Yeah, well - Obama should have been toast in 2012 given the economy, and yet ....
hint:
a. If Trump is behind in every poll come a fortnight before the election (before the usual Democrat voter fraud special sauce is added on election night), he ain’t gonna win;
b. If Trump is tied or maybe slighltly ahead a fortnight before the election, he sin’t gonna win (see #a above if any explanation is required);
c. If Trump is up 3%+ a fortnight before, he probably will win;
So, his odds of winning are no better than 33% right now.
That’s my take. That he’s even in the game, given his missteps and the 24/7 Pravda-like onslaught against him in the media - is a miracle - but its gonna be real, real tough. Just being realistic here.
You’re wrong on every count.
If the voters of America elect him president, he will win.
If the voters of America do not elect him president, he will not win.
It’s as simple as that.
Nothing else matters, especially polls.
I firmly believe that both NJ (14 EC votes ) and NY ( 29 ) will vote for Trump in Nov.
Upstate NY, Long Island, Queens, Staten Island, Brooklyn - massive Trump majorities. Rockland & Westchester spilt. Manhattan & The Bronx - massive Hillary majorities
Similar analysis for NJ
Try & Fiddle with Electoral College map with NJ & NY going Trump. It’s nearly impossible for Hillary to reach 270 if she loses NJ & NY
Well gee, so I guess we should all go and order our Hillary bumper stickers and get with the program, right?