Posted on 09/02/2016 11:35:07 AM PDT by BlackFemaleArmyColonel
Ipsos is a top-ranked polling firm — and it is producing a series of state polls showing Donald Trump doing dramatically better than the polls by other trusted polling firms.
Those Ipsos state polls show Trump clinching leads in New Hampshire, Wisconsin, Michigan, and Maine.
That’s really big because President Barack Obama won all those states in 2012. Obama won Wisconsin by 6.7 points, Michigan by 9.5 points, Maine by 15.1 points, and New Hampshire by 5.8 points.
The Real Clear Politics poll-aggregation site shows Trump behind Clinton in Michigan by eight percentage points, but Ipsos shows Trump just ahead of Clinton, at 44 percent to 43 percent.
In Maine, Ipsos shows Trump scoring 40 percent to Clinton’s 39 percent, while RCP puts Clinton ahead by roughly eight points.
In Wisconsin, Ipsos shows Trump ahead 39 percent to 36 percent, while RCP puts Clinton ahead by five points.
In New Hampshire, Ipsos gives Trump 48 percent support, compared to Clinton’s 34 percent. In contrast, RCP’s polling average shows Clinton ahead by nine points.
The firm’s accumulation of state polls, however, still leaves Clinton far ahead of Trump in total electoral votes.
The likely difference between Ipsos — which conducts polling for the Reuters news service — and the many other polling firms is their turnout prediction for November.
“Winning the White House depends as much on who comes out to vote as which candidate Americans prefer. Each week, we poll more than 15,000 people, then factor in likely turnout among key demographics to see how voting would play out in the Electoral College,” according to Ipsos.
(Excerpt) Read more at breitbart.com ...
These results use very tiny samples, but still wonderful news.
A Clinton Collapse? Strange how Trump up 14 in NH. Somewhat unbelievable.
Revenge of the Snow Belt!!
If this keeps up it will be good news indeed, because there are a lot of people who merely vote for the candidate they think is going to win.
It would be nice if Michigan’s army of voting parasites didn’t hand this state to Clinton. Praying hard, very hard.
Don’t take any one poll as gospel.
Look at the trends across all of them.
Trump on the rise, Hillary treading water or dropping. No forward momentum. No energy. No excitement.
Real Clear Politics is about two to three weeks behind the real world.....sad to say!!!
It adds to the evidence there is a Trump trend.
Hillary has collapsed in states won by Obama in 2012.
If she can’t win them, you can say hello to President Trump.
This is a huge development - the dam may finally be breaking in this tight race.
Too bad for the Witch Of Chappaqua.
Something is wrong somewhere. Those numbers are just too far apart to be credible.
Why?
There’s no palpable enthusiasm for Hillary.
She’s like the Max Headroom of politics - she’s our first virtual reality candidate.
You might be forgiven for thinking she exists.
The samples are very very very tiny...
interesting stuff. Hope it holds up.
But then again the man child is going to spend all of October trying to cram Hitlery down our throats.
If he frightens enough low information voters, it’ll be tough slogging.
Add to that the factor of the RINO traitors...Trump has a steep climb to get over the mountain.
But he is determined, that is for sure.
People don’t believe good news when they see it.
Considering Reuters-Ipsos had been in the tank for Hillary, this is stunning.
Back in the summer, they were predicting a Hillary blowout win.
Now the numbers are reversed. Shows what you know - the CW is taking quite a beating.
Michigan mitigates Ohio.
I have a question about “Polls” and how it impacts voters decisions when it comes to actually voting.
There seems to be this long held belief that if your candidate was/is ahead in the polls, you would be more likely to go out and vote for “A Winner”.
I’m not so sure this axiom is still the case.
Q;
Are people, in general, more motivated to vote if their candidate is ahead or behind in the polls?
Also,
Q;
Do people, in general, get discouraged or overconfident when their candidate is behind or ahead in the polls, and does this affect their decision on whether or not to vote?
This was all discovered on Reddit maybe 3-4 days ago. The samples are sometimes less than 100 people. I’m not trying to be a downer, but rather presenting the numerical figures. Go look it up.
In a horse race like this, people are going to flock to the winner - Trump.
People follow the strong horse. Hillary isn’t the strong horse.
If you follow your gut and not the polls - that’s true, indeed.
Being Max Headroom, the real world is far more difficult than the one in which Hillary lives.
With it being rumored, she sleeps 18 hours a day, a real presidential campaign is just too much work.
And if you’re still going to get only 40% in November, why kill yourself for it?
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