Posted on 08/23/2016 8:01:41 AM PDT by usafa92
WASHINGTON, Aug. 23 (UPI) -- The UPI/CVoter daily presidential tracking poll released Tuesday shows Hillary Clinton leading Donald Trump by less than 1 percentage point for a second consecutive day.
The online poll shows 47.98 for Clinton, compared to 47.24 for Trump.
Each candidate dropped two-tenths of a point in Tuesday's poll, with the percentage of "others" increasing by four-tenths. "Others" in the poll are defined as respondents who decline to pick either Clinton or Trump.
The UPI/CVoter online tracking poll surveys about 200 people each day, leading to a sample size of roughly 1,400 people during any seven-day span.
Because the poll is conducted online and individuals self-select to participate, a margin of error cannot be calculated. The poll has a credibility interval of 3 percentage points. This seven-day span includes data collected from Aug. 15-21, when 1,795 individuals were surveyed. Of them, 1,259 identified themselves as likely voters.
Assume we’re down by ten, no time to be complacent.
I’m shocked.
Shocked that UPI is still around.
Like 1980, this isn’t going to break open until October 20.
Election a lot closer then RealClear Politics is showing. They are lagging behind I believe. Trump just needs to be steady and stay on message.
Hillary has so many issues now they are all competing for a headline. I think Trump needs to push the “Why is Hillary hiding? Come out and address all your failures Hillary” line much more often.
That’s why i usually say :)
But i say 5 cause 10 depresses me :)
Jiggle with the affiliation mix and you can get whatever result you want. The real factor in this is there IS NO PRECEDENT to apply recent historical “weights” from past elections to improve predictions.
IMO, the modifications beyond current trends and result form primaries to include 2012 results and 2008 results or before are disingenuous.
These people and pollsters have no idea of the seething, smoldering, explosive tsunami those of our ‘impatiently patient Trump voter’ will be.
We are legion and we will bury them in November. By a margin that is fraud proof.
Notice that Trump has done all this by not spending money on advertising?
“Because the poll is conducted online and individuals self-select to participate, a margin of error cannot be calculated.”
A poll where respondents self-select to participate and there are apparently no quota controls is not a poll, at least not a poll with a sound scientific methodology.
“We are legion and we will bury them in November. By a margin that is fraud proof.”
From your mouth to God’s ears.....
Shhhh.... Be vewwwyyyy quiet....
I realize the implication of the Gay aspect but I rely on the title of the video and my interpretation on the aspects of faith. Given Milo’s late sensibilities that have surfaced in our media, I choose to reinterpret the meaning of this song.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lu3VTngm1F0
Hillary R Clinton is to the presidency as;
a). Cruella De Vil is to Dalmatians.
b). Rocks are to stone.
c). Soap is to bubbles.
The upside: Dems have to be crapping their pants over this, as by all their calculus she should have put Trump away for good by now.
The downside: If it remains this close, that ditwad Gary Johnson might actually get to play spoiler.
You really need to get yourself up to speed on how online polling works before you make uninformed comments about the validity of it.
Trump needs at least a 6% lead to compensate for the usual level of democrat voter fraud.
Respondents are self-selecting. That’s a major indicator that there is not a sample model.
Margin of error cannot be calculated?
That means the MoE could be 2% or the MoE could be >10%.
Thus Trump could be up by >10% or down by >10%.
“Election a lot closer then RealClear Politics is showing.”
RCP is run by liberals. They leave almost every poll showing a close race or a Trump lead out of the averages.
Good news for Trump. More and more polls are coming out with Trump virtually tied in the polls or a little ahead.
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