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Mueller Investigation: Trump Likely to Be Indicted, But Will He Be Impeached?
PJ Media ^ | 12/09/2018 | Rick Moran

Posted on 12/10/2018 9:05:26 AM PST by SeekAndFind

The 40-page sentencing memo filed by the U.S. Attorney's Office for the Southern District of New York for former Trump personal attorney Michael Cohen is the basis for an indictment against the president, according to Andrew McCarthy.

McCarthy believes the charges will be for violating campaign finance laws. It's alleged that Cohen and Trump paid off two women to hide their sexual liaisons with Trump during the 2016 campaign. The violation occurred when Cohen made the payments and cooked the books to hide them. That's fraud and Cohen will go to jail for it.

As McCarthy points out, the prosecutors have had Trump in their sights from the beginning:

But when Cohen pleaded guilty in August, prosecutors induced him to make an extraordinary statement in open court: the payments to the women were made “in coordination with and at the direction of” the candidate for federal office – Donald Trump.

Prosecutors would not have done this if the president was not on their radar screen. Indeed, if the president was not implicated, I suspect they would not have prosecuted Cohen for campaign finance violations at all. Those charges had a negligible impact on the jail time Cohen faces, which is driven by the more serious offenses of tax and financial institution fraud, involving millions of dollars.

Trump has denied he had sex with the women as well as denying any payoff. But why indict Trump when violations like this are usually handled administratively and rarely rise to the level of a crime?

Moreover, campaign finance infractions are often settled by payment of an administrative fine, not turned into felony prosecutions. To be sure, federal prosecutors in New York City have charged them as felonies before – most notably in 2014 against Dinesh D’Souza, whom Trump later pardoned.

In marked contrast, though, when it was discovered that Barack Obama’s 2008 presidential campaign was guilty of violations involving nearly $2 million – an amount that dwarfs the $280,000 in Cohen’s case – the Obama Justice Department decided not to prosecute. Instead, the matter was quietly disposed of by a $375,000 fine by the Federal Election Commission.

The sticking point is Cohen's efforts to conceal the payments from the FEC. The prosecutors will allege that Trump was involved in that process.

The sentencing memo for Cohen argues that the hush money payments were not merely unreported. It states that Cohen and the Trump organization – the president’s company – went to great lengths to conceal them by fraudulent bookkeeping.

Equally significantly, Cohen was not charged with merely making illegal donations. He was charged in the first campaign finance count with causing a company to make illegal donations.

That company was the National Enquirer, which bought Karen McDougal's story for $150,000 and then buried it at Cohen's request. There was apparently a promise to repay the company -- a promise that was never kept.

Throughout the memo is the suggestion that Trump knew what Cohen was doing and ordered him to do it. Cohen has already admitted lying to Congress so the question of his credibility in telling prosecutors that Trump was in on the payoff scheme remains open.

Trump is not without a defense in this case and it's no slam dunk. Plus, Justice Department guidance states that a sitting president cannot be indicted. There is much debate over that point -- a question that could be tied up in court for years.

So Democrats have to ask themselves if they should impeach Donald Trump for violations of the campaign finance laws.

More importantly, do campaign finance violations qualify as “high crimes and misdemeanors,” which is the constitutional standard for impeachment? It is hard to imagine an infraction that the Justice Department often elects not to prosecute is sufficiently egregious to rise to that level, but the debate on this point between partisans would be intense.

To kick Trump out of office, Democrats are going to have to find 13 Republican senators to convict the president in a Senate trial. Over a violation of campaign finance laws? Really?

That's why all this excitement and hysteria over the prosecution filing in the sentencing of Michael Cohen is partisans blowing smoke.

TOPICS: Crime/Corruption; Culture/Society; Government; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: collusion; indictment; mueller; russia
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1 posted on 12/10/2018 9:05:26 AM PST by SeekAndFind
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To: SeekAndFind
Here's the bottom line:

The Russia Probe Becomes a Banal Sex Scandal

2 posted on 12/10/2018 9:06:12 AM PST by SeekAndFind (look at Michigan, it will)
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To: SeekAndFind

It’s not a Sex Scandal.

Trump had no sexual relations with any of these women.

3 posted on 12/10/2018 9:10:48 AM PST by Blue House Sue
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To: SeekAndFind

Meanwhile, the Clintons continue to walk free for decades of horrendous crimes.

4 posted on 12/10/2018 9:13:53 AM PST by Old Yeller (Auto-correct has become my worst enema.)
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To: SeekAndFind

More lies & distortion of the truth by The Shadow Government .....the one, we ‘little people’ are all expected to ignore as a non-existent fantasy of ‘conspiracy theorists’.

The vast Shadow Government has yet to ceed power to the duly elected President of the United States,....

