Posted on 10/24/2016 5:56:02 AM PDT by Kaslin
Forget what the polls and pundits are saying, Donald Trump will be the next president of the United States, predicts Stony Brook University professor Helmut Norpoth.
Norpoth, who has accurately predicted the last five presidential elections, uses two models. The first, he told Fox News’ Tucker Carlson, is the primary model, which tracks how the candidates are performing, and “it usually turns out the candidate who does better in his party's primaries or her party’s primaries beats the other guy who does less well.”
He used the primary races in South Carolina and New Hampshire for the 2016 election, where Trump won and did better than Clinton did in the Democratic race.
The second model, he explains, is called the Swing of the Pendulum, which is the tendency for a change after two terms of a party being in the White House. This, of course, gives the prediction that a Republican will win in 2016.
Norpoth is so convinced by his models that he’s putting his money where his mouth is. He bought shares in the Republican candidate in the Iowa Electronic Markets a long time ago and he’s sticking with it, he said.
Helmut Norpoth : TRUMP will be POTUS : Ignore what Polls say
Danke Herr Helmuth. Hope you are right!!!
Has he factored in the left’s psychotic desire to win at all costs and their use of voter fraud?
I believe him totally but think that for this election, more votes just won’t be enough..
Helmut Norpoth better be right! I’m feeling depressed
Just heard Ed Rollins say the Election is basically over & Hillary will be POTUS!!!!!!
This guy has had his story posted here over a dozen times...
Just heard Ed Rollins say the Election is basically over & Hillary will be POTUS!!!!!!
[Just heard Ed Rollins say the Election is basically over & Hillary will be POTUS!!!!!!]
Yup. You wouldnt know by such comments Rollins runs a “pro-Trump” superPac. The guy’s nothing more than a fraud!!
He was also Perot’s campaign manager.
WHY DO THE MEDIA KEEP SAYING HILLIARY IS UP BY 12 POINTS TODAY???
It’s semi-rhetorica- I know wha
They want to suppress Trump vote and help HilLIARy to wi
But the polls are all over the map
We have polls cited here that show Trump up by 2. His rallies draw 20,000 people, hers barely draw 300.
IS THIS A SETUP TO LET THEM DO MASSIVE VOTE FRAUD?
He doesn’t factor in fraud or media collusion.
Yeah...I caught a few seconds of this jackass on Maria's show this morning and wanted to shoot the TV. What a sellout. Typical GOP weak sister.
I could not have said it any better.
He's probably right.
Everyone who has been saying Trump will win just didn't take into account the level of media bias and voter fraud that Republicans would face this election cycle.
It's unlike anything I've ever seen and I thought the last two election were bad and I've been following politics since I was old enough to vote.
The deck is stacked against Trump and NO WAY, ANY candidate could overcome this level corruption.
Anyone that thinks Trump has a chance is just plain kidding themselves.
So? Sue me
Prepare for incoming excoriations... Reality, er...ummm... Defeatism isn’t allowed.
Only whistling past the graves.
The rats want us to stay home. So are you going to listen to them and stay home. Prove them wrong and go vote for Donald Trump either in the early election or on November 8 2016
Watch "Hillary Clinton: A Career Criminal" on YouTube
https://youtu.be/kypl1MYuKDY (19.46 min)
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