Posted on 11/04/2016 5:09:41 AM PDT by wise_caucasian
RCP poll averages now show Trump leading in NH.
(Excerpt) Read more at realclearpolitics.com ...
RCP gave Trump NH, but took away FLORIDA, so that Trump would not be sitting at 269 EV by their own count.
RI is going to be the only “lost cause” state in New England that will not vote for Trump.
True. Need some better poll results for FL. Interestingly, Nate Silver at 538.com gives Trump a 52% chance of winning FL (polls plus forecast).
http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/florida/#plus
Don’t count on Trump winning CT either.
The big surprise in Florida will be the black vote. Hillary needs between 90-95% to carry the state. It is doubtful she will get 85% of the black vote.
You’re not predicting a Trump win in VT, MA and CT, are you?
Good Lord, I hope this doesn’t come to FL again. RCP is now showing that for her based on recent polls.
Why the disconnect? Early voting, per SpeedyTexas and Ravi, is a clear Trump win. Are we underestimating Hispanic defections in Miami-Dade or are the polls assuming a wrong turnout model.?
I was about to point that out, but you got there first. It’s going to be a close race if the polls are accurate. It’s going to be a blowout if there’s a hidden Trump vote. Even with that hidden Trump vote, it’s going to be a close race if the fictional and dead voters turn out in epic numbers on Tuesday. I’m nervous.
You think he'll take MA? I'll vote, but it's a futile gesture in the Gay State.
I have wondered at the events of the last few days. I have felt like so many Americans must have felt in the latter days of WWII that our troops were out there fighting evil and having a pretty tough go of it but still pushing ahead.
In this last push, I am reminded of the assault amassed on Hitler’s great fortress of Europe which occupied out forces within and without for such a long time to prepare to assault.
If I were to try and compare that period in time to today, I’d say our collective struggle has been with the elitists of both parties and our media (you don’t have to guess what role they play in my mind). We took North Africa and then Sicily and then Italy - it cost us plenty. Here in this time, the same - lots of Trump attacks to fend off and overcome.
But we made it to the doorstep. Trump became THE candidate to defeat Hitler(y), and we have become an “island arsenal of our own” amassing all the might and strength we need for the final assault. Those days - that day - are here! Salvation or disaster. Our “Longest Day” is Tuesday, and we’ll hit the beaches (the equivalents of Gold, Juno, Sword, Omaha and Utah) and will breach that fortress and onto BERLIN! All compacted into the span of ONE NIGHT.
No prisoners!
I just took another look at the internals of that Fox13/Savy poll and I can see how they got Clinton a 4 point lead. They have Female-Male at 56-44 and from a racial breakdown, Whites at 66 and Latino/Hispanic at 16. Definitely a pro Clinton sample.
Need a more accurate FL poll to turn RCP back around.
DML Provides Stunning Analysis, Predicts Trump Will Win Presidential Election
Nervous about Florida!!!
See where Trump will be back down in Tampa tomorrow—telling about his internals.
I guess we can expect another black church burning courtesy of the Clintons. The KKK (founded by the democrats and still an arm) already did their only valuable job for the Democrats, endorsing Trump.
If he has FL and NV, then he wins the election with NH. I think he’ll win FL. He won’t need PA, MI, or CO.
Needs NC too.
Since Romney won that, he’ll get NC.
Pence is in Lansing, MI, Greenville, NC and Miami, FL today.
I think Cruz is with him in MI.
Pence and Trump are both in Manchester, NH on Monday.
Trump is in OH, PA and NH today. FL, NC and Nevada tomorrow and IA on Sunday. Trump also in Raleigh, NC on Monday.
I bet he is wearing Hillary out! She’s used to a 20 min speech then rest for 4-5 days.
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