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Who will win the Presidency?
fivethirtyeight blog ^ | September 26, 2016 | Nate Silver, et al

Posted on 09/26/2016 8:23:42 AM PDT by ConservativeDude

Clinton chance of winning: 51.8% Trump chance of winning: 48.2%

(Excerpt) Read more at projects.fivethirtyeight.com ...


TOPICS: Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2016polls; fivethirtyeight; natesilver
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Boom! Trump is closing in on 538! And the timing is perfect! I can hear liberal heads spinning everywhere!!!
1 posted on 09/26/2016 8:23:43 AM PDT by ConservativeDude
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To: ConservativeDude

The recent surge in Colorado for Trump is doing damage to clinton.

Almost at a tipping point. And when Silver tips, the entire liberal world order is going to flip out!


2 posted on 09/26/2016 8:25:08 AM PDT by ConservativeDude
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To: ConservativeDude

Check out their Now Cast analysis...


3 posted on 09/26/2016 8:26:03 AM PDT by Eccl 10:2 (Prov 3:5 --- "Trust in the Lord with all your heart and lean not on your own understanding")
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To: ConservativeDude

AND....I just noticed. If the election were held today, according to Nate, Trump wins!:

http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/?ex_cid=rrpromo#now


4 posted on 09/26/2016 8:26:33 AM PDT by ConservativeDude
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Nate Silver is such a CLOWN, WTF can’t call it 50/50

IDIOT knows Helmut Norpoth & Allan Lichtman calling it for TRUMP yet he’s still giving alittle edge to Hillary but he’s not stupid enough to go 99% Hillary LOL


5 posted on 09/26/2016 8:26:36 AM PDT by KavMan
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To: ConservativeDude

TURNOUT will decide this election.


6 posted on 09/26/2016 8:26:43 AM PDT by Drango (A liberal's compassion is limited only by the size of someone else's wallet.)
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To: ConservativeDude

He recooked state poll “house effect” just hours ago to help Hillary. I agree with everyone here that he wants to be seen as correct in the end, but this is seriously disgusting.

https://www.reddit.com/r/The_Donald/comments/54kkhs/pathetic_nate_plastic_from_538_btfo_caught/


7 posted on 09/26/2016 8:27:58 AM PDT by Voluntaryist
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To: ConservativeDude

If Clintoon is ahead, why are there 15-20 Times the amount of people at Trump rallies. I call bullshit to any poll that doesn’t have trump ahead by 5-10 percentage points. The only way he won’t will by a landslide, is by voter fraud, like obama did.


8 posted on 09/26/2016 8:28:19 AM PDT by davidb56
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To: Eccl 10:2

I know!!!! Just saw that!!!!!


9 posted on 09/26/2016 8:29:10 AM PDT by ConservativeDude
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To: ConservativeDude

The newest poll B.S. discoverd on reddit:
Nate Silver changing his weighting mechanics to “aide” Clinton:

https://www.reddit.com/r/The_Donald/comments/54kkhs/pathetic_nate_plastic_from_538_btfo_caught/?ref=share&ref_source=embed&utm_content=title&utm_medium=post_embed&utm_name=2601f4f3054a47df9a53be62e1f63226&utm_source=embedly&utm_term=54kkhs


10 posted on 09/26/2016 8:29:46 AM PDT by HarleyLady27 ('THE FORCE AWAKENS!!!' Trump/Pence; Trump/Pence; Trump/Pence 100%)
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To: HarleyLady27

The_Donald is very good at calling stuff out asap


11 posted on 09/26/2016 8:31:19 AM PDT by Voluntaryist
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To: ConservativeDude

And thus the NY Times and Wash Post rolling out their anti-Trump nukes 6 weeks before election day.


12 posted on 09/26/2016 8:31:59 AM PDT by BlueStateRightist (Government is best which governs least.)
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To: HarleyLady27

BUT....it’s ok.

Trump is still “winning”/going to “win” on 538, and just in time. And when it really tips, liberal despair is going to set in, and conservative/indy voters are going to flock to the winner...thus likely tipping one of WI, MI, PA, NH, and the other cds in Maine.


13 posted on 09/26/2016 8:32:37 AM PDT by ConservativeDude
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To: ConservativeDude

Slanted polls won’t tell the truth.

What are the odds in Vegas?


14 posted on 09/26/2016 8:32:43 AM PDT by bgill (From the CDC site, "We don't know how people are infected with Ebola")
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To: ConservativeDude
To understand why Trump is almost certainly 5% ahead of where his poll results are presently coming in; one needs to understand a simple reality. While Trump has basically thrashed the PC bullies, in winning the nomination; there are still remnants of the quarter century of bullying that stifled discussions on "sensitive" subjects over the years. Everyone is still not free of the influence.

Thus it is absolutely predictable that a certain percentage of the public will still be somewhat intimidated from publicly announcing their support--or even admitting their support for the non-PC candidate.

This is not, however, a reason to let up on our efforts--Not in the slightest. We need as great a landslide as possible to get some of those in Congress on board for the new President's agenda. Upward & onward. America is at stake!

15 posted on 09/26/2016 8:33:13 AM PDT by Ohioan
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To: davidb56

This is what I’ve feared since the beginning - A 49/51 split that will put Clinton as a winner.

She has like 20%. Everything else is a lie. The numbers simply aren’t there.

If Trump can appeal to the Bernbots tonight, there is no mathematical way she can win. Period.


16 posted on 09/26/2016 8:34:21 AM PDT by Celerity
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To: Drango

Trump has furnished a reason for many conservative couch sitters to care.


17 posted on 09/26/2016 8:37:12 AM PDT by HiTech RedNeck (Embrace the Lion of Judah and He will roar for you and teach you to roar too. See my page.)
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To: bgill

On the home page of realclearpolitics, it says the “betting odds” are still 64 / 36 Clinton.

I have no idea how they come up with that, which betting houses they survey, etc....


18 posted on 09/26/2016 8:40:18 AM PDT by ConservativeDude
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To: ConservativeDude
The question of who will win depends on if it will be an honest election, or an election tilted by a cheating corrupt government and voter fraud. IMHO the outcome will depend on that rather than a straight forward one man one vote with an honest count.

This corrupt administration loves to follow the advice of communist leaders of the 20th century, so why not the Joseph Stalin's advice of "The people who cast the votes decide nothing. The people who count the votes decide everything."

19 posted on 09/26/2016 8:42:22 AM PDT by GregoTX
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To: ConservativeDude

The worm has turned - according to Nate, this map give the Donald, 275 EV

20 posted on 09/26/2016 8:44:40 AM PDT by 11th_VA (No Quarter for 'NeverTrumpers')
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