Posted on 06/29/2016 12:14:30 PM PDT by detective
Nate Silver has spoken: Hillary Clinton will be the next President.
The famed political pollster — whose past presidential predictions have been freakishly accurate — said Wednesday he gives the presumptive Democratic candidate a 79% chance of winning the White House come November.
Her loud-mouthed Republican rival, Donald Trump, has only a 20% chance of winning, Silver said.
“We're kind of at halftime of the election right now, and she's taking a 7-point, maybe 10-point lead into halftime,” Silver, founder of the political analysis website FiveThirtyEight, said on “Good Morning America.”
(Excerpt) Read more at nydailynews.com ...
Silver: We’re kind of at halftime of the election right now
We haven’t even had the conventions yet. At least 70% of the population is still asleep. Methinks Mr. Sliver has jumped the shark.
I would be interested to see Silver’s predictions on Brexit.
When the entire society is telling people that the they are stupid if they vote for Trump, and that the right thing is to vote for Clinton, they do not change who people will vote for. If they push hard enough, however, they can get people to lie about who they are going to vote for.
People will deny all day long and twice on Sundays that they are going to vote for Trump, because they do not want to appear to be mouth-breathing morons. But in the privacy of the voting booth, they are going to throw the lever for Trump, because they know it is the right thing to do.
I’m listening to the North American Leadership Summit. Mexico, OntarioCanada, USA (right now). Globalism, open borders, etc. Oh, but it won’t be the same as the EU...but ‘we’ have to ‘write the rules’ or (boogy man) China will and, on open borders, (Zero) we’re all immigrants so we can’t object to immigrants....(he forgot about the part where yes, we were, but every single one were screened even back to the colonies -church groups/company indentured, etc- and then we instituted immigration rules similar to the 1600-1700 screenings - And...we didn’t have to worry about domestic terrorism back then)
So, the line is drawn, underlined by Canada and Mexico, and Hillary is the figurehead under which globalism will be finalized and borders will be erased. We’re not only fighting for our jobs, we’re fighting for our national identity. There’s never been a more compelling reason to ensure that Trump wins this election.
Agreed.
But, IMHO, the most important reason to oppose Killary is that we don’t want her appointing one, two, three, possibly four SCOTUS judges. Lifetime position and all that implies.
Yes, Killary is scum, untrustworthy, a criminal, etc., etc. But the SCOTUS judges are most important.
Another endorsement for Trump! The guy just keeps racking them up.
Oh sure, we all want to continue down the road to ruin. Has there ever been more of an establishment candidate than Hillary?
Last I checked the whole world is rejecting the current establishments in power. Just look at BREXIT and the other EU nations that want out.
Our primaries went to non-establishment candidates and Hillary would have been out on her ass if the dems didn’t already have it rigged for her.
She’s not going to win this election without massive voter fraud and ballot stuffing.
All we have to do is look at historical voting levels to realize these are very fringe numbers.
They can say what they want about Trump, but the idea that he will get only 20 or simply less than 25% of the presidential vote is absurd. And when something is totally absurd, it isn't worth the trouble to post or read about.
This is pure fantasy.
Donald Trump is going to do just fine against Hillary, and the polls are revealing that.
He's going to mop the floor with her.
Iowa Election Markets. In 2008, the limit was $500 per punter.
Nate’s a guy who’s made himself a fortune convincing people his math is godlike...
He didn’t call Trump for the primary, not even close... he’s off just as badly on this one.
Hopefully this election cycle will be the end of this guys schtick.
They’re only “high” on NBC/ABC/CBS devotees. As you know.
Meanwhile, some folks are trying to stealth Hillary into position, it seems.
No kidding!
As he’s admitted, he didn’t use the methodology that served him so well before. In his own words, he “acted like a pundit” and made his projections based on a gut hunch. He appears to have learned from his mistake. His current projection for Hillary is based on that methodology.
So, the line is drawn, underlined by Canada and Mexico, and Hillary is the figurehead under which globalism will be finalized and borders will be erased. We’re not only fighting for our jobs, we’re fighting for our national identity. There’s never been a more compelling reason to ensure that Trump wins this election
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You said it!!! We need to get Trump into the Oval Office NOW!!!
GO.TRUMP.GO!!! ALL THE WAY TO THE OVAL OFFICE!!!
His current projection is nonsense, he offers a project but in the exact same breath admits since Trump is not like anything in the modern era he has no idea if he remotely has the right data in front of him.
He’s a hack, nothing more. He’s just a hack that can claim his methods are scientific.
Hillary is probably going to win by about 5% of the votes as things stand.
Trump needs to apologize to Mexicans and Muslims repeatedly.
Alternately, the Republican Party needs to switch to Rubio for President and either Kasich or Cruz for Vice President.
A US Constitutional tax cap/immigration deal needs to be put on the table.
Congress, not the President, controls immigration.
Hilary can promise the moon (and would if it would help her politically), but Hispanics should clearly know only a Republican President will get an Republican Congress to make an immigration deal after this election.
The basic problem is not with the immigrants, but with American leftist politicians.
We need to ensure by a Constitutional amendment capping taxation and other government money grabs that leftist politicians can not through excessive taxation turn our country into a leftist hellhole like Venezuela.
I’ve never head of Nate Silverheels.
This is absolutely ridiculous.
Yes, he did. He acknowledged that he didn’t use the methodology which served him well in 2008 and 2012 and in his own words, “acted like a pundit”. He got a reality check and seems to have learned from it.
Well, I give Queen Silver a 0% chance of being right about the 2016 GOP nominee.
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