How reliable?
“How reliable?”
This is a daily, rolling seven day, tracking poll that has been running since early July. Each days sample is about 3,000 people. Trump lead by 7 in this pool 7 days after the RNC. Hillary move to a 2 point lead 7 days after the DNC. Hillary had held a small 2 to 4 point lead in this poll up until a few days ago.
My guess is this poll is far more accurate than any of the network polls around.
I believe the race to be a dead heat at this point with a slight edge to Trump at this point.
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According to 538Blog, RAND was one of the most accurate polls in the 2012 presidential race.
As reliable as any, more reliable than most.
The purpose is to give us confidence by showing a move closer to reality... (in reality this is not even close—trump is wiping the floor with the diaper lady).
Then after we say “whew, they are finally on track... then they drop it to “loser again” so that they can try to manipulate people to get depressed: “I guess trump is not as good as we thought” type of trash.
Their reality is, if they don’t adjust the background selection groups to show trump slightly ahead, they will lose all semblance of reliability to the business of “promoting the elections” which is to journalism and ad campaigns, like christmas is to wealthy industrialized christian nations.
they are trying to save face, gain our trust, so they can kick us in the balls again, lather rinse repeat.
its what they do.
trump is slaughtering her, and they know if they don’t show something for trump... they will not be listened to at all...
It’s a new poll so we won’t know until an election. However, it is affiliated with USC. The trend, at present, is friendly dovetailing nicely with Trump’s speeches, appearances, demeanor, and coverage. Pray without ceasing.