CNN Poll: Clinton Blows Double Digit Lead, Trails Trump By Two Points Nationally

Townhall.com ^ | September 6, 2016 | Katie Pavlich

[Kaslin]

A new CNN poll shows Republican Donald Trump has closed an 11-point gap with Democrat Hillary Clinton and leads her nationally in the race for the White House by two points.

Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton start the race to November 8 on essentially even ground, with Trump edging Clinton by a scant two points among likely voters, and the contest sparking sharp divisions along demographic lines in a new CNN/ORC Poll.

Trump tops Clinton 45% to 43% in the new survey, with Libertarian Gary Johnson standing at 7% among likely voters in this poll and the Green Party's Jill Stein at just 2%.

Among those likely to turn out in the fall, both candidates have secured about the same share of their own partisans (92% of Democrats back Clinton, 90% of Republicans are behind Trump) but independents give Trump an edge, 49% say they'd vote for him while just 29% of independent voters back Clinton.

Here's a key point from Trump campaign manager Kellyanne Conway.

More @CNN #poll: Trump up 20% among Independents; has 90% of Republicans. His voters more excited than hers (OK, that's not breaking news)— Kellyanne Conway (@KellyannePolls) September 6, 2016

And he has this going for him: 

A majority of Clinton's supporters say they're less excited about voting this year than usual (55%) while most of Trump's backers say they're more excited this time around (56%).

Trump is leading Clinton on the issues of the economy and terrorism, while Clinton beats him out on foreign policy and immigration. He also leads Clinton on trustworthiness 50 percent to 35 percent. 

It's clear the recent campaign shakeup, Trump's trip to Mexico last week and Hillary Clinton's ongoing email scandal and Clinton Foundation woes are having a significant impact.

[TexasGator]

Correction ... Monica

[Red Steel]

This poll makes NO sense!! 32R/28D/40I. Hillary gets 96%D, Trump gets 91%R and is up 21% with I, yet he's only up by two??

I don't know what to make of it, other than him being up by way more.

Moonbats at CNN are still playing games as usual. It should be Trump +10% or more over Hillary here.

[Tuxedo]

Sabato on MeGYN was saying this poll is bogus and Skankles is still up 3-4 points. And 7 or so in the Battlegrounds... so my question is... has Sabato ever really been accurate? He claims sources in both campaigns, but something drew Skankles out of Huma’s bed...

[Red Steel]

Trump winning and Hillary losing with married women in the Clinton News Network/ORC poll.

[Red Steel]

Sabato is a village clown. I heard sources from the Trump camp who say just the opposite. Trump is going to win in November going away.

[lgjhn23]

Trump needs to increase that lead as the Crypt Keeper will unleash the her dead zombie hordes on Election Day. He has to get enough lead to avoid the “walking dead”.

[af_vet_1981]

1. You focused on their actual respondents.
2. They weighted the respondents to match what they expect the electorate to be.

A total of 1,001 adults were interviewed by telephone nationwide by live interviewers calling both landline and cell phones. Among the entire sample, 28% described themselves as Democrats, 32% described themselves as Republicans, and 40% described themselves as independents or members of another party.

All respondents were asked questions concerning basic demographics, and the entire sample was weighted to reflect national Census figures for gender, race, age, education, region of country, and telephone usage.

Crosstabs on the following pages only include results for subgroups with enough unweighted cases to produce a sampling error of +/- 8.5 percentage points or less. Some subgroups represent too small a share of the national population to produce crosstabs with an acceptable sampling error. Interviews were conducted among these subgroups, but results for groups with a sampling error larger than +/-8.5 percentage points are not displayed and instead are denoted with "NA".