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A New Poll Looks Mighty Grim for Democrats (Generic down to two points 47/45)
NY Magazine ^ | Ed Kilgore

Posted on 01/31/2018 12:26:29 PM PST by 11th_VA

It’s just one poll from one polling outlet (albeit one given an A+ rating for accuracy and sound methodology by FiveThirtyEight). But for Democrats already concerned about the love shown the president in snap polls following last night’s State of the Union Address, the first 2018 national survey from Monmouth University lands like a punch in the mouth.

Compared to its December poll, the new results (taken from interviews between January 28 and January 30) show big gains for both Trump and his party among registered voters. His December job approval rating, at 32 percent, was his lowest since taking office according to Monmouth’s temperature readings. Now it has bounced up to 42 percent. Similarly, in December the GOP tax bill was notably unpopular, with 26 percent approving of it and 47 percent disapproving. Now opinions on the bill, after lots of hype about bonuses and cuts in tax withholding, are dead even at 44/44.

Worst of all for Dems, a 15-point advantage in the generic congressional ballot in December (51/36) is now down to two points (47/45). This equals the smallest Democratic advantage in any poll since the beginning of the current election cycle.

Yes, there’s been a general pro-Republican trend in the generic ballot in recent weeks. In the RealClearPolitics polling averages the Democratic advantage peaked at 13 percent just before Christmas, and has come down to 7.5 percent now. But that latter number is still consistent with major Democratic gains, and perhaps a House takeover, in November. A two-point margin is another thing altogether...

(Excerpt) Read more at nymag.com ...


TOPICS: Front Page News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2018election; 2018midterms; 2018polls; 2020election; election2018; election2020; poll; winning
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To: cgbg

Nah according to Nan Pelosi those are just meaningless crumbs LOL


21 posted on 01/31/2018 12:48:13 PM PST by Sarah Barracuda
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To: 11th_VA
The Democrats can NEVER 'walk back' what their 2016 standard bearer, Hillary Clinton, said ... "Deplorable ... Irredeemable" ... she said it, it's in the record, and there it is for all to see.

They can attempt any excuse to try to deflect, but Hillary's screed is out in the stark open and no matter what they try, it ain't gonna go away.

Their adolescent behavior at the SOTU last night just punctuates everything that Hillary said with the contempt that they have of us true Americans.

~ MM ~

22 posted on 01/31/2018 12:49:43 PM PST by Mr_Moonlight (Ich bin ein Deplorable)
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To: 11th_VA

Only the beginning.

Theses true believers are gonna go apoplectic in November.


23 posted on 01/31/2018 12:51:50 PM PST by simpson96
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To: Kozak

Expect the Financial Puppet Masters to do all they can to crash the markets.


24 posted on 01/31/2018 12:52:09 PM PST by greeneyes
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To: 11th_VA

This is why it’s so important not to permit the democRATS to increase their electorate by importing them from s**thole countries. They cannot win on the issues, so they must enlarge their voting base.


25 posted on 01/31/2018 12:52:13 PM PST by Salvey
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To: beergarden

...blue wave my ass LOL...

The only blue wave they will see is the one they make after the end of their currentblong walk off a short pier


26 posted on 01/31/2018 12:56:02 PM PST by Sasparilla ( I'm Not Tired of Winning)
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To: greeneyes

...Expect the Financial Puppet Masters to do all they can to crash the markets...

They will try everything they can to damage the growing economy and blame Trump for what they do.


27 posted on 01/31/2018 12:58:21 PM PST by Sasparilla ( I'm Not Tired of Winning)
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To: Sasparilla

I’d like the Financial Puppet Masters to try. It’ll just create a buying opportunity for Real Americans.


28 posted on 01/31/2018 1:04:20 PM PST by Netheron
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To: rfp1234

and for those who watched young Kennedy make the Democrat response to the State of the Union, you can see how out of touch these Democrats are.

The latest Kennedy cousin to enter politics is the future of the Democratic party? Spewing out liberal pablum as he did last night???


29 posted on 01/31/2018 1:06:40 PM PST by Dilbert San Diego
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To: rigelkentaurus

Alabama baby!


30 posted on 01/31/2018 1:06:44 PM PST by freedumb2003 (obozo took 8 years to try to destroy us. Trump took 1 to rebuild us. MAGA!!)
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To: 11th_VA

So much for the BS about taking back the House. The GOP will likely pick up 2-3 senate seats in the midterms also.


31 posted on 01/31/2018 1:12:01 PM PST by Georgia Girl 2 (The only purpose of a pistol is to fight your way back to the rifle you should never have dropped)
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To: Buckeye McFrog
bbbb....bbbbb.....bbbb.......bbbbut it’s a BLUE WAVE! They’re gonna SWEEEP both Houses of Congress!!

The Liberal Media will continue to say that no matter what any poll says. Then they will be surprised, like on Election Night in 2016, when their prediction does not pan out.

32 posted on 01/31/2018 1:19:05 PM PST by Repeal 16-17 (Let me know when the Shooting starts.)
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To: Repeal 16-17

Well white people are getting tired of being called racist..

And the Democrats do not Know it but.... LEGAL immigrants hate illegals..


33 posted on 01/31/2018 1:23:33 PM PST by Hojczyk
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To: Repeal 16-17

Well white people are getting tired of being called racist..

And the Democrats do not Know it but.... LEGAL immigrants hate illegals..


34 posted on 01/31/2018 1:23:56 PM PST by Hojczyk
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To: 11th_VA

There is no reason for anyone who doesn’t hate America to ever vote for a Democrat.


35 posted on 01/31/2018 1:24:14 PM PST by MountainWalker
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To: 11th_VA

The Democrats have buried themselves. They’re preaching doom and gloom while the president offered and provided proof of our greatness and prosperity! What vision of America do you think most people want to embrace. It sure as hell isn’t the Democrats!


36 posted on 01/31/2018 1:25:44 PM PST by dowcaet
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To: 11th_VA

Wait till the tax cuts and raises kick in !


37 posted on 01/31/2018 1:27:18 PM PST by Newbomb Turk (Hey Newbomb, where is your bothers ElCamino ?)
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To: 11th_VA

38 posted on 01/31/2018 1:29:06 PM PST by Old Teufel Hunden
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To: 11th_VA

If Trump, and therefore Republicans are doing this well after all the media bed-wetting about Russia and Corruption of justice, just imagine what Trump’s rating would be if he got fair coverage by the mainstream media.

And forget about the fawning coverage Obama got.


39 posted on 01/31/2018 1:33:28 PM PST by RedMonqey (Rockets... Lottsa Rockets..)
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To: 11th_VA
We're having a special election in my district for disgraced Congressman Tim Murphy. It's very conservative so the Dems have put up a guy (Lamb) who's a Marine veteran. Yeah, well Semper Fi, but I'm not voting for him. The Republican has already been endorsed by Trump (Rick Saccone) when Trump was here and his commercials are great!

He has Lamb following after Nancy Pelosi and a bunch of sheep in the commercial. It's hilarious!!!



It's a fun play on his name and expect to see more of these type of commercials all across the country.
40 posted on 01/31/2018 1:35:55 PM PST by Old Teufel Hunden
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