Posted on 09/02/2016 11:35:07 AM PDT by BlackFemaleArmyColonel
Ipsos is a top-ranked polling firm — and it is producing a series of state polls showing Donald Trump doing dramatically better than the polls by other trusted polling firms.
Those Ipsos state polls show Trump clinching leads in New Hampshire, Wisconsin, Michigan, and Maine.
That’s really big because President Barack Obama won all those states in 2012. Obama won Wisconsin by 6.7 points, Michigan by 9.5 points, Maine by 15.1 points, and New Hampshire by 5.8 points.
The Real Clear Politics poll-aggregation site shows Trump behind Clinton in Michigan by eight percentage points, but Ipsos shows Trump just ahead of Clinton, at 44 percent to 43 percent.
In Maine, Ipsos shows Trump scoring 40 percent to Clinton’s 39 percent, while RCP puts Clinton ahead by roughly eight points.
In Wisconsin, Ipsos shows Trump ahead 39 percent to 36 percent, while RCP puts Clinton ahead by five points.
In New Hampshire, Ipsos gives Trump 48 percent support, compared to Clinton’s 34 percent. In contrast, RCP’s polling average shows Clinton ahead by nine points.
The firm’s accumulation of state polls, however, still leaves Clinton far ahead of Trump in total electoral votes.
The likely difference between Ipsos — which conducts polling for the Reuters news service — and the many other polling firms is their turnout prediction for November.
“Winning the White House depends as much on who comes out to vote as which candidate Americans prefer. Each week, we poll more than 15,000 people, then factor in likely turnout among key demographics to see how voting would play out in the Electoral College,” according to Ipsos.
(Excerpt) Read more at breitbart.com ...
They want to win and by any means necessary. Bill Clinton will be in Detroit for a Clinton rally and Labor Day parade. Trump will be in town just before that and I hope the entire Trump team is able clear out before any of the Clinton Crime Family’s operatives can get to him.
“If this keeps up it will be good news indeed, because there are a lot of people who merely vote for the candidate they think is going to win.”
I know this is true but I am incapable of understanding it. It must take some special kind of fool to wait until it appears that one candidate has a strong lead and then vote for that candidate simply so you can say that you backed the winner.
Yeah i feel your pain, same here in Commiesconsin.
One thing is for certain folks.....Here in Commieland of S.E. WI i have seen very few Hellery signs and bumper stickers, i still see a very good number of Obummer bumper stickers from the last election and even though they are several years old they still far out number any Hellery junk.
I don’t know what is going to happen on election day but it’s obvious that her sizzle just isn’t there.
“So, if Trump is behind in the polls come election day, that, in and of itself, will discourage his supporters from voting?”
Not so much his true supporters. I think they will vote for him come hell or high water. I was thinking more of the undecided voters and the wishy-washy GOPers, who might vote for him under the right circumstances if they believe he can be a winner. I’m hoping if he is down in the polls, though, unenthusiastic Dems and Berniebots will more than make up for any Republicans or right-leaning Indies staying home.
The most important thing in this regard I think is that he doesn’t spend so much time so far down in the polls that it looks like he will be an inevitable loser. That might hurt him in the long run in ways that being a little down probably won’t. Plus, polls are often off a little, but they as a whole (excluding outliers) are usually not wildly off, so I will personally be very worried if he’s down by a lot by late Oct./early Nov. I would still walk over hot coals to vote for him of course, but I don’t have the same faith in the GOPe or other lukewarm types.
“you were correct.”
Thanks. I’m not frequently right, and rarely get credit when I am.
Hopefully there’ll be some celebrating early Nov.9. Better yet, early evening Nov. 8 when the lopsided exit polls come in.
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