[Future Useless Eater]

Nearly EVERY poll cheats as much as they think they can get away with in EVERY DEMOGRAPHIC to help Hillary.

We already know polls cheat on the DEM/Republican distribution, but here is also an example of cheating with the Female / Male mix.




I would bet this poll ALSO cheats in "age brackets", "education", and "income brackets" too, to favor Hillary.
In fact... HERE is an example of the MOST "Hillary-Friendly" age bracket being more-heavily polled over time

[Mjreagan]

That’s a really generous gender gap for Hillary. It was 53-47 last time and I’d expect that if not closer.

Also, I noticed in the WaPo internals that Trump and HRC are essentially tied with white women. He doesn’t have a ‘woman problem’, it’s a ‘female minority’ issue.

[Lazamataz]

This is gold. Thank you.

[InterceptPoint]

Excellent work Future Useless Eater.

I have to admit to making the now obvious error that the demographic distributions used by the LAT/USC/Dornsife poll were pretty much fixed.

Your trend line for the Female/Male ratio is quite telling and shows me that there is fudging going on even with our favorite poll. Likewise for the <$35K percentage.

Keep up the good work. You should follow up on your own speculation and analyze Age Brackets, Education and Income Brackets.

[InterceptPoint]

My quickie analysis of your 53% to 55.5% change in the M/F mix yields somewhere between a 1.5% and 2.0% bump for Hillary in this poll. A slight fudge that the LAT hopes nobody will notice.

But you did notice. Thanks again.

[jazminerose]

Fortunately, Trump’s base isn’t deterred by such chicanery. Nobody believes polls anymore.

[Voluntaryist]

Amazing!
I saw your reply in the other the thread as well. Thanks for digging and putting this together.

[upchuck]

Like I said, polls are a bunch of crap.