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A New Poll Looks Mighty Grim for Democrats (Generic down to two points 47/45)
NY Magazine ^ | Ed Kilgore

Posted on 01/31/2018 12:26:29 PM PST by 11th_VA

It’s just one poll from one polling outlet (albeit one given an A+ rating for accuracy and sound methodology by FiveThirtyEight). But for Democrats already concerned about the love shown the president in snap polls following last night’s State of the Union Address, the first 2018 national survey from Monmouth University lands like a punch in the mouth.

Compared to its December poll, the new results (taken from interviews between January 28 and January 30) show big gains for both Trump and his party among registered voters. His December job approval rating, at 32 percent, was his lowest since taking office according to Monmouth’s temperature readings. Now it has bounced up to 42 percent. Similarly, in December the GOP tax bill was notably unpopular, with 26 percent approving of it and 47 percent disapproving. Now opinions on the bill, after lots of hype about bonuses and cuts in tax withholding, are dead even at 44/44.

Worst of all for Dems, a 15-point advantage in the generic congressional ballot in December (51/36) is now down to two points (47/45). This equals the smallest Democratic advantage in any poll since the beginning of the current election cycle.

Yes, there’s been a general pro-Republican trend in the generic ballot in recent weeks. In the RealClearPolitics polling averages the Democratic advantage peaked at 13 percent just before Christmas, and has come down to 7.5 percent now. But that latter number is still consistent with major Democratic gains, and perhaps a House takeover, in November. A two-point margin is another thing altogether...

(Excerpt) Read more at nymag.com ...


TOPICS: Front Page News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2018election; 2018midterms; 2018polls; 2020election; election2018; election2020; poll; winning
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To: 11th_VA

The Dems have their own more rosy polls. They will stay the course.


41 posted on 01/31/2018 1:37:18 PM PST by Brilliant
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Worst of all for Dems, a 15-point advantage in the generic congressional ballot in December (51/36) is now down to two points (47/45). This equals the smallest Democratic advantage in any poll since the beginning of the current election cycle.

That #SchumerShutdown really worked out well for ya, didn't it?

42 posted on 01/31/2018 1:48:10 PM PST by Henchster (Free Republic - the BEST site on the web!)
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To: 11th_VA

ITS THE ECONOMY, STUPID !!

ITS FOREIGN POLICY, IDIOT!!

ITS INTEGRITY IN GOVERNMENT, DUNCE !!

ITS NANCY PELOSI AND CHUCKIE SCHUMER, MORON !!

(Feel free to add to the list)


43 posted on 01/31/2018 1:49:52 PM PST by A_Former_Democrat (Another Islamic terrorist event, and no “outrage” from the “Muslim community”. Again)
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To: Buckeye McFrog

“Rick Saccone’s ads here in PA-18 ... “

He better win :-) ... Connor Lamb looks like a problem ... a young liberal running as a moderate Democrat (and you know what he’ll morph into within 10 ns of setting foot in DC).

The district is very pro-Trump, but Lamb is a bit too close for comfort.


44 posted on 01/31/2018 1:57:22 PM PST by edh
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To: greeneyes

Yup.


45 posted on 01/31/2018 2:07:08 PM PST by Kozak (DIVERSITY+PROXIMITY=CONFLICT)
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To: 11th_VA

It won’t be winning until we replace the Bush League Republicans who are hell bent on providing the Democrats with a permanent majority through open borders and amnesty.


46 posted on 01/31/2018 2:12:28 PM PST by Lurkinanloomin (Natural Born Citizen Means Born Here of Citizen Parents__Know Islam, No Peace-No Islam, Know Peace)
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To: 11th_VA

How heavy did they overweight the Dems to make it +2%?


47 posted on 01/31/2018 2:18:59 PM PST by bray (Pray for President Trump)
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To: 11th_VA

That poll just makes you want to drool.


