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Posted on 10/01/2016 7:00:34 AM PDT by NautiNurse
Hurricane Matthew is big, bad and just downright scary, and we await the long anticipated sharp turn northward. Jamaica is completing final storm preparations. All interests in the Eastern U.S. and Bahamas should be carefully watching the track of Mighty Matthew.
Ripped straight from the NHC Discussion page:
Matthew remains south of a low-to mid-level ridge over
the western Atlantic. The dynamical models forecast this ridge to
weaken over the next 72 hours as a mid- to upper-level trough develops
over the Gulf of Mexico. This evolution should cause Matthew to turn
northwestward after 24 hours and northward by 48-72 hours. The guidance
generally agrees with this scenario. However, there is a spread between
the GFS forecast of landfall in Jamaica and eastern Cuba and the ECMWF
forecast landfall in southwestern Haiti. The guidance becomes more
divergent after 72 hours.
Cone of Death Historic Archive Loop
Mash image to find lots of satellite imagery links
Public Advisories
NHC Discussions
Buoy 42058 Central Caribbean (in storm path)
Florida & Eastern Gulf Buoy Locations
SE Atlantic Coast Buoy Locations
SE U.S. Radar Sector
Gitmo Radar (primitive)
Jamaica Radar Loop (primitive)
If the info above doesn't satisfy your need for speed and graphics, strap yourself in for a ride to Mike's Weather Page
Thanks for posting the very detailed analysis. It thoroughly explains to U.S. East Coast dwellers that next week is a crap shoot.
Tom Terry update Orlando’s WFTV 15 mins ago:
https://www.facebook.com/TomTerryWFTV/videos/1408880539126619/
Yeah I hate to keep saying we know only so much but it’s not that unusual with these big storms.
Cool link! Thanks!
On/Off Hurricane List Mash Here--> 
Sketti models show it going north and east of Florida.
Keeping my eye on this one. Thanks for the pingS.
Excellent video (as of October 2) explaining the forces at play in determining the way Matthew will go (east coast potential impacts). This guy is my favorite weather guy - he’s in private business, not a TV met. Video is about 15 minutes long - good detail & explanations.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EoBbyCJLF2c&feature=youtu.be
PS - Don’t let the first 30 seconds put you off .... DT is a bit of a character & that’s his usual intro - still an excellent presentation.
Huh. Just checked the graphic on Drudge...several now bringing it closer to the coast.
These steering influences are interesting. But I still don’t know whether to buy extra chocolate;)
Thanks for the ping.
The "T" name graph looks like it is quivering in the wind, while 42058 is a smoothed line.
One word: Hazel
Hazel?
I don't get it.
Okay. I get it.
An old NC friend of mine told stories about Hurricane Hazel, including one about Uncle found dangling in a tree.
Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 30 miles from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to
195 miles.
On/Off Hurricane List Mash Here-->
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