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Wall Analysis: The Path Ahead (from Zen Master)
self | 2/16/2019 | LS (via Zen Master)

Posted on 02/16/2019 5:45:24 AM PST by LS

My source on all things courts and legal, Zen Master, has weighed in with some excellent information on the path ahead for the Declaration of Emergency.

1. For a case to be heard, it must meet at least these three conditions: standing, ripeness, and aggrieved party.

First, standing: the DoE only affects four states: TX, NM, AZ, and CA.

Only a party in one of those four can bring a suit in the Ninth (CA/AZ), Tenth (NM), or Fifth (TX) Circuit Courts. But even before you can do that, you must be an aggrieved party, meaning you must show direct immediate harm from what is happening (i.e., building the wall). Watch how this plays out in a moment.

Now, it's frequently argued here that a "friendly" party can bring a case immediately in a "friendly" venue (such as the Fifth, which is mostly GOP/conservative but not unanimous).

No. A court would view this as a type of fraud, since the two parties are considered "friendly" and would rule it an abuse of the court. It would be tossed. I don't know, but there might even be legal penalties for bringing such a suit.

Second, this is different from the Travel Ban, which was national and enabled a Hawaiian judge to put a stay on it. Again, this is region and state specific, meaning it will only affect the Ninth, Tenth, and Fifth---but not until the wall starts going up in those states.

Third, no challenge can be brought until a case is "ripe." In OH, Gov. DeWine said he will sight the "Heartbeat Bill," which PP will challenge. But he hasn't signed it yet, so there is no challenge yet.

No "wall" challenge can be made until the case is ripe, meaning until Trump ACTUALLY SPENDS DoE MONEY TO BUILD SOME OF THE WALL.

2. That brings us to the emergency declaration. Congress has already authorized, and Trump signed (which many of you did not want him to sign) a bill with $1.375b to start building the wall.

Trump has also invoked two statutes, 31 U.S.C. section 9705 and 10 U.S.C. section 284 to spend about $3.1b. These statutes don't require an emergency declaration.

There is a third statute, 10 U.S.C. section 2808 with $3.6b which does require an emergency declaration.

Here's the genius of how Trump is doing this: the money will be spent sequentially, with the $3.6b designated under 10 U.S.C. section 2808 (the national emergency money, if you will) spent last.

Trump will spend about $4.7b before he ever gets to the DoE money---and that's the only point at which that DoE can be challenged.

3. Now, there WILL be a Congressional challenge to the authority to do issue this declaration in DC almost immediately, and that (says Zen Master) will be struck down both on standing and ripeness grounds.

4. Go back to standing: the case cannot come up in the Ninth or Tenth Circuses until wall building WITH DoE $$ actually starts there.

Finally, precisely because Congress has just authorized $1.75b for the wall---regardless of the qualifiers---it cannot be argued that Trump's wall is something different (i.e, somehow unconstitutional). In other words, by passing the bill---and by Trump signing it---Congress just MADE IT 100% LEGAL.


TOPICS: Constitution/Conservatism; Editorial; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: belongsinchat; emergency; vanity; vanityepidemic; wall; zenmasterbader
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To: bert

Prove it.


81 posted on 02/16/2019 10:44:54 AM PST by little jeremiah (When we do not punish evildoers we are ripping the foundations of justice from future generations)
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To: CincyRichieRich

He’s bi? News to me.


82 posted on 02/16/2019 10:52:34 AM PST by hsmomx3
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To: LS

This brightened up my day. Sure hope your Zen man is right on this.


83 posted on 02/16/2019 10:54:36 AM PST by dennisw
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To: Electric Graffiti
I posted this on another thread. The number of future democrat voters and taxpayer dependents apprehended from oct--jan of 2019.

FY 2019: 242,217

Most are being released into the interior. Imagine the number that are not being apprehended...It's a free for all.


84 posted on 02/16/2019 11:08:12 AM PST by Electric Graffiti (Cocked, locked and ready to ROCK!)
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To: CincyRichieRich
plus his bisexuality

He has a relative who is lesbian, but I have never heard a rumor of him being bi-sexual, until now that is.

85 posted on 02/16/2019 11:10:45 AM PST by Robert DeLong
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To: StAnDeliver

“Get ‘em hooked good and they’ll turn on their Demorat masters “Whaddya mean you gota take away Fed money for TheWall? That’s our money!”

This has NEVER failed everywhere it’s been tried. ”

Yes. This is essentially the Marxist/Democrat playbook in its entirety. Everyone believes the Democrats get their way by threatening or blackmailing (John Roberts, for example). But that is only tiny sliver of their playbook, rarely if ever used. How they get their way and get the unwavering loyalty that seems so baffling and get their “opposition” to step aside or look the other way is by funneling massive $$$ their way. If we knew the truth of the matter, likely more than half the elected Republicans in Congress are raking in Democrat “carrot” money...and acting accordingly.


86 posted on 02/16/2019 11:10:56 AM PST by Scott from the Left Coast (You may come to the moment when you will have to fight with all the odds against you...)
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To: G Larry; LS
Don't know the problem, but it's quite real. The guy is untrustworthy, just don't know why. He should be a solid constitutionalist conservative, but he's been as wishy-washy as Kennedy. Except he comes out during the most important cases for the left.

Some ting wong.

87 posted on 02/16/2019 11:19:32 AM PST by Lakeshark (Trump. He stands for the great issues of the day. Stay the course!)
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To: Robert DeLong

He has kids. Remember the picture of him with the other gay guys at his table. I’m assuming.


