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Did Clinton get a post-convention bump? (CBS News: Clinton 47-Trump 41)
CBS News ^ | 8/1/2016 | CBS News

Posted on 08/01/2016 8:07:08 AM PDT by usafa92

Hillary Clinton has received a bump in support after the Democratic convention and has now pulled ahead of Donald Trump.

Forty-six percent of voters nationwide say they'll vote for Clinton in November, while 39 percent say they'll back Trump. The race was tied last week after the Republican convention. Clinton led by a similar margin in June. Clinton got a four-point bounce after her party's convention, compared to a two-point bump for Trump after his convention.

When compared to previous Democratic presidential nominees, Clinton's bounce is similar to those President Obama got in 2012 and 2008, but short of the 13-point bounce her husband, Bill Clinton, received in 1992. In 2000, support for Al Gore rose 10 points after the Democratic convention, but he went on to lose a close race that fall.

When leaners are included - voters who are undecided when initially asked their vote preference but lean toward a candidate - Clinton leads Trump by six points. Clinton also retains her lead when Libertarian candidate Gary Johnson is added. Voters who back a candidate remain firm in their support. Nine in 10 Clinton and Trump voters say their minds are made up about their candidate.

In the wake of the Democratic convention, positive views of Hillary Clinton have risen five points among registered voters, from 31 percent a week ago to 36 percent today. Unfavorable views of Hillary Clinton have dropped six points: from 56 percent to 50 percent.

(Excerpt) Read more at cbsnews.com ...


TOPICS: Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2016polls; clinton; polls; trump; yeahsure
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To: ExTexasRedhead

I emphatically state I am strongly 100% no doubt about it constantly arguing with other anti-Trumpers for Trump.

I just think much like saying the polls are skewed to tell ourselves we’re going to win the same could be said of rally size and enthusiasm. There are many, many images on Google of Romney rallies that made it appear he was going to win in 2012.

And I really, really, really hate to cite NPR (really hate it) but it’s hard to argue with the main point that crowd size and enthusiasm are not a reliable indicator of who may win or ahead at the time.

I only mention all this because I don’t want conservatives to be lulled into a false sense of security and to work hard and take nothing for granted going into Election Day.


61 posted on 08/01/2016 11:07:15 AM PDT by ctpsb
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To: usafa92
"When leaners are included - voters who are undecided when initially asked their vote preference but lean toward a candidate - Clinton leads Trump by six points. Clinton also retains her lead when Libertarian candidate Gary Johnson is added. Voters who back a candidate remain firm in their support. Nine in 10 Clinton and Trump voters say their minds are made up about their candidate."

So, no measurable bounce then. Aside from the crapstats bolded above, they just brush off the 10% of voters who say their minds are not made up. This isj ust wishful thinking about the independents going entirely for Clinton, a logical impossibility.

62 posted on 08/01/2016 11:10:09 AM PDT by Albion Wilde (We will no longer surrender this country to the false song of globalism. --Donald Trump)
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To: usafa92

Beware The Predictable Polling Onslaught to Paint the Potemkin Village…

The Last Refuge ^ | July 28, 2016 | sundance

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/news/3454116/posts


63 posted on 08/01/2016 11:35:15 AM PDT by Grampa Dave (Like NSA. ItÂ’s the only part of the federal government that actually listens to the American people)
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To: cdga5for4
I really get tired of the rip the poll mentality. I’m sure some are wrong but we’ve done this here for the last two elections and the polls have been pretty accurate. Unfortunately, this is where we are in America I’m afraid.

They've been pretty accurate because of the media and the whole leftist's culture with their deceptions and cheating. They abuse their power in order to get the results they want.

We just need to learn to completely tune them out because they simply cannot be trusted and their's is already a failed ideology.

That's the best thing I have done is completely tune them out and allow the wise people of Free Republic, vet what news or deceptions that they try to push on us.

CGato

64 posted on 08/01/2016 11:36:51 AM PDT by Conservative Gato
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To: usafa92; timestax

Thanks Timestax!

65 posted on 08/01/2016 11:37:47 AM PDT by Grampa Dave (Like NSA. ItÂ’s the only part of the federal government that actually listens to the American people)
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To: ctpsb

You’re supposing that Romney lost and that rigged voting machines didn’t have anything to do with a Zero win??


66 posted on 08/01/2016 11:38:34 AM PDT by ExTexasRedhead
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To: mkjessup
Another left wing mediot in bed with Clintoon article sets off massive response from the BS Meters!


67 posted on 08/01/2016 11:41:48 AM PDT by Grampa Dave (Like NSA. ItÂ’s the only part of the federal government that actually listens to the American people)
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To: ExTexasRedhead

” that rigged voting machines didn’t have anything to do with a Zero win??”

They could have. So what is the solution? Should Trump assemble the largest anti-fraud operation ever (teams of lawyers, PR, photographers/poll watchers, etc, etc)? or win by so much fraud doesn’t enter into it? Or my choice both?


68 posted on 08/01/2016 12:29:48 PM PDT by ctpsb
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To: usafa92; servo1969

All of Clinton mediot pimps are doing what Pat Caddell describes below to create a bounce for Clinton.

This bs poll is another example of what Pat Caddel describes below:

Pat Caddell on Reuters Poll: ‘Never I Seen a News Organization Do Something So Dishonest’
Breitbart.com ^ | 8-1-2016 | JOHN HAYWARD
Posted on 8/1/2016, 11:57:37 AM by servo1969

Full Title- Pat Caddell on ‘Cooked’ Reuters Poll: ‘Never in My Life Have I Seen a News Organization Do Something So Dishonest’

On Sunday’s Breitbart News Daily with SiriusXM host Alex Marlow, political strategist Pat Caddell outlined his charge that Reuters tampered with its own daily tracking poll to manufacture a sudden surge for Hillary Clinton.

“They not only changed their formula, to put Hillary ahead. They went back and changed the results, for a week of results where Trump was ahead, and then they turned those into Hillary leads,” said Caddell. “They also erased all the former polling off the site. They didn’t tweak their procedure - they cooked it.”

“Never in my life have I seen a news organization, and a supposedly reputable poll, do something so dishonest,” Caddell continued. “What they have done is, they decided the people who said, ‘oh, I’m never for someone’ - oh, those must be Hillary votes. They used to be Trump voters.”
“They made a switch, as much as nine points, in their results from the beginning of last week, the 25th and 26th. It is, beyond doubt, the most outrageous thing,” he declared, noting that results in three- and four-way polls that include independent candidates Gary Johnson and Jill Stein were also skewed.

“This is what the media is willing to do, to try to elect her,” Caddell said. “This poll is nothing but a part of a media offensive. In the 45 years since I was a child, in top-level presidential campaigns, I have never seen the media on such a jihad, and so involved in hiding facts, and not following up. This is a crisis of democracy, what the press is now doing.

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/3455318/posts


69 posted on 08/01/2016 12:49:01 PM PDT by Grampa Dave (Like NSA. ItÂ’s the only part of the federal government that actually listens to the American people)
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To: ctpsb

2016 is not 2012. Trump is not Mittens. Trump is going to win.

Vote Trump 2016


70 posted on 08/01/2016 1:06:21 PM PDT by TheStickman (Trump will be the 1st Pro America president since Reagan)
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To: Grampa Dave

bttt


71 posted on 08/01/2016 2:09:53 PM PDT by timestax (American Media = Domestic Enemy)
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