48 posted on 01/31/2018 2:19:30 PM PST by FlipWilson (The)
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To: edh

“Lamb” is a very well-known name among Democrats here. Members of that family have been in public office for nearly a century. A lot of the polling is from name recognition (like Bob Casey). Granted that IS a problem.


49 posted on 01/31/2018 2:48:11 PM PST by Buckeye McFrog
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To: 11th_VA

The makings of slaughter.

Too bad Republicans will find a way to screw it up.


50 posted on 01/31/2018 2:50:56 PM PST by Mariner (War Criminal #18)
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To: 11th_VA

“..lands like a punch in the mouth...”

Let’s follow it up with a swift kick in the ass. I’d have said “kick in the balls” but hey, it’s the Democrats after all, and they’ve probably had those removed already, because that’s like, “normal” and stuff, now... or sumpin’...

So “kick in the ass” works fine...


51 posted on 01/31/2018 3:08:37 PM PST by NFHale (The Second Amendment - By Any Means Necessary.)
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To: rfp1234

C’mon, be fair now.

Don’t compare Pelosi to a cow.

Cows are beautiful, blessed creatures that do so very, very much for us. Democrats on the other hand, just poison everything around them.

I think I’ll go to the freezer for an ice cream now.


52 posted on 01/31/2018 3:13:15 PM PST by Nothingburger
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To: 11th_VA

Poll schmoll. You don’t need a weatherman to know which way the wind’s blowing. Barring anything unforeseeable, the GOP will romp and rock and roll. Libtard heads will explode. Snowflakes will melt. More stories of...what will it be now? Chinese collusion? The polls, if accurate, will eventually reflect this. Easy to know. Just look at what’s happening in the real, non-MSM world, and see how clueless the Dems are to some very clear hints. Same as it was in 2016.


53 posted on 01/31/2018 3:29:25 PM PST by Eleutheria5 (“If you are not prepared to use force to defend civilization, then be prepared to accept barbarism.)
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To: cgbg

My monthly pension check increased 185 dllrs


54 posted on 01/31/2018 3:56:24 PM PST by italianquaker
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To: Eleutheria5

The Dems have insane hopes for taking over the House. My prediction is that Nancy Pelosi will barely win her seat and the Rats will at best pickup 3 or 4 seats or worse lose 8 to 10 seats in the House and as a result will be forced to resign as Minority Speaker. Pelosi won’t be able to withstand the pressure to step down and the party is going to want new blood. She will offer health reasons for stepping down. After all she will be 78 by the mid-terms.


55 posted on 01/31/2018 3:57:18 PM PST by princeofdarkness (Leftists. Their only response to failure is to double down.)
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To: princeofdarkness

She either is suffering dementia, or is just plain stupid. Maybe both. She can’t put together a coherent sentence, just rambles aimlessly.


56 posted on 01/31/2018 4:12:46 PM PST by Eleutheria5 (“If you are not prepared to use force to defend civilization, then be prepared to accept barbarism.)
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To: 11th_VA

Oh how hilarious it would be after all the hype from leftists on social media (and the mainstream media) the federal gains made by the Democratic Party in the 2018 midterms was just a few U.S. House seats (while losing seats in the U.S. Senate.)


57 posted on 01/31/2018 4:37:16 PM PST by Trump20162020
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To: 11th_VA

And February’s higher paychecks due to the tax cuts haven’t even kicked in yet.....


58 posted on 01/31/2018 4:39:19 PM PST by Intolerant in NJ
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To: 11th_VA

If you thought the RATS had sour pusses last night, wait until you see their ugly faces the night of Tuesday, November 6th!


59 posted on 01/31/2018 4:49:48 PM PST by july4thfreedomfoundation (SCHLONGED: How Donald Trump Beat My Lying, Marxist Ass and Went On to Win the November Election. HRC)
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To: All

marked for reading


60 posted on 01/31/2018 5:30:54 PM PST by rbmillerjr (Reagan conservative: All 3 Pillars)
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