Posted on 09/06/2016 5:59:26 AM PDT by Kaslin
A new CNN poll shows Republican Donald Trump has closed an 11-point gap with Democrat Hillary Clinton and leads her nationally in the race for the White House by two points.
Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton start the race to November 8 on essentially even ground, with Trump edging Clinton by a scant two points among likely voters, and the contest sparking sharp divisions along demographic lines in a new CNN/ORC Poll.
Trump tops Clinton 45% to 43% in the new survey, with Libertarian Gary Johnson standing at 7% among likely voters in this poll and the Green Party's Jill Stein at just 2%.Among those likely to turn out in the fall, both candidates have secured about the same share of their own partisans (92% of Democrats back Clinton, 90% of Republicans are behind Trump) but independents give Trump an edge, 49% say they'd vote for him while just 29% of independent voters back Clinton.
Here's a key point from Trump campaign manager Kellyanne Conway.
More @CNN #poll: Trump up 20% among Independents; has 90% of Republicans. His voters more excited than hers (OK, that's not breaking news)— Kellyanne Conway (@KellyannePolls) September 6, 2016
And he has this going for him:
A majority of Clinton's supporters say they're less excited about voting this year than usual (55%) while most of Trump's backers say they're more excited this time around (56%).
Trump is leading Clinton on the issues of the economy and terrorism, while Clinton beats him out on foreign policy and immigration. He also leads Clinton on trustworthiness 50 percent to 35 percent.
It's clear the recent campaign shakeup, Trump's trip to Mexico last week and Hillary Clinton's ongoing email scandal and Clinton Foundation woes are having a significant impact.
“Clinton Blows”
You’re getting better, CNN.
Anyway, this is the time that most people start paying closer attention to the race.
The real campaign starts TODAY!
The media was blaring yesterday about the candidate leading in the polls on Labor Day “always” wins the presidency. I don’t think they had seen this CNN poll or the Reuters/IPSOS poll or they wouldn’t have said it.
How can Clinton be leading on immigration? Who did they poll? Only idiots want open borders
In September of 2012 the same poll had Obama beating Romney by 6:
http://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com/2012/09/10/cnn-poll-obama-up-six-points-over-romney/
Obama was polling above 50%. Hillary is at 43%. She is not going to make it.
90% among Republicans is good news. Trump’s very good couple of weeks here has helped to bring stubborn GOPe voters home (and to chip into Johnson’s vote).
“The media was blaring yesterday about the candidate leading in the polls on Labor Day “always” wins the presidency...”
— but —
“CafePress Co-founder Maheesh Jain told The Street that the company has been able to predict the outcome of every presidential election since it was founded in 1999. It all comes down to whose merchandise is selling better. Jain said it’s too soon to call it, but merchandise for Republican nominee Donald Trump is outselling that for presumed Democratic candidate Hillary Clinton. And he said anti-Clinton merch is outselling stuff that’s pro-Trump.”
CafePress: Anti-Hillary Merchandise Outselling Anti-Trump Gear by over 814 Percent
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/3465985/posts
Trump also now has higher favorable and lower unfavorable scores than Hillary for both registered and likely voters.
Hillary NEVER had a double digit lead.
That was only true in CNN’s poll of registered voters, which heavily favor Democrats.
In its new poll of likely voters, Trump is ahead.
Now we know the state of the race, it wasn’t that Hillary got a bounce out of her convention, it was that the media sought to depress Trump’s numbers.
It didn’t work.
Kate, don’t be an idiot and fall for the MSM’s dishonest poll manipulation.
32 R 28 D...this is the first poll I have seen with that weighting. All the ones I have seen shown here have had a D plus weighting. These polls are all over the place and seem to be being made up on the fly. These pollsters really have no idea who will show up on election day.
Actually it is a likely voters poll and Trump is ahead.
Also a big difference with 57% of Dems saying they are less enthusiastic than for elections usually, while the number for Republicans is only 40%.
Registered voters with a 5 point lean towards democrats has Hillary up. Likely voters with 0 point lean have Trump up.
You know how to tell if Trump is winning? CNN removes the electoral map when Trump is up. When Clinton is up, they splash it across their main page.
The media and Camp Hill (possibly redundant) can try all the sleight of hand they want but it’s Sep 6 and the election is Nov 8.
A candidate who can’t or won’t appear on TV early and often cannot be excused or explained away and a load of eunuchs speaking on her behalf are hardly a convincing substitute.
But, alas for the Dems, there is the candidate herself. Hopeless, isn’t she? Clearly brimming with hate not only for the opposition but anyone outside her little ring of paranoia. She radiates resentment. Nobody wants to spend the time, money and effort to go anywhere to watch someone parade the chip on their shoulder around.
Yes, I’m in agreement with everything you said, but how can he be up by only 2 after seeing the internals I listed above? Clearly they’re lying about something as simple as math.
If Trump has a 20% advantage with indies, you and I will have an early evening November 8th. The election will be over before the polls close on the West Coast.
I have always thought it will be close. Now that it looks like Trump might actually win I imagine the pinko Stein will lose some support to Hillary Criminal.
Trump also now seen as much better on the economy (also the #1 issue in voters’ minds) and on terrorism. Clinton (barely) better on immigration and much better on foreign policy. (Yes, voters are clueless on foreign policy.)
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