Posted on 09/15/2016 7:21:44 PM PDT by usafa92
Colorado: Jefferson Co: Clinton +2 Pennsylvania: Luzerne Co: Trump +18, Northampton Trump +8 Florida: Hillsborough Co: Trump +1 North Carolina: Watauga Co: Trump +8 Ohio: Sandusky Co: Trump +7 Hamilton County Clinton +1 Nevada: Washoe Co: Trump +17 Virginia: Loudon Co: Clinton +2 Wisconsin: Door County: Clinton +9
Door County aka “the Cape Cod of the Midwest” has a population of just 27,961 people - 97.84% White, 0.19% Black or African American, 0.65% Native American, 0.29% Asian.
Sounds rassist don’t it?
trump will take CO, PA, FL, NC, OH, NV and VA.
Only safe Hillary state on the list is WI.>>>my prediction: 8 pm november 8. NH trump, Maine split, Mass H, New Jersy too close to call, New York too close to call, PA too close to call, VA Trump, SC Trump, NC trump, Georgia Trump, FL too close to call. Ohio, Trump, Indiana Trump, VA trump, KY trump, TN, trump, 8:45 might take it up to 10 pm. PA trump , NJ trump, NY trump, Go to sleep.
So these show Trump is up in most, including BOTH PA counties and the key FL, NV, and NC counties with VA very close.>>>> PA suburbs are under trump attack. Child care/family plan is strategic in burbs and city/black vote. Black reach out may get black vote but the suburban PA vote will be swayed by all of these type of outreaches. outreach more than the black vote. Rush used to say winning is everything but now not so much. claims there is no conservative running. i don’t think he is understanding that trumps positions are conservative. read em. it’s called a website. and in the beginning rubio, cruz had no clear position papers. none. that is why i am voting for trump. the only objection to him is that “i don’t trust him.” trust mccain. romney or rubio.
Trump is running in the GOP because his brand of liberal views are no longer welcome in the Democratic Party.
People forget JFK espoused tax cuts, embraced self-reliance and was a staunch anti-communist. It was a different generation and Trump was in his youth when Kennedy was President. It left an indelible impression upon him.
Like Trump and like Reagan before him - I didn’t leave the Democratic Party; it left me.
- In the last three Presidential elections, their results are within a percent of how the entire state voted, which is why they are in this survey.
- This is in the area they call "Biden Country". Joe Biden was born in Scranton, which is in the next county to the East.
- Registration is 57% Dem, 36% Repub., per the polling questions (see link)
- In at least the past four Presidential elections, they have voted for the Democrat, and by as much as a 12% margin.
- In 2012 they voted for Obama 52-47.
- The latest survey shows them favoring Trump 52-37 over Clinton.
In 2012, Obama beat Romney 53-46 statewide in WI. The margin in Door was exactly the same.
Sandusky County Ohio is YUGE. It is in the traditionally blue collar/dem region on the shore of Lake Erie between Dem Toledo and Dem Cleveland. If Trump is +7 there that is a great indicator that he is attracting the monster vote and turning rank and file union members and other traditional dem voters. A rebirth of the Reagan Democrats.
As for Hamilton County (Cincinnati), the traditional conservative voters have moved to the ring of counties surrounding Cincinnati. Clermont, Butler and Warren. Trump is up double digits in those counties.
If he takes PA it’s over. Have to combat inner city cheat vote to do it though. IIRC, that’s where Obama got a full 100% of the vote. Not a single person voted for Romney (an impossibility given the sample size)
If you are good with Excel, Snipping Tool and know how to upload an image to tinypic.com and post and image to FR you could do your formatting like this:
Obama won Loudoun by 4.5 percentage points and won the state by 3. So, she’s not keeping pace with Obama. That’s good news.
If Trump has indeed broken all the way through to Virginia on that path - and the polls support that assertion - Clinton will be on defense on core states and have no chance of contesting battlegrounds.
It’s spelled Loudoun. And Trump will win Loudoun and all of Virginia.
If Trump truly has a landslide and the numbers are > 56% let's say 60% does the Congress and the Senate ( Smuckey Chewmer are you lurking? ) realize he has a mandate and like Ronald Reagan if their is no movement on an issue near and dear to him and the country he will take his case directly to the American People?
Can you imagine if Smuckey gives him grief on let's say the budget and President Trump decides to go to NY and try to convince NY-ers to call or write said Senator? If he also does this to all local radio NY drivetime type call in radio shows? I wouldn't put it past the master of the media.
I’m still not sol on Trump taking Virginia.
Here’s why:
Northern Virginia - Once the bastion of Republicans in the state, it’s turned into (for the most part) a concentration of govt workers, illegal aliens and other freeloaders.
Tim Kaine- This might be the only state where’s his presence could help Shrillary.
Having said that, I would gladly be proven wrong on Electio Night.
My sister lives in the Galax area and says other than the welfare dregs Hillary has no support whatsoever. I live just across the line in southwest Virginia and again other than the welfare dregs Hillary has no support.
Fairfax and the DC drones better vote early and vote often. If Trump is close in these counties the Hag may be in heap big trouble!
Safe for now.
I’m still expecting to see the race tighten to within the MOE in California.
He’s going to take Maine, New Hampshire, Michigan, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia, NC and Florida. I also predict he’s going to take New Jersey and make it close in New York. I think he’ll be within a point or two by the end in Minnesota and 3 in Illinois. Basically, her safe states are going to be Hawaii, Minnesota, Illinois, Rhode Island, Maryland, Vermont and somewhat shaky on Delaware. If things keep going the way they’re looking, she’s going to be shaky or losing in all those “safe” states listed.
Her path to 270 is getting slimmer and slimmer. And the debates, forget about it. She’s going to be toast. He’s going to dance circles around her. The only way she looks “decent” is to put Johnson in and let him be the pit bull and act completely crazy and let everyone hate on him and forget her.
Loudon county...muzzie haven.
What a surprise.
Loudon is not the most liberal. For awhile, it was an exurb refuge for Republicans that moved from areas like Arlington and Alexandria that have become infested with democrats. But of course, liberals are migrating out into Loudon now.
Where can I find some up to date polling of PA?
Good news to hear about in WI. 8 weeks to go and 5 points down. Who was doing the polling? That state has some fake pollsters; ones who routinely had Walker losing until the last week and changed at the end to show real numbers to save their credibility.
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