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Larry Sabato’s Exactly Right About Virginia
Rush Limbaugh.com ^ | November 8, 2017 | Rush Limbaugh

Posted on 11/08/2017 5:08:45 PM PST by Kaslin

RUSH: Here is one more sound bite, Larry Sabato. Some people say in Rio Linda Sabato, but it’s Sabato. He runs the Center for Politics at the University of Virginia. He’s a renowned political scientist of great repute among some, and he was on Shannon Bream’s show on the Fox News Channel last night — Fox News @ Night, Fox News After Dark — and she said, “Did Ed Gillespie try to embrace some of the president’s policies while not necessarily embracing him? What led to this resounding defeat?”

SABATO: Virginia is now a blue state. We’ve been calling it kind of purple competitive. We’ll just go ahead and call it blue. It’s not as deep blue as California or New York or Maryland, but it’s blue. So you would expect a Democrat to be elected when there’s a Republican president, particularly when the GOP president is unpopular, and he is unpopular in Virginia. He’s popular in red states, but he’s not popular in blue states. Everybody asked me, “Well, does this mean that Democrats will sweep in 2018?” I don’t know. We have a whole year to go. There will be a hundred big things that happen between now and then could change perceptions.

BREAM: Mmm-hmm.

RUSH: Holy smokes! I don’t believe it.

SABATO: Anybody who predicts 2018 on the basis of 2017 can be embarrassed.

RUSH: I’ve gotta applaud Larry Sabato!

SABATO: I would urge them not to do so.

RUSH: This is the first political consultant, whatever, adviser, expert that I’ve ever heard say “I don’t know.” And he’s exactly right! There are all kinds of things that are gonna happen between now and next year’s election, and there’s no way anybody can know what’s gonna happen. That’s why you listen to Schumer and all of these media people with their recitation of what are obviously scripted talking points — and their message is, “Trump has been rejected!”

“The American people are finally awakened. They see Trump for what he is: A total reprobate pig. The American people regret electing him. The American people have buyer’s remorse. The American people now realize the Democrats is the answer to everybody’s problems, yada yada yada,” and Sabato’s point’s right on the money: Virginia is a blue state where you’d expect what happened yesterday to happen. It’s not a surprise!

The surprise would have been… Trump didn’t win Virginia; Hillary did. It would have been a surprise if Gillespie had won. Gillespie didn’t do anything to win. Look, I don’t want to start dumping on these guys. They’ve got enough problems as it is. But there’s no way that you can Trump’s policies and somehow avoid embracing Trump. Our guys try to thread this needle in I don’t know how many different ways not just this elections but supporting various pieces of legislation or what they say to the media.



TOPICS: Culture/Society; Editorial; Politics/Elections; US: Virginia
KEYWORDS: gillespie
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1 posted on 11/08/2017 5:08:45 PM PST by Kaslin
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To: Kaslin

the GOP-e is a LOSING ticket and not only in Va.


2 posted on 11/08/2017 5:12:45 PM PST by faithhopecharity (Politicians are not born, they're excreted." -- Marcus Tillius Cicero)
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To: Kaslin

He wouldn’t have won regardless.


3 posted on 11/08/2017 5:18:10 PM PST by Husker24
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To: Kaslin

We always do this to ourselves. There was no way Gillespie was going to win. He was never ahead in the polls. Virginia is a Blue State. So we lost in a State we were always going to lose and now we look at it like a big failure. GEEZ... ENOUGH.


4 posted on 11/08/2017 5:28:38 PM PST by Hildy
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To: Kaslin

The East Coast is shifting to all Left, a trend that has been going on for decades. I have watched Pennsylvania go this way for a long time. Outside the urban areas, it still is conservative, but less so as time goes on. Liberalism is a progressive disease.


5 posted on 11/08/2017 5:34:47 PM PST by Aut Pax Aut Bellum (Stay Calm and Carry.)
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To: Kaslin

There are still counties in Southern Illinois that go 70 to 80% GOP. Urbanization is problematic.


