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Trump’s Pennsylvania Bet. He seeks to attract more ‘forgotten men’ and to limit damage with suburban women.
Wall Street Journal ^ | Sept. 10, 2020 | Kimberley A. Strassel

Posted on 09/11/2020 4:18:41 AM PDT by karpov

To watch Donald Trump on the stump is to wonder if this is a campaign with a strategy. To study the Trump re-election effort in Pennsylvania is to understand the carefully calculated bet it is making.

Pennsylvania is becoming ground zero of the 2020 election. Commentators tend to forget that Mr. Trump in 2016 won 304 electoral votes, 34 more than a majority. He can afford to lose a Michigan or Wisconsin. But he has few paths to the White House without the Keystone State. The president knows it; he’s dive-bombing the state. And Joe Biden knows it, making it his new basement.

Conventional wisdom is that Pennsylvania is the perfect example of why Mr. Trump will lose. Critics point to the bleed Mr. Trump has suffered among suburban voters, in particular the “collar counties” around Philadelphia. The president, they say, is too toxic personally to win those voters back, while his rural base isn’t enough to offset the deficit. It is a simple and tidy analysis—and therefore one that misses the complexity of a modern presidential race.

One flawed assumption is that Mr. Trump’s “forgotten man” vote is static. The campaign has spent the past few years diligently recruiting more of those disaffected citizens. In 2016 registered Democrats outnumbered Republicans in the state by about 920,000. Since that time, the Democratic advantage has narrowed to about 760,000—a 160,000-voter gain in a state Mr. Trump won by 44,000 votes.

In rural counties, the campaign has kept hitting themes that will drive these new voters to the polls. In a recent speech in Latrobe, Mr. Trump warned that Mr. Biden would “take away your guns,” ship jobs to China, and sit silent as rioters rampage.

(Excerpt) Read more at wsj.com ...


TOPICS: Politics/Elections; US: Pennsylvania
KEYWORDS: 2020election; election2020; kimberleystrassel; landslide; paping; pennsylvania; trump; trumplandslide
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1 posted on 09/11/2020 4:18:41 AM PDT by karpov
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To: karpov

Why do suburban women support riots and arson?


2 posted on 09/11/2020 4:22:00 AM PDT by Cowboy Bob (Mocking Liberals is not only a right, but the duty of all Americans.)
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To: karpov
Suburban women are nuts and foreign men aren’t. Foreign women typically aren’t crazy, either.

When “Sex In The City” and “Desperate Housewives” became mandatory education for American women everywhere, it showed our disgusting problem with such women.

3 posted on 09/11/2020 4:28:09 AM PDT by ConservativeMind (Trump: Befuddling Democrats, Republicans, and the Media for the benefit of the US and all mankind.)
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To: karpov

I have an old classmate who is involved in PA campaign. Im sure he was busy with RNC. But I will ask him about this article.


4 posted on 09/11/2020 4:29:06 AM PDT by larryjohnson (FReepersonaltrainer)
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To: Cowboy Bob

For the same reason they wear a stupid COVID diaper on their faces even while driving alone. They’re morons.


5 posted on 09/11/2020 4:29:13 AM PDT by Alberta's Child ("We're human beings ... we're not f#%&ing animals." -- Dennis Rodman, 6/1/2020)
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To: Cowboy Bob
Why do suburban women support riots and arson?

They are only seeing the Burning, Looting, and Murder (BLM) in the cities. They don't live in cities, so it doesn't bother them. They think they are geographically isolated from the chaos. And they are, at least for now.

6 posted on 09/11/2020 4:36:47 AM PDT by Fresh Wind (When seconds count, social workers are days away.)
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To: Cowboy Bob

They dont and are coming back to the Trump camp


7 posted on 09/11/2020 4:41:53 AM PDT by italianquaker
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To: ConservativeMind

Suburban women now mostly have worthless degrees and believe themselves to be enlightened and educated but in reality they have been indoctrinated.


8 posted on 09/11/2020 4:46:52 AM PDT by BRL
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To: Cowboy Bob

I’m a suburban woman in a Philly collar suburb. My observations (anecdotal) on why so many women here are turned off by Trump is because “he’s mean”, especially on Twitter. Couple that with a weird brainwashed belief that Democrats are “nice, inclusive, and for the little people” and the newly created “white privilege” guilt and you have a trifecta.

But we’re not all morons, and we aren’t monolithic, I know there are many around here like me, who don’t buy into the BS and don’t get all their news from the mainstream media.


9 posted on 09/11/2020 4:48:00 AM PDT by twyn1
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To: karpov

Let’s hear it for blue collar, white guys!


10 posted on 09/11/2020 4:54:58 AM PDT by JonPreston
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To: Cowboy Bob

Because OrangeManBad is what they are told from their news sources.


11 posted on 09/11/2020 4:56:07 AM PDT by drSteve78 (Je suis deplorable. WE'RE NOT GOING TO TAKE IT ANYMORE)
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To: Cowboy Bob

Rape fantasies involving rioting monkeyboys.


12 posted on 09/11/2020 4:58:02 AM PDT by PermaRag (WANTED: millions of patriotic gun owners who are willing to trade bullets for freedom)
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To: karpov

Only way Trump losses PA is by massive mail in voting fraud...

On the ground, it’s not even close, no matter what the media are claiming


13 posted on 09/11/2020 5:11:30 AM PDT by HamiltonJay
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To: karpov

Love how conservatives inside the beltway have to assume the polls are right no matter how many times they are proved to be fake.

The last time a Repub led in the polls was Lincoln.


14 posted on 09/11/2020 5:28:08 AM PDT by bray (Pray for President Trump)
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To: twyn1

I’m also in a collar suburb and agree with your observations. We are surrounded by virtue signalling yard signs and women who walk in lockstep. They think of themselves as educated and intellectual because they are well informed via the propaganda pipeline. They parrot talking points and go to church-sponsored seminars on white privilege. It can be a lonely place for conservative women. Voting D is a deep part of their identities and many of them equate it with women’s rights. There is also a big alignment of D voting with ‘a woman’s right to choose’ as it’s so euphemistically stated. Unfortunately, many of them drag their husbands along like errant children.


15 posted on 09/11/2020 5:29:27 AM PDT by Think free or die
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To: karpov
If suburban women are going to vote like they live in a ghetto they should be forced to live in a ghetto.
16 posted on 09/11/2020 5:29:54 AM PDT by Vision (Obama corrupted, sought to weaken and fundamentally change America; he didn't plan on being stopped.)
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To: HamiltonJay

Vote fraud is always a big factor in PA.


17 posted on 09/11/2020 5:30:17 AM PDT by Think free or die
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To: Think free or die
Unfortunately, many of them drag their husbands along like errant children.

There aren't many things I despise more than divorce, but ...

18 posted on 09/11/2020 5:34:01 AM PDT by bankwalker (groupthink kills ...)
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To: karpov

Suburban women? Have they read about “Affirmatively Furthering Fair Housing Act” That Biden has promised to reauthorize? The banning of of single family zoning and the building of Section 8 low income housing in the suburbs?


19 posted on 09/11/2020 5:34:54 AM PDT by ballplayer (By)
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To: ballplayer

——Have they read about-——

Certainly you jest. They never read. Reading is hard.

They only gossip and achieve a baseless consensus.


20 posted on 09/11/2020 5:36:43 AM PDT by bert ( (KE. NP. N.C. +12) Progressives are existential American enemies.....all of them)
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