......Daily, the BS CIA MSM floods the American People with BSCIA Operation Mockingbird disinformation. Blatantly, propagandizing the dumbed-down population in their seditious war against Constitutionally vested authority....

....The CIA has installed Presidents all over the world,......this time, we elected one of our own.

And, they have broken many federal statutes to reverse the expressed will of the People.

5 posted on 12/10/2018 9:17:50 AM PST by Trump_vs_Evil_Witch (Meuller, Rosenstein, to Obstruct Justice over Uranium One)
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To: Old Yeller

Because the left is at war and our side plays nice.

6 posted on 12/10/2018 9:19:26 AM PST by all the best
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To: SeekAndFind

Attempts to “impeach 45” shall turn out to be exercises in futility. It ain’t going ANYWHERE, folks. Oh, the Democrat majority in the House, under Nancy Pelosi, might have a piece of paper, but unless it is soft and absorbent, not much they can do with it.

This could turn out to be FUN for Team Trump, throwing back the charges at the instigators in the various House committees that seem to think, “Oh, boy, we got him NOW!”

They been saying that since sometime in 2015, when Trump rode down the escalator and made his public announcement.

Reports of the imminent demise of Donald J. Trump are greatly exaggerated.

7 posted on 12/10/2018 9:20:04 AM PST by alloysteel (Man does not live by bread alone. He needs chocolate cake too.)
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To: SeekAndFind

According to Kim Clement, he will NOT be impeached. If he is, then Clement was a false prophet.

8 posted on 12/10/2018 9:20:31 AM PST by Dogbert41 (When the strong man, fully armed, guards his own dwelling, his goods are safe. -Luke 11:21)
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To: all the best

“Because the left is at war and our side plays nice.”

I used to believe the GOP plays nice. I’ve come to conclude they are willing collaborators. They aren’t playing nice, they are playing with the other team to feather their own nests.

9 posted on 12/10/2018 9:21:58 AM PST by Soul of the South (The past is gone and cannot be changed. Tomorrow can be a better day if we work on)
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To: SeekAndFind

If candidate Trump used his own money to pay off these scumbag broads, there is no violation.

And the president denies having sex with either one of these two sluts.

10 posted on 12/10/2018 9:22:27 AM PST by july4thfreedomfoundation (Hey liberals! Trump in 2020. Because, 'eff you!)
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To: SeekAndFind

on what grounds?

11 posted on 12/10/2018 9:23:10 AM PST by Chickensoup (Never count on anyone, ever.)
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To: SeekAndFind
Actually they will need 20 Republican senators to vote to convict, won't they?

The Democrats seem to think that the impeachment process and the media publicity will damage Trump so much that he will be easy to beat in 2020. They probably don't really expect to be able to remove him from office or get him to resign.

At least that may make it less likely they will try assassination--thinking that it would be easier to defeat Trump in 2020 than to face Pence.

12 posted on 12/10/2018 9:23:46 AM PST by Verginius Rufus
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To: SeekAndFind
IMO, most likely impeached by a Rat House, but not convicted by the R Senate.

The real damage: the 24/7 impeachment circus filled with all manner of outrageous, unsupported allegations of every foul deed known to man which continues right up to the eve on the 2020 R primaries...designed solely to support Trump's competition in those primaries.

13 posted on 12/10/2018 9:23:52 AM PST by frog in a pot (Result of many state bailouts? Taxpayers elsewhere in America get to finance the Left's growth.)
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To: Blue House Sue

“I did not have sexual relations with that woman, Miss Lewinsky”

14 posted on 12/10/2018 9:24:00 AM PST by Psalm 73 ("I will now proceed to entangle the entire area".)
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To: Dogbert41

Who is Kim Clement?

15 posted on 12/10/2018 9:24:38 AM PST by Verginius Rufus
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To: Dogbert41

RE: According to Kim Clement,

Who is Kim Clement ? And why should we give credibility to this person?

16 posted on 12/10/2018 9:24:42 AM PST by SeekAndFind (look at Michigan, it will)
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More of the usual scat from Rick Moron

17 posted on 12/10/2018 9:26:03 AM PST by Dartoid
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To: frog in a pot

Like I said on a similar thread...
I am looking forward to it...
Go on the record you turn coat Republicans.

18 posted on 12/10/2018 9:26:09 AM PST by Leep (we need a Trump like leader for President 2024!)
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To: SeekAndFind
Everyone calling this out is complicit in their OWN indescretions
19 posted on 12/10/2018 9:27:49 AM PST by knarf (I say things that are true; I have no proof .... but they're true.)
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To: Trump_vs_Evil_Witch

They all are about to get wiped out. Stormtroopers are ready to deploy.

20 posted on 12/10/2018 9:27:54 AM PST by DarthVader (Not by speeches & majority decisions will the great issues of today be decided but by Blood & Iron)
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