Posted on 06/09/2019 5:29:40 AM PDT by Salman
Large parts of Asian Russia could become habitable by the late 21st century due to climate change, new research has found.
A study team from the Krasnoyarsk Federal Research Center, Russia, and the National Institute of Aerospace, USA, used current and predicted climate scenarios to examine the climate comfort of Asian Russia and work out the potential for human settlement throughout the 21st century.
They published their results today in Environmental Research Letters.
At 13 million square kilometres Asian Russia -- east of the Urals towards the Pacific -- accounts for 77 per cent of Russia's land area. Its population, however, accounts for just 27 per cent of the country's people and is concentrated along the forest-steppe in the south, with its comfortable climate and fertile soil.
"Previous human migrations have been associated with climate change. As civilisations developed technology that enabled them to adapt, humans became less reliant on the environment, particularly in terms of climate," said the study's lead author Dr Elena Parfenova, from the Krasnoyarsk Federal Research Center.
"We wanted to learn if future changes in climate may lead to the less-hospitable parts of Asian Russia becoming more habitable for humans."
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(Excerpt) Read more at sciencedaily.com ...
Awaiting hyperventilating reports of Russian conspiracy involving Trump. /sarc
I’ve watched travel documentaries where some jeep comes over a hill and here is an enormous valley, with a 40-person village down in the middle of it....no paved road, just gravel leading in and out. It’d be a four-hour drive to reach anything that you’d consider even half-civilized. You could move a thousand people into that valley tomorrow, but then what? There’s no work, no jobs, and no future over than tending to 200 head of cattle, and tending to your garden.
Who would populate Siberia in such a scenario?
Not low birth rate ethnic Russians..
It would be people from the “Stans” or the Han Chinese would hop the Amur River.
Actually, "what would happen if" is not science. It's PART of science (hypothesis formation), but it's also part of fairytales, barroom BS, and daydreams.
Any time some potential future event involving multiple complex influences, including unknowns, is predicted with "research shows", you know it is advocacy and not science.
No No No. We must portray any change as disastrous. IMPENDING DOOM! Must not mention that vast chunk of real estate in the northern hemisphere stretching from Scandinavia heading east all the way to Greenland that could do with a bit of warming.
Must not mention the greening of the earth and higher crop yields due to more carbon in the atmosphere.
Must not mention that past warming periods have been associated with human flourishing.
Remember DOOOOOOOOOOOM!!!!!!
The Chicoms will take Siberia someday if the end of the Age doesn’t come first.
It is mostly permafrost; frozen solid in winter and a swamp in summer. There is no good infrastructure and that infrastructure would be difficult to build due to the nature of the land. It is largely a write-off. Also, location, location, location. It is not on the way to anywhere, nor is it a good destination for anything. Yes, it has oil and natural gas, but getting to it is more expensive than almost anywhere else. Also, once you have the oil or gas, you have to have elaborate infrastructure to send it to where it would be salable. Raising the globe’s temperature would make the permafrost a nasty breeding ground for mosquitos and disease.
But it would be organic. Ha ha.
Of course. I just bought a beach front lot in Chukchi Pen!
A more habitable Siberia will be overtaken and populated by China
My take on it: Giving that we are now entering into a period of predictable decreased solar cycles, reduced solar energy will result in a slow but measurable cooling of the earth as thermal inertia lags and climate patterns depict cooling, these areas will be much more accessible via snow machine/ice roads and therefore opened up to more human activity. However, since the ground/water will be likely entering into a more extensive/deeper permafrost condition, there will be no agriculture or development of permanent structures of notable size, so …..
Could??? Well, gee, if you’re THAT certain about it, I’ll start packing.
Based on history the Earth will get warmer and it will get cooler. No taxes are going to prevent real climate change. We will have to adapt.
Say, wasn’t there an ice bridge from Russia to Alaska at one time? Whatever happened to that?
Same old supposition science. Again.
What is the current average daily temperature in Siberia? Something like -30 degrees Fahrenheit? Climate models show an increase of what? 1/10 of 1 degree Fahrenheit? So, that would bring Siberia’s average daily temperature to -29.9 degrees Fahrenheit.? So, no, the data indicates Siberia will be as inhabitable in the late 21st century ad it is now. And I just saved the Russian taxpayers billions of dollars in rubles that would’ve gone to researchers. How do you say you’re welcome in Russian? Dostoyevsky or something like that?
The same thing happened all over the USA in reverse. You had a mid sized viable cities that went under when the factory was shut down and shipped to China. But hey they all got cheap toaster ovens....
Well, if Siberia thaws we’ll certainly have more Mastodon bones and many more museums housing them.
And then there are the natural residents who would just love fresh blood to move in ... the enormous swarms of mesquites and the no-seems, not to mention the bears - always hungry for fresh meat ...
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