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Iowa: Trump Has Slight Edge Over Clinton
Monmouth University ^ | 7/12/2016 | Monmouth University

Posted on 07/12/2016 10:29:17 AM PDT by usafa92

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To: usafa92

This poll is really good news.

http://www.270towin.com/states/Iowa

Iowa has gone Blue 6 out of the last 7 elections. Obama won by almost 10% in 2008 and almost 6% in 2012. Like every battleground state, Obama lost % of votes in 2012.

This poll should scare the hell out of the Beast. Iowa was considered one of the least competitive battleground states for the GOP. I’m sure the Beast didn’t plan on spending much time or money here. And if he is winning here, then there is probably more good news to come.


21 posted on 07/12/2016 11:22:11 AM PDT by MaxistheBest
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To: dp0622

Breakdowns are D 33%, R 28%.

Probably about right in IA.

Likely voters, but MOE of almost 5%. Trump COULD be up much bigger, could be a tie.


22 posted on 07/12/2016 11:22:14 AM PDT by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually" (Hendrix))
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To: LS

At least it’s not those crazy up 12 numbers from a week and a half ago that hillary had!!!

I never believed them but i did believe she was up by 5.

That’s ALL GONE with Comey’s damning praise :)


23 posted on 07/12/2016 11:24:09 AM PDT by dp0622 (The only thing an upper crust conservative hates more than a liberal is a middle class conservative)
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To: LS

“even W all lost IA”

W won the state in 2008.


24 posted on 07/12/2016 11:24:22 AM PDT by MaxistheBest
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To: MaxistheBest

Be pretty hard since he wasn’t running in 08.

You mean he won in 04. McCain lost IA in 08.


25 posted on 07/12/2016 11:36:36 AM PDT by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually" (Hendrix))
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To: usafa92

As we get closer to the election, pollsters will go from trying to influence the election (such as giving favorable democrat poll numbers) to actually reporting factual results of their surveys so they dont lose credibility.


26 posted on 07/12/2016 11:37:35 AM PDT by KC_Conspirator
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To: Parley Baer

“Trump seems to be edging up in all these polls. Good news. GO TRUMP GO”

Given the total ownership of polling by the left anything that says Trump has a slight edge means he’s ahead by double digits.


27 posted on 07/12/2016 11:46:48 AM PDT by Rebelbase
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To: Kahuna
Lyin Ted

Encouraging his supporters to vote for *&#$ing Gary Johnson is NOT going to help beat Hillary.

Isn't it about time to drop that sh*t and back the Republican nominee by uniting the party again?

28 posted on 07/12/2016 11:47:32 AM PDT by newgeezer (It is [the people's] right and duty to be at all times armed. --Thomas Jefferson, 1824)
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To: usafa92

Excellent news. 5% of the GOP and 10% of Independents are supporting Johnson right now.

A majority of those are protest votes against Trump. As the campaign draws to a close, a lot of those people will make a last minute decision to not support a candidate that is polling at under 10% and will switch to Trump, which could mean another 2 to 3% swing in favor of Trump. Clinton will pick up almost none of the Libertarian adherents.

Also noteworthy is that the Green party is only polling at 1%, which means Clinton can’t pick up many from that column.


29 posted on 07/12/2016 11:50:35 AM PDT by Anitius Severinus Boethius (www.wilsonharpbooks.com - Sign up for my new release e-mail and get my first novel for free)
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To: usafa92
..slight edge

Now that's horse chit. Clinton is getting smoked.

30 posted on 07/12/2016 11:53:50 AM PDT by Mr Apple (WADDLING HILLARY >> COOKIES, CANDIES, CAKE, DESSERTS & CASHEWS....the WALRUS LOOK)
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To: usafa92

it would be very disappinting indeed if Trump doesn’t win by at least 20 points in Iowa. Iowans are smart people.. and many Iowans try to lead honest, decent lives

they will see right through Corruptoidess Hilliarty


31 posted on 07/12/2016 11:59:37 AM PDT by faithhopecharity ("Politicians are not born. They're excreted." Marcus Tullius Cicero)
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To: usafa92

Monmouth is actually one of the best pollsters in the whole country

http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/pollster-ratings/

it has a slight D lean but does not make huge errors

This is great news ! Iowa is alway underrated as a state where manufacturing (hence trade) is a big issue.

Go Trump !


32 posted on 07/12/2016 12:12:50 PM PDT by Reverend Wright (UK out of the EU; UN out of the USA !)
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To: Reverend Wright

Iowa is big on free trade agreements. Agricultural products and and agricultural-related manufacturing are big export items that benefit from foreign market access.


33 posted on 07/12/2016 12:21:17 PM PDT by hlmencken3 (I paid for an argument, but you're just contradicting!)
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To: hlmencken3

Internals say 43% of Iowans think Hillary Clinton is a criminal.


34 posted on 07/12/2016 12:27:52 PM PDT by jmaroneps37 (Conservatism is truth. Liberalism is lies.)
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To: usafa92

I was figuring that the race would be close in polls and that Trump would win by a few points or, hell, maybe a slightly surprising 5 or 6 points. However, Hillary appears to have even less support than I’d been guessing all along. If there is a Trump BLOWOUT in november, something that really shocks Dems look for Them to go crazy and allege Repub cheating and then attempt to do something about it. They are the biggest cheats in the world and for this reason they’d have no problem projecting their own dirt on to the Rebubs. That live TV poll that went 50 something for Trump really startled me and got me thinking...


35 posted on 07/12/2016 1:02:26 PM PDT by TalBlack (Evil doesn't have a day job....)
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To: newgeezer
Isn't it about time to drop that sh*t and back the Republican nominee by uniting the party again?

I give Cruz one more week. That's it. No more.

36 posted on 07/12/2016 1:49:14 PM PDT by map
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To: hlmencken3

yes that’s right. Ag exports are pro trade, but Iowa is losing manuf jobs overall
http://www.thegazette.com/subject/news/iowa-has-lost-13000-manufacturing-jobs-20150302
http://www.marketwired.com/press-release/iowa-manufacturing-employment-contracts-for-the-first-time-in-four-years-2118993.htm


37 posted on 07/12/2016 1:52:28 PM PDT by Reverend Wright (UK out of the EU; UN out of the USA !)
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To: usafa92

But but but Trump is racist and he supports the scary bang bang sticks!!!!

Lol. MOMENTUM! Bush Jr lost Iowa in 2000 and Bush Sr lost Iowa in 1988. Good sign if we’re up, or at least close.


38 posted on 07/12/2016 2:05:35 PM PDT by ksm1
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To: Kahuna

Way to try to bring unity and bring Cruzers on board.

Guess you want Hillary for President.


39 posted on 07/12/2016 2:08:08 PM PDT by DrewsMum (If they wanted a conservative, they'd vote for one.)
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To: newgeezer

Who did that?


40 posted on 07/12/2016 2:08:50 PM PDT by DrewsMum (If they wanted a conservative, they'd vote for one.)
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