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Arizona special election in dead heat: poll in the Desert (ig Outlier)
The Hill ^ | 04/16/2018 | Lisa hagen

Posted on 04/16/2018 5:38:11 PM PDT by Az Joe

The special election for an Arizona House seat is in a statistical dead heat in the final week of the race, according to a poll released on Monday.

A poll from Emerson College found physician Hiral Tipirneni (D) narrowly leading with 46 percent, compared to former state Sen. Debbie Lesko (R), who is at 45 percent — well within the poll’s margin of error.

Monday’s poll is an outlier and a huge swing in the direction toward Democrats, with other recent polling showing Lesko winning by double-digit margins. The latest public poll on Friday from OH Predictive Insights and ABC 15 Arizona found Lesko leading by 10 points, 53 to 43 percent.

Arizona’s special election has captivated national attention, with Republican groups pouring more resources into a district that President Trump won by 21 points in 2016. The winner of the April 24 race will replace former Rep. Trent Franks (R), who resigned after reportedly discussing paying a staffer to act as a surrogate mother.


TOPICS: Miscellaneous; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: election; emerson
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1 posted on 04/16/2018 5:38:11 PM PDT by Az Joe
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To: Az Joe

Any update on AZ early voting?


2 posted on 04/16/2018 5:42:36 PM PDT by theoilpainter
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To: LS; Impy; BillyBoy; AuH2ORepublican

*AZ Outlier poll ping*


3 posted on 04/16/2018 5:43:33 PM PDT by fieldmarshaldj ("It's Slappin' Time !")
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To: Az Joe
A) This story is from the leftist propaganda mill The Hill.

B) The poll is from the leftist propaganda mill Emerson College.

As a former Arizonan, I think I can safely say "Calm down..."

4 posted on 04/16/2018 5:44:48 PM PDT by Flycatcher (God speaks to us, through the supernal lightness of birds, in a special type of poetry.)
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To: Az Joe

Push poll. Vote, vote, vote ..


5 posted on 04/16/2018 5:47:20 PM PDT by VRWC For Truth
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To: Flycatcher

Its a huge outlier


6 posted on 04/16/2018 5:48:59 PM PDT by Az Joe (Gloria in excelsis Deo)
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To: Az Joe

While Lesko was not inspirational for me, she will do.

She will win by 6 1/2% is my prediction. The communists are energized.


7 posted on 04/16/2018 5:59:03 PM PDT by KC Burke (If all the world is a stage, I would like to request my lighting be adjusted.)
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To: KC Burke

“Captivated national attention?” First I’ve heard of it.


8 posted on 04/16/2018 6:09:36 PM PDT by DIRTYSECRET (urope. Why do they put up with this.)
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To: Az Joe

Yipee, another special election! The libs are truly a desperate bunch for any win. If it were the GOP, it would be perceived as pathetic. The irony is that the GOP is not doing much work to help other Republicans.


9 posted on 04/16/2018 6:23:01 PM PDT by shanover (...To disarm the people is the best and most effectual way to enslave them.-S.Adams)
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To: fieldmarshaldj; LS; Impy; BillyBoy; AuH2ORepublican

I think a lot of Arizonans vote by mail, so a lot of votes are banked already. Unless the Republican loses by a jaw droppingly large margin on election day, I can’t believe any poll is going to matter now.


10 posted on 04/16/2018 6:25:25 PM PDT by Galactic Overlord-In-Chief (Domo Arigato, Mr. Rubio. Domo Arigato, Mr. Rubio.)
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To: Az Joe

Trent Franks never should have stepped down. He did absolutely nothing wrong


11 posted on 04/16/2018 6:29:17 PM PDT by montag813
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To: KC Burke

She better!


12 posted on 04/16/2018 6:29:20 PM PDT by Az Joe (Gloria in excelsis Deo)
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To: Flycatcher

Seems to be said every time and then oops we lose. Quite the broken record you got going on.


13 posted on 04/16/2018 6:33:28 PM PDT by napscoordinator (Trump/Hunter, jr for President/Vice President 2016)
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To: montag813

That came out...


14 posted on 04/16/2018 6:40:35 PM PDT by Az Joe (Gloria in excelsis Deo)
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To: napscoordinator
Seems to be said every time and then oops we lose. Quite the broken record you got going on.

Yes, I know. I really thought Trump was going to win too......

15 posted on 04/16/2018 6:50:42 PM PDT by Flycatcher (God speaks to us, through the supernal lightness of birds, in a special type of poetry.)
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To: Az Joe

Has John McPain endorsed the Democrat yet?


16 posted on 04/16/2018 7:19:33 PM PDT by Theodore R.
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To: Az Joe

A dead heat. In the desert.

Badoom tish.


17 posted on 04/16/2018 7:28:51 PM PDT by HiTech RedNeck (Tryin' hard to win the No-Bull Prize.)
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To: HiTech RedNeck

Not bad...but work on it


18 posted on 04/16/2018 7:40:47 PM PDT by Az Joe (Gloria in excelsis Deo)
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To: Galactic Overlord-In-Chief

Yes, we do vote by mail. Sent my ballot over a week ago.


19 posted on 04/16/2018 7:42:00 PM PDT by hsmomx3
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To: Theodore R.

Just heard on local news he had some surgery for diverticulitis??? Also stated he is recovering from cancer treatments. How long does one recover from cancer treatments?????


20 posted on 04/16/2018 7:43:14 PM PDT by hsmomx3
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