6 posted on 11/08/2017 5:35:24 PM PST by se_ohio_buckwye
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To: Kaslin

over 12 % of Virginians are now foreign-born. Another large portion are hood DC overflow. It’s certainly not the state it used to be. Sad.


7 posted on 11/08/2017 5:54:33 PM PST by blueplum ( "...this moment is your moment: it belongs to you... " President Donald J. Trump, Jan 20, 2017)
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George W. Bush made it a blue state with third world immigration.


8 posted on 11/08/2017 6:06:44 PM PST by TakebackGOP
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To: blueplum

The GOP is a waste of time and money.....they either go 100 percent Trumpism....or they fail and the country is done if the democrats run DC again...


9 posted on 11/08/2017 6:09:14 PM PST by Hojczyk
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To: TakebackGOP

George Bush didn’t make it blue, the explosion of the size of federal government u dee Obama made it blue.


10 posted on 11/08/2017 6:34:59 PM PST by irish guard
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To: Kaslin

I understand there in much block voting - by categories:
1. Blacks, throughout state - usually over 90% for Democrats
2. Muslims, have a large population in Northern Virginia and probably vote close to 100% for Dems
3. Hispanics all over state probably vote 90% for Dems
4. Unions: government, shipyards, docks, railroad - vote strong for Dems

All that the Republican have a chance for are non-union white men and women but we don’t get enough to win Virginia. But that is the group to work on.


11 posted on 11/08/2017 6:49:11 PM PST by elpadre (AfganistaMr Obama said theoal was to "disrupt, dismantle and defeat al-hereQaeda" and its allies.)
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To: Hildy

We can take back VA and every other State if we fight. We can’t rely on politicians to fight. We have to do it as the people. Challenge your neighbors and friends. Take your friends and children shooting. Connect, push, fight, never quit. Don’t write off any State. Don’t ever give up. Fight, fight, fight. We need to get motivated for 2018. The rats are pushing, we need to push back 1000%.


12 posted on 11/08/2017 6:51:11 PM PST by TexasGurl24
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To: Kaslin
"SABATO: Virginia is now a blue state. We’ve been calling it kind of purple competitive."

only now blue ? at what level ?
Virginia has had only 9 Repub Governors since 1856.

13 posted on 11/08/2017 7:08:55 PM PST by stylin19a (Best.Election.Ever)
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To: Kaslin

http://www.newsmax.com/Politics/larry-sabato-apology-bad-predictions/2016/11/09/id/758044/

Sabato couldn’t hit the side of a barn with a scattergun.


14 posted on 11/08/2017 7:09:45 PM PST by tumblindice (America's founding fathers: all armed conservatives)
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To: Kaslin

Sanatorium is right. The Dem victory in Virginia is not a surprise and certainly not predictive.


15 posted on 11/08/2017 7:26:28 PM PST by Crucial
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To: Kaslin

Sabato has a new and improved toupée.


16 posted on 11/09/2017 4:10:36 AM PST by Albion Wilde (I was not elected to continue a failed system. I was elected to change it. --Donald J. Trump)
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To: Albion Wilde

Maybe a different haircut from when he was younger, but toupée? no way


17 posted on 11/09/2017 5:04:57 AM PST by Kaslin (Politicians are not born; they are excreted -Civilibus nati sunt; sunt excernitur. (Cicero)
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To: irish guard

Larry Sabato talked about the immigrants in Virginia in 2008, and Obama won VA in 2008.


18 posted on 11/09/2017 5:29:59 AM PST by TakebackGOP
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To: Kaslin

Virginia is gone.


19 posted on 11/09/2017 5:30:41 AM PST by dfwgator
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To: TakebackGOP

Obama won both times because blacks showed up at the polls in record numbers to elect a black president. when the Hildabeast ran, black people had no reason to vote and didn’t like her. Virginia still went blue in 2016...it’s a blue state. Is it because of immigrants or all the lefties in gubmint? I’ll go with the latter.


20 posted on 11/09/2017 7:03:27 AM PST by irish guard
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