Posted on 09/29/2016 2:18:17 PM PDT by Ravi
9/29/16: DEM-70,724; GOP-29,016; UAF-28,690
9/27/12: DEM-127,541; GOP-30,637; UAF-44,728
9/28/14: DEM-81,937; GOP-42,145; UAF-31,969
(Excerpt) Read more at sos.iowa.gov ...
Interesting stats. Thanks for your effort.
The Dems had an increase of 50,000 absentee ballots over 2010? That's a BIG jump. Are there similar jumps in other states??
They have to get their absentee ballots in before they Snow Bird down to Florida to vote here next month.
? Cheating already?? Rush did say that trump didn’t have a very good ground operation..true??
No, they had a 50,000 drop from 2012 to 2016.
This doesn’t look like good news to me, and I thought we were winning in IA. Repubs look far, far behind Dems this year.
What am I missing?
Oh...my heart almost gave out..I thought they had a 50,000 increase..whew!
Traditionally, Democrats vote absentee far more than Republicans...these numbers actually point to the Democrats underperforming 2012.
Ah, thank you. That explains it!
I sick of Rush
WTF does he know by all accounts he learned from Cruz early on and firmed up the ground game
GOP 69% of 2014, Dem 86% of 2014. Not really good.
He has one Helluva good ground game in Nevada - I get calls and emails nightly, offering me absentee applications, reminding me to vote.
From my point of view in the golden western suburbs of Des Moines, it looks like Dems are depressed about the campaign while Republicans are falling into line behind Trump.
Typical GOPers in Iowa aren’t as enthusiastic about Trump as Trump supporters in other places, but they’re not abandoning him either, and are enjoying chuckles at the expense of the MSM. They’re loyal soldiers. And Trump has plenty of enthusiasm from some independents and less-dedicated GOPers.
Most Dems (apart from the prematurely gray hippie women) seem neutral on Hillary in the same way they were reluctant on Gov. Culver (”The Big Lug”) in 2010. Culver lost.
I agree with folks, this all doesn’t look that good to me but all the polls say Trump is defeating Clinton. It’s almost like I didn’t worry about Iowa until I see this!
GOP down about 40K so far.
In 2012 GOP was down about 100K.
So although R and D are both down the net affect is we are ahead 60K from 2012.
The correct comparison seems like it should be vs 2012.
And compare net change vs vote margin in 2012.
In that case it’s Dems down 50K so far.
Many Democrats will be voting Trump.
So that’s 50-60K out of the 88K of Obamas victory margin in 2012. So far anyway, who knows if Dem voters are just for some reason more likely to vote in person this year.
So that’s 50-60K out of the 88K of Obamas victory margin in 2012. So far anyway, who knows if Dem voters are just for some reason more likely to vote in person this year.
Hopefully they are staying home, why come out to vote for Hillary.
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