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Hurricane Florence Live Thread II
NHC/NOAA ^ | 12 September 2018 | NHC/NOAA

Posted on 09/12/2018 1:53:29 PM PDT by NautiNurse

The National Hurricane Center has been issuing advisories for Hurricane Florence since August 30. The five day "Cone of Uncertainty" archive progression since Aug. 30 may be found here. As the super-size storm named Florence approached the U.S. Atlantic Coast, stories abound of people who are refusing to evacuate barrier islands.

The 82nd Airborne has relocated all of its assets, while FEMA is using Fort Bragg as a major staging area for post-storm supplies, including meals, water and cots. Fort Jackson (Columbia SC) has cancelled events including basic training graduation to prepare for military and civilian evacuees from coastal locations.

While hurricane preparations are rushed to completion, some stores are closing for lack of hurricane supplies inventory. Smart phone app Gas Buddy provides updates for gasoline availability along evacuation routes.

Wave heights to 83 ft. were recorded while Hurricane Florence churned 435 miles from Wilmington, NC. Storm surge is predicted to reach 6-13 ft along the coastline to the N of landfall. Steering currents are forecast to collapse at or near landfall, resulting in Florence meandering for days. This is expected to result in up to 40 inches of rainfall in isolated areas in the Carolinas, and up to a foot of rain in the Appalachian Mountains.

Tropical Storm Isaac: The government of France has issued Tropical Storm Warnings and Watches for the Lesser Antilles.

Invest 95L: The National Hurricane Center predicts 70% chance of development in the Gulf of Mexico. Limited forecast models, satellite graphics and GOM buoy info are available for Invest 95L below.

Mash the graphics below to enlarge. All links and images are self-updating.

Hurricane Florence Isaac Invest 95L
No Forecast Cone for Invest 95L
at publication deadline

Florence Public Advisory Isaac Public Advisory
Florence Forecast Discussion Isaac Forecast Discussion
Buoy/Observations near Florence Buoy/Observations near Isaac Buoys Western GOM

National Data Buoy Center

Local Weather:
Norfolk VA
Morehead City NC
Raleigh NC
Fayetteville NC
Wilmington NC
Charleston SC/Savannah GA
Jacksonville FL
San Juan PR

Hurricane Florence & Isaac Thread I



TOPICS: Breaking News; Extended News; Front Page News; News/Current Events; US: North Carolina; US: South Carolina
KEYWORDS: braking; florence; hurricane; hurricaneflorence; hurricaneflorenceii; isaac; nautinurse; tropical
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To: Recovering Ex-hippie
Parris Island Marines Will Now Stay Put In The Face Of Hurricane Florence
321 posted on 09/13/2018 11:13:47 AM PDT by NautiNurse (Do not make me pay Ferrari prices for Chevy Vega health insurance.)
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To: COBOL2Java
There is a collection of tattered U.S. flags on the wall of the game room at Frying Pan Shoals.


322 posted on 09/13/2018 11:20:01 AM PDT by NautiNurse (Do not make me pay Ferrari prices for Chevy Vega health insurance.)
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To: NautiNurse

You think there are any guests riding out Florence? LOL


323 posted on 09/13/2018 11:21:30 AM PDT by COBOL2Java (Marxism: Trendy theory, wrong species)
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To: NautiNurse

it took in a gulp of dry air but seems to be mixing it out..middle ring now complete not working on full inner ring and eyewall

Slowly its becoming better defined over the gulf stream

also no way this is still moving NW at 10mph like the NHC says

more like WNW 6 or 7

Euro sticking to its guns and stalls in and moves it SW just off shore with landfall on SE SC in about 60(now 54) hours

the whole coast will take a beating if that pans out


324 posted on 09/13/2018 11:24:30 AM PDT by janetjanet998
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To: janetjanet998

Very interesting info—thanks!


325 posted on 09/13/2018 11:26:02 AM PDT by NautiNurse (Do not make me pay Ferrari prices for Chevy Vega health insurance.)
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To: caww
Your images have a typo in the HTML (at the end of the img element) and do not show up in some browsers.

<img src="https://pbs.twimg.com/media/Dm_YzgNWsAAHa4k.jpg" width="600"</">

326 posted on 09/13/2018 11:49:16 AM PDT by snarkpup ("We need to have a REAL political campaign - rivaling the scale of Comic-Con!" - Tan)
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To: snarkpup

Should have not put in the quotation...sorry...


327 posted on 09/13/2018 11:55:51 AM PDT by caww
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To: snarkpup

Should have not put in the quotation...sorry...


328 posted on 09/13/2018 11:55:51 AM PDT by caww
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To: NautiNurse

Local news channel just interviewed a resident in Carteret County (Morehead City / Beaufort / Atlantic Beach area) He said he has already lost power.


329 posted on 09/13/2018 11:56:04 AM PDT by Freedom'sWorthIt
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To: caww

Looks like 90%, for half a mile inland.


330 posted on 09/13/2018 11:59:31 AM PDT by jeffers
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To: Freedom'sWorthIt
11:46 AM - Sep 13, 2018 · North Topsail Beach


331 posted on 09/13/2018 12:02:06 PM PDT by caww
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To: caww

Topsail island seems to always have problems early.


332 posted on 09/13/2018 12:03:42 PM PDT by CJ Wolf (Free)
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To: Rebelbase
He stay or evac?

As of 1450 EDT, max radar windspeed 53 knots (holding steady for 10 min), forward speed since 1408z 9.3 mph on 289.8 degrees (swinging left from 307 degrees earlier).

Shear is currently very low, almost no tornadic potential this scan.

 photo 1455.jpg
333 posted on 09/13/2018 12:04:34 PM PDT by jeffers
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To: Rebelbase

“I love it when you can fish right off the front porch.”

Butter the skillet, hold out window, waves will toss ‘em right in.


334 posted on 09/13/2018 12:08:01 PM PDT by jeffers
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To: caww
The outer bands of wind and rain from Hurricane Florence began lashing North Carolina with storm surge


335 posted on 09/13/2018 12:12:13 PM PDT by caww
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To: Freedom'sWorthIt

https://coastal.er.usgs.gov/hurricanes/research/twlviewer/

THAT is a cool site.

Shows potential inundation for barrier island/coastal areas along with timing/etc.


336 posted on 09/13/2018 12:12:43 PM PDT by Black Agnes
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To: caww

Where is that from?


337 posted on 09/13/2018 12:13:12 PM PDT by Chipper (You can't kill an Obamazombie by destroying the brain...they didn't have one to begin with.)
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To: NautiNurse

Very interesting video from the weather channel about the dangers of storm surge.....really incredibly done!

https://mobile.twitter.com/weatherchannel/status/1040241566382739458


338 posted on 09/13/2018 12:14:00 PM PDT by angelrod
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To: jeffers

Even the houses that survived had wash through up to the 3rd floor in some cases (counting for wave action).

Unsurvivable for occupants in most cases regardless of whether the home survived.


339 posted on 09/13/2018 12:14:14 PM PDT by Black Agnes
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To: janetjanet998

I have it 9.3 mph at 289 for the last 4.6 hours, however....

MINUS 2.0 mph on that course for the last 30 mins.

Eye increasing in diameter accounts for some of it.

0.4 mph at 289 for the last hour.


340 posted on 09/13/2018 12:14:34 PM PDT by jeffers
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