Posted on 06/17/2016 11:15:21 AM PDT by Red Steel
When Trump has a running mate that will help with legislation and that can help me get things passed is when a lot of people who like his proposals are also going to start to see them as realistic. There should be a significant reassessment and uptick in support at that point. I wish that would happen before the convention but the plan seems to be to make an announcement in Cleveland.
They take a few days to post online …there polls
They seem to be pretty good ..
but who knows
Reagan was losing to Carter until the last week and they figured they did not want to look like fools…Reagan won in a landsite
They will try and make Trump look like a fool…they did the same to Reagan…just an actor
49 - 51? So no undecideds?
Hillary at 51% should be very, very alarming.
That's the usual time.
I agree...but I’m in a situation where I shouldn’t offend my hostess.
These people need to be won over...Trump needs to figure out how to do it.
stacked poll, faulty methodology
look at ideology
https://gyazo.com/377c22007ed704bb3dd6ba2f278cb60b
almost 3 times as many very conservative versus very liberal
67% more slightly conservative than slightly liberal
overall 2 times as many conservatives as liberals
and Trump still loses in it
not good :(
It’s actually:
Clinton: 50%
Trump: 45%
Other: 5%
I did a column herd on this yesterday. Since 1952, the June leader is less likely to wn. Dems are over polled an average of 22 points in the last elections.
“Registered” voters so this is an absolute tie.
I do hope this is true!!!!
There is almost zero support behind Hillary. It was all for Bernie on the RAT side. That support doe not translate over to an Establsihment candidate. These polls are total LIES!
A point of contention:
Poll only contains 10% evangelical Christians. Consistently,they have been roughly 25% of general electorate.
I agree that this poll could be slanted rightward. OAN is trying to promote itself as the conservative news network, since Fox has moved leftward. Conservatives constantly accuse polls conducted by liberal media to be biased. And they usually are slanted leftward.
Are the poll numbers counting citizen likely voters, everyone (including non-citizens & under 18), or what?
Absolutely no undecided voters? Yeah, right.
Umm no.
The Gravis poll here is close to inline with Gallup’s survey when people pick their ideology instead of party ID.
Gallup article - Jan 11, 2016:
Conservatives 37%, Moderates 35%, Liberals 24%
http://www.gallup.com/poll/188129/conservatives-hang-ideology-lead-thread.aspx
Gravis: Slightly + Very Liberal 23%, Slightly + Very Conservatives 42%, Moderates 31%
To go with my last post to you. It’s D+7% over R in this poll. Dem 40%, R 33%, Indy 27% So Gravis still favored the Dems by about +5% skewing my estimation. Trump will get it to close to even like Bush did in 2004.
http://i2.cdn.turner.com/cnn/2016/images/06/17/national.pdf
That’s question #9, but not question #8 when the undecideds have to decide. 80% break to vote for Trump over Hillary.
http://i2.cdn.turner.com/cnn/2016/images/06/17/national.pdf
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