Posted on 10/24/2016 5:56:02 AM PDT by Kaslin
Forget what the polls and pundits are saying, Donald Trump will be the next president of the United States, predicts Stony Brook University professor Helmut Norpoth.
Norpoth, who has accurately predicted the last five presidential elections, uses two models. The first, he told Fox News’ Tucker Carlson, is the primary model, which tracks how the candidates are performing, and “it usually turns out the candidate who does better in his party's primaries or her party’s primaries beats the other guy who does less well.”
He used the primary races in South Carolina and New Hampshire for the 2016 election, where Trump won and did better than Clinton did in the Democratic race.
The second model, he explains, is called the Swing of the Pendulum, which is the tendency for a change after two terms of a party being in the White House. This, of course, gives the prediction that a Republican will win in 2016.
Norpoth is so convinced by his models that he’s putting his money where his mouth is. He bought shares in the Republican candidate in the Iowa Electronic Markets a long time ago and he’s sticking with it, he said.
Helmut Norpoth : TRUMP will be POTUS : Ignore what Polls say
Sheese!
""All 16 losers of the Republican primaries are claiming that Trump rigged the spring voting!!" (multiple DNC sources)
Is Massive Voter Fraud included in his calculations ?
Sosume is the name of my lawyer’s dog...
BUMP
LOL!
Even though Rollins says he’s voting for Trump I’ve never heard him say a good word for Trump. Always negative.
Was just listening to Mark Davis in DFW. A caller who was in the business of robo calls, said the pollsters are making about 40% to 50% fewer calls this year. This reduction is compounded by the fewer responses being received. What does it mean? I really don’t know, but as far as I am concerned, this backs up what I think:these polls are shaky at best and shoddy at worst. Just my $0.02 worth
Then stay home.
Otherwise go F off, and stop acting like some sissy.
God is watching over all of this. If we are sincere enough about wanting His heart to prevail over the devil’s nefarious wishes, He will grant our prayer.
The Democrats may be outsmarting themselves with these rosy projections about Hillary. That will depress their vote due to overconfidence.
If Trump had given his Gettysburg speech months ago he would be 10 points ahead. However in a close race corruption and fraud will take a few key states and put Hillary in the White House. I am resigned to President Hillary running the country into the ground, shredding the Bill of Rights and becoming dictator.
BTTT to a great post
Multiple DNC sources. That says it all.
Well?
“bought shares in the Republican candidate”
WTF does that mean??
.
Is he insured against Arkancides?
.
Oh, I so hope he is correct. Hope he has factored in voter fraud.
So, I point out that the corruption in Washington and in the MSM is too overwhelming for anyone to overcome and that your response?
That's exactly why Hillary and her ilk are allowed to get away with murder. People like you prefer to bury their heads up their asses. As far as staying home, that's what gave us two terms of Obama.
You gave the standard surrender troll speech of give up and don’t bother.
So STAY HOME on November 8th. Are you?
I've never failed to miss an election and I won't miss this one. For the reasons I've already stated.
However, the deck is stacked against Trump and admitting it is not defeatism or an act of "surrender". All things being equal, the Democrats wouldn't stand a chance in this election, and by all rights, Republicans should be able to take the White House and obtain a filibuster proof majority in both the House and Senate.
Things are not equal and we are living in a banana republic and the sooner we admit it, the sooner people might actually be motivated to get out and vote in numbers that matter.
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