% undecided.

DeSantis, who seems at the moment to be Trump’s most significant potential challenger, garnered just 23% support against the 45th President.

Those polled said their biggest concerns at the moment are inflation and price increases, which were top of mind for more than a third of people at 36%, while the economy and jobs stood at 27% and immigration at 24%. Gun concerns and worries over crime or drugs both occupied the thoughts of 17%.

Only a third of those polled thought the country was on the right track, and while pollsters said that “perception of the economy is improving,” again just one third thought the nation’s financial affairs are in order.

Only half of respondents said their personal financial situation has gotten worse, an improvement from January’s 56% gloom.

Optimism wins out over pessimism among those surveyed, with 44% saying the next year will be better and 22% thinking it will be about the same. More than a third, or 34%, think things will only get worse by next January.


TOPICS: Constitution/Conservatism; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2024; biden; harvadgoodpolls; harvardpollgoodpoll; polls; pollsareaccuratenow; trump; trump2024; webelievepollsnow
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1 posted on 02/25/2023 4:01:03 PM PST by SoConPubbie
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To: SoConPubbie
...when he earned a historic 81,283,098 votes,

Earned. Yeah, that is not the word I would use...

2 posted on 02/25/2023 4:04:10 PM PST by fhayek
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To: SoConPubbie

What about in the real (fraud-ed up to hell) world?


3 posted on 02/25/2023 4:05:05 PM PST by CatOwner (Don't expect anyone, even conservatives, to have your back when the SHTF in 2021 and beyond.)
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To: SoConPubbie

The GOPe hasn’t explained what they plan to do about the Trump supporters in order to get them to the polls. I don’t think the promises of just “get in line and vote as we tell you to and this time we really will govern conservatively” is going to work this time. It didn’t in 2016 (we ignored them then and voted for Trump), the left cheated in 2020 with no repercussions, and such demands will not work in 2024.


4 posted on 02/25/2023 4:09:05 PM PST by CFW (old and retired)
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To: SoConPubbie

He already beat Biden in 2020 and what did that get us?


5 posted on 02/25/2023 4:16:17 PM PST by lowbridge ("Let’s check with Senator Schumer before we run it" - NY Times)
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To: SoConPubbie

“Trump would beat Biden, win GOP field regardless of size, Harvard poll shows”

Going to TOTALLY ANGER the Ukraine War Cheerleaders here.


6 posted on 02/25/2023 4:17:23 PM PST by BobL
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To: CFW

I am in total agreement.


7 posted on 02/25/2023 4:18:46 PM PST by BradyLS (DO NOT FEED THE BEARS!)
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To: SoConPubbie

It is a state-by-state Electoral College vote, not the national additive totals!


8 posted on 02/25/2023 4:25:32 PM PST by dodger
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To: SoConPubbie

Trump beat Biden the first time, the only question is will the psychopaths that rigged the last election rig the next one and will the DOJ and FBI continue to cover it up and ensure the destruction of our country. Maybe if you work for the FBI or DOJ you should ask yourself...”Am I working for the Cartels?” or a question like “Do I really understand how much damage I am doing to the free world by ignoring industrial scale fraud while I prop up a President who is clearly compromised by multiple external state actors including the CCP?” “Is it my fault that we are on the verge of WW3?” Wouldn’t it be nice if the folks who worked for the DOJ and FBI loved our country and wanted to see this country remain strong and free... maybe they all bought into the communist CRT/DEI virus... it kind of explains where we are and how we got here.... doesn’t it? Or maybe it’s a dark group at homeland security... regardless it is up to the FBI and DOJ to clean it up.


9 posted on 02/25/2023 4:25:41 PM PST by WinstonSmith1984
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To: SoConPubbie

“when he earned a historic 81,283,098 votes”

I have a fair amount of doubt about that. En masse mail-in voting might very well mean that no Republican can “win” until it gets solved.


10 posted on 02/25/2023 4:28:11 PM PST by cdcdawg (Hoes mad! LOL! )
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To: SoConPubbie
Republicans aren't going to win SQUAT until they do something about the fraud that RINO-controlled legislatures and governors allowed in 2020.

The same thing that happened to Trump in 2020 and Kari Lake in 2022 along with other Senate MAGA candidates will be repeated in 2024.

11 posted on 02/25/2023 4:30:55 PM PST by HandBasketHell
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To: SoConPubbie

Ooooooh, a poll.


12 posted on 02/25/2023 4:48:00 PM PST by TangoLimaSierra (⭐⭐To the Left, The Truth is Right Wing Violence⭐⭐)
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To: SoConPubbie

Maybe the Herald could explain how one ‘earns’ votes hiding in a basement.


13 posted on 02/25/2023 4:48:53 PM PST by skeeter
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To: SoConPubbie

It doesn’t matter what the polls say. TPTB will never allow Trump to win again. Same for strong MAGA candidates like Kari Lake.


14 posted on 02/25/2023 5:03:48 PM PST by Prince of Space (Let’s Go, Brandon! )
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To: SoConPubbie; All

Now redo the poll after 3 years of people hearing the absolute truth about each candidate. Trump would get 60% against anyone. The media is the enemy of the people.


15 posted on 02/25/2023 5:15:29 PM PST by wiseprince (Me,)
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To: SoConPubbie

Until voter integrity is restored, Zombie Fetterman would beat Donald Trump in 2024.


16 posted on 02/25/2023 5:15:35 PM PST by laplata (They want each crisis to take the greatest toll possible.)
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To: SoConPubbie

There is no beating the crat fraud machine.


17 posted on 02/25/2023 5:16:28 PM PST by inchworm (al )
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To: Prince of Space

“It doesn’t matter what the polls say. TPTB will never allow Trump to win again. Same for strong MAGA candidates like Kari Lake”.

You’re right.

Until voter integrity is restored, Zombie Fetterman would beat Donald Trump in 2024.


18 posted on 02/25/2023 5:17:27 PM PST by laplata (They want each crisis to take the greatest toll possible.)
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To: cdcdawg; All

Ballots are probably already printed. That’s why they were so desperate to get Biden the nomination eventhough he was consistently losing. They had millions of ballots with Trump and Biden already printed.


19 posted on 02/25/2023 5:18:04 PM PST by wiseprince (Me,)
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To: SoConPubbie

Not with a rigged system.


20 posted on 02/25/2023 5:26:45 PM PST by Wilderness Conservative (Nature is the ultimate conservative)
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