88 posted on 02/16/2019 11:21:42 AM PST by CincyRichieRich (But the noble man makes noble plans, and by noble deeds they stand. Isaiah 32:8)
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To: CincyRichieRich

“..I believe he is 100% blackmailed under Obama’s /Jarret/Soros control via his illegally adopted kids plus his bisexuality.”

No one is ever 100% blackmailed. When the down-side tactic is used, it is always, always accompanied with a significant payoff for taking the “appropriate” action. It’s never just “do this or we will screw you over”. There is always “but if you do this we will make you ver happy you did” that goes right along with it. They always remember that honey draws more flies than vinegar.


89 posted on 02/16/2019 11:22:02 AM PST by Scott from the Left Coast (You may come to the moment when you will have to fight with all the odds against you...)
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To: CincyRichieRich

If this were known to be hanging over the head of Chief Justice John Roberts, or any other of a myriad of possible threats to the well being of Justice Roberts, his family and/or reputation, the Trump & Company surely knows it and they too would appear to have the ability to call him out, if he can’t stop legislating from the dang bench?
Example: ROBERTS Unilaterally Calling Obamacare a TAX, when the Obama administration said absolutely it was Not a tax?


90 posted on 02/16/2019 11:25:44 AM PST by RitaOK (Viva Christo Rey! Public Ed & Academia are the FARM TEAM for more Marxists coming, infinitum.)
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To: LS
There is already a process in place to contest an Emergency Declaration. How does that not take precedence ? How do they get to do and end run around the existing law ? Once there is an Emergency Declared, Congress can contest\end it via a legislative process.
So who has first standing ? probably only congress.

If it comes before a judge, before the process has been exhausted, the judge should kick it because it’s not ripe.

The proclamation is transmitted to congress and published in the Federal Register.

Congress can try to terminate the proclamation by concurrent resolution.

The concurrent resolution process then takes on a life of its own.

If there is a concurrent resolution, it gets sent to the President for his signature or veto. If veto, 2/3rds of Congress is needed to override.

The president doesn’t need to fight 2/3rds, he only needs to concentrate on the number needed in each house to sustain the veto.

If he loses,game over. If he wins, take it to court and good luck with that.

or am I missing something ?
91 posted on 02/16/2019 11:28:33 AM PST by stylin19a (2016 - Best.Election.Of.All.Times.Ever.In.The.History.Of.Ever)
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To: Scott from the Left Coast

“It’s never just “do this or we will screw you over”. There is always “but if you do this we will make you ver happy you did” that goes right along with it. They always remember that honey draws more flies than vinegar.”

Tell that to #Scalia.


92 posted on 02/16/2019 11:32:34 AM PST by Electric Graffiti (Cocked, locked and ready to ROCK!)
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To: CincyRichieRich

No clue what you are alluding to. Yes he adopted two kids, and there is some question as to those adoptions. But they are by all appearances good adoptive parents. So how they got them is of little concern. Much better choices then the adoptions of kids by gay couples in my opinion.


93 posted on 02/16/2019 11:42:21 AM PST by Robert DeLong
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To: Robert DeLong

https://underneaththeirrobes.blogs.com/main/2005/08/more_grist_for_.html


94 posted on 02/16/2019 11:47:55 AM PST by CincyRichieRich (But the noble man makes noble plans, and by noble deeds they stand. Isaiah 32:8)
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To: CincyRichieRich
Roberts_scherer_lazarus_1

Hmmm, perhaps you should read your own sources you provide:

Oy gay! Are we perhaps getting a little carried away with all of our rumor-mongering concerning Judge Roberts's sexual orientation? After all, the pic was taken on Martha's Vineyard, not Fire Island. And for the record, Scherer is married, as is Lazarus.

95 posted on 02/16/2019 11:52:53 AM PST by Robert DeLong
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To: LS

Wow, lot of clarity there. Thanks.

If Texas owns some of the land the wall goes on, they could challenge the declaration and ask the Supreme Court to take the case. Speeding up things a lot!

“ifs and buts” though. We’ll see how the details play out.


96 posted on 02/16/2019 11:54:29 AM PST by mrsmith (Dumb sluts: Lifeblood of the Media, Backbone of the Democrat/RINO Party!)
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To: LS

Thanks for sharing this. It is “Art of the Deal” stuff, the work of someone who has dealt with building code and local zoning restrictions all of his adult life.

I wonder WHERE the DoE $$ will be spent; suppose it will ALL be spent in TX... That would presumably limit legal challenges to the 5th circuit.


97 posted on 02/16/2019 11:54:56 AM PST by Quicksilver (45 MAGA!)
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To: LS

Thank you. Read it here and Twitter.


98 posted on 02/16/2019 12:07:16 PM PST by I_be_tc
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To: Electric Graffiti

Scalia is what happens if you don’t take the goodies they offer you...extreme version. Someone who can’t be bought, most certainly can be disposed of.


99 posted on 02/16/2019 12:15:17 PM PST by Scott from the Left Coast (You may come to the moment when you will have to fight with all the odds against you...)
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To: Electric Graffiti

Well, we have not had a functioning DOJ for 10 years. The last two years of the DOJ wasted under brain-dead Sessions.

Everything Trump does will be challenged in a federal court and if it’s important enough needs to be fast tracked up to the USSC. Only recently do we have probably a reliable 5-4. We as voter’s haven’t helped politically, letting a political incompetent win the primary & lose the general in Alabama (He couldn’t motivate enough Republicans to overcome Rat shenanigans!) & the mid-terms should have ours but was a wash. (and yes there was cheating!) Therefore just view the House as at best a “do-nothing “ organization for the next two years. All this has weakened his hand. The key obstacle was & is the continued court challenges hopefully we’re close to getting a handle on this.


100 posted on 02/16/2019 12:25:58 PM PST by Reily
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