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Dornsife USC poll 9/14: T 47.2%, C 41.3%
The real USC ^ | 9/15/2016 | Unknown

Posted on 09/15/2016 1:03:30 AM PDT by Eccl 10:2

USC students making change happen

(Excerpt) Read more at dornsife.usc.edu ...


TOPICS: Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2016polls; elections
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Truth overtaking lies
1 posted on 09/15/2016 1:03:32 AM PDT by Eccl 10:2
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To: Eccl 10:2

Change from prior day:

Trump up 0.5%
Clinton down 0.7%


2 posted on 09/15/2016 1:08:38 AM PDT by Eccl 10:2 (Prov 3:5 --- "Trust in the Lord with all your heart and lean not on your own understanding")
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To: Eccl 10:2

Shrillarity now in crash and burn mode!!!


3 posted on 09/15/2016 1:08:50 AM PDT by Enchante (Hillary's new campaign slogan: "Guilty as hell, free as a bird!! Laws are for peasants!")
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To: Eccl 10:2

A 6 point lead - well outside the MOE.

Trump is trending up!


4 posted on 09/15/2016 1:10:36 AM PDT by goldstategop ((In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever))
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To: Eccl 10:2

WOW!


5 posted on 09/15/2016 1:17:07 AM PDT by Pinkbell (Liberal tolerance only extends to people they agree with.)
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To: Eccl 10:2

Go Trump!


6 posted on 09/15/2016 1:22:54 AM PDT by FlingWingFlyer (I may be deplorable but I've never had to plead the Fifth Amendment.)
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To: Eccl 10:2

Major demographic shifts over the last 4 days of polling:

Demographic-————Sept 11———Sept 15——Diff——

Overall——————HC+1.4-———DT+5.9———DT+7.3

Male-———————DT+9.2-———DT+22.5-——DT+13.3

A/A————————HC+87.3———HC+56.1-——HC(-31.2)

18-34———————HC+5.6-———DT+9.8———DT+15.4

35-64———————HC+1.1-———DT+5.4———DT+6.5

>$75K/yr.—————HC+1.2-———DT+9.3———DT+10.5


All time highs today in margins for Trump with males, 18-34, 35-64, and >$75K/yr.

All time low today for HC among A/A.


7 posted on 09/15/2016 1:31:08 AM PDT by techno
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To: Eccl 10:2

Momentum like this is what wins elections.


8 posted on 09/15/2016 1:37:56 AM PDT by RC one
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To: techno

56% among black voters? She’s toast.

In states like MI, O, NY, PA and NJ - Hillary can’t win them with only 56%.

Ditto for VA. This is huuuge!


9 posted on 09/15/2016 1:46:31 AM PDT by goldstategop ((In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever))
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To: Eccl 10:2

This link has the detailed results by race, income, etc:

http://graphics.latimes.com/usc-presidential-poll-dashboard/


10 posted on 09/15/2016 1:47:39 AM PDT by Yardstick
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To: Yardstick

The crosstabs are even more revealing than Trump’s gains.

Hopefully, he’ll soon break 50%.


11 posted on 09/15/2016 1:50:25 AM PDT by goldstategop ((In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever))
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To: Eccl 10:2

Thank the Lord for putting that man and his twitter app in place on 9/11. She can put out all the medical releases and have doctors lined up from here to kingdom come to swear she’s healthy as a horse, but people saw what they saw. No one wants a feeble CIC who might keel over any second.


12 posted on 09/15/2016 2:07:08 AM PDT by lovesdogs (Best election ever!)
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To: goldstategop

56% among black voters? She’s toast.”

Actually she’s burnt toast if those numbers hold


13 posted on 09/15/2016 2:23:18 AM PDT by Fai Mao
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To: Fai Mao

Cankles still is at 75% among blacks according to this. It’s a 56 point lead they are referring to. Still, it’s much better than where Romney was at four years ago. I think Trump can improve in this demographic considerably more.


14 posted on 09/15/2016 2:27:33 AM PDT by SamAdams76 (It is a wise man who rules by the polls but it is a fool who is ruled by them)
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To: SamAdams76

3rd day in a row that his percent of AA vote has increased. So that indicates this turn is not just a statistical blip. I have a hard time believing this is sustainable considering that for the duration of this poll, he polled under 5% AA support. But this does look different, and there has been other polling that also shows this surge. The 23% support in South Carolina recently reported comes to mind.

Another thing that stands out is his support in this poll has in spite of the large overall gains over the past few days overall has actually fallen among women, and the 65+ demographic. Hillary getting a bit of sympathy vote from old female voters?


15 posted on 09/15/2016 2:47:23 AM PDT by phoneman08
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To: techno

LOL. So much for the “whites with no college theme”. Take THAT Hillary. ROTFLMAO.


16 posted on 09/15/2016 3:03:38 AM PDT by wastoute (Government cannot redistribute wealth. Government can only redistribute poverty.)
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To: Eccl 10:2

The Hillary incident was early Sunday. Trump was up that day and the following 3 Days. Sun-Mon-Tue-Wed.

The USC-Dornsife polling method polls only 1/7 of the 3000+ participants each day. As a result the impact of the Hillary Health Collapse reflects just 4/7th of those participants. The remaining 3/7th have yet to impact the overall poll.

As a result, the expectation would be that Trump would move up and Hillary would move down for 3 more days. After that I would expect to see a bit of a rebound for Hillary. Hopefully not much.


17 posted on 09/15/2016 3:03:48 AM PDT by InterceptPoint (Ted, you should have endorsed. Big mistake.)
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To: phoneman08

Yeah, this AA blip is a little different from the earlier one. I don’t see what would have caused it, though. What has happened in the last few days that would cause such an abrupt change in AA opinion. I’d like to see it persist but I’m skeptical. I’ll bet it settles back to baseline like the other one.


18 posted on 09/15/2016 3:17:37 AM PDT by Yardstick
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To: InterceptPoint

She will rebound because the MSM will manufacture stories that depict her favorably and him the opposite. This is a given. And it’s all coordinated.


19 posted on 09/15/2016 3:20:06 AM PDT by BlueStateRightist (Government is best which governs least.)
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To: goldstategop
-- 56% among black voters? --

56% is the lead that Clinton has over Trump in this subgroup. Four days ago, Clinton was at 90.4 and Trump at 3.1, a gap of 87.3. The results released late last night have Clinton at 75.3 and Trump at 19.2, a gap of 56.1.

What strikes me as significant is that the African American subgroup has shifted toward Trump in three consecutive days.

20 posted on 09/15/2016 3:24:39 AM PDT by Cboldt
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