Posted on 05/17/2016 8:04:20 AM PDT by usafa92
Throughout the 2016 presidential campaign, Democratic front-runner Hillary Clinton has maintained generally comfortable leads over the presumptive Republican nominee, Donald Trump, in a potential general-election matchup. But new survey data from Morning Consult indicates that deficit is closing fast.
According to a national poll of almost 4,000 registered voters taken last week, Clinton leads Trump by just 42 percent to 40 percent, within the 2-point margin of error. She is down 2 percent from a week ago, while Trump gained 2 points. Nearly one out of five voters (17 percent) remain undecided.
The new poll shows Trump making gains among independents, women, and those who classify themselves as moderates. He increased his support among independent voters by 3 points, while Clinton’s support fell by 2 points. Support from women for the former Secretary of State also fell by 2 points, while Trump’s increased by 2 points. And among moderates, the new poll shows Clinton only holding a 10-point lead over Trump (46 percent to 36 percent), down from a 17-point lead (49 percent to 32 percent) in the previous poll.
Among all voters, Clinton is almost as unpopular as the controversial Trump. Only 41 percent of voters have a favorable view of her, compared with 39 percent who have a favorable view of Trump.
And while Clinton holds a sturdy lead in the delegate count for the Democratic nomination, it is her rival, Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.), who continues to poll stronger against Trump in a hypothetical matchup. Pitted against the bombastic businessman, Sanders would lead 50 percent to 37 percent.
The Morning Consult survey polled 3,971 registered voters on May 11-15, with a margin of error of plus or minus 2 percentage points. See the toplines and crosstabs.
(Excerpt) Read more at morningconsult.com ...
Ya Trumps prolly up 5 or 10 points IMHO...
The media laments the expected personal negative attack campaign.
So far, ONLY the media is running a negative personal attack campaign....against Trump.
Bottom line, it’s helping Trump because it’s sooooo obvious. People are looking to beat not only Hillary, the establishment and big government, BUT they also want to beat the biased media.
He called both Onyx and I. “ darlin “! Does that make him fickled? LOL
“Registered voters”—which means Trump is actually in the lead among likely voters.
What effect? That paper is pretty much a “rag”.
Not really. While it's technically correct - and fashionable to point out - that the electoral college determines the presidential election and so national polls "don't matter", the national polls indeed do predict the winner 100% of the time. That is, the FINAL national polls taken in early November, not the ones we are seeing now!
Even in 2000, the closest election in our lifetimes, the final 2000 national polls of early November had Bush narrowing beating Gore (when averaged out).
I think the debates will do more to tip the balance...:^)
He never said he’d spend a billion of his own money. He said he’d self fund the primary. He has won the primary so it’s time for everyone else to chip in and support him in the General.
The polls are lying. Bought off. No way clinton is winning or even close to being even with Donald Trump. He draws crowds time after time of 10’s of thousands while clinton draws only prosecutors.
Drudge: SHE KEEPS LOSING!
HOW COME SHE IS WINNING?
SUPERDELS REBEL
Actually, Trump DID say he’d spend a billion of his own money. He also never specified that he only intended to self-fund his own primary.
http://www.cbsnews.com/news/donald-trump-willing-to-spend-1-billion-on-presidential-bid/
The fact Clinton is still ahead is scary. I candidate with as much scandal and corrupt as her should be way behind.
Very scary that she can win.
This country is not addicted to Saudi oil but to government feel good services.
Scary but not unexpected in a country so dumbed-down that it elected Obozo twice. Say what you want about McCain or Romney, but the fact is that both had run something more than a street gang before they got elected to public office.
I like the trend. Trump rising while Hillary is falling.
“I expect that trend to continue. In two weeks, he’ll be leading in some of these polls.”
I agree with your assessment.
Assuming the figures are true,it doesn’t say a lot for our voters that Hillary’s popularity would even be close to the Republican candidate.
~~Vote Trump 2016~~ ~~Vote Trump 2016~~ ~~Vote Trump 2016~~
The stakes are high. With hillary, it’s more socialism, more special unearned privileges for whining minorities, more muzzies streaming in, higher taxes for the productive ones, special status for muzliym countries, more weakening of the military, more destruction of the basic principles on which the country was founded.
I’d be willing to bet that Trump is under-polling right now, and that he’s probably more likely at 44-46 percent. In the primaries starting with NY to IN, he over-performed his Real Clear Politics average by 9 percentage points. Hillary has been shown to be a rather weak candidate, since Sanders has won 20 states, and over-all democrat turnout is down about 35 percent, even with the enthusiasm generated by Sanders. If it weren’t for Sanders, democrat turnout would probably be down 50 percent or more.
“State by state breakdown is what really matters.”
BREAKING NEWS: We are not IDIOTS on this site and we know that the Electoral College is the ultimate arbitrator of elections.
If you don’t want to give this poll credibility, fine - that is YOUR PROBLEM - and you should choose not to comment. But the poll matches other polls and TOTALLY DISCREDITS what Billy Crystal and other GOPe’s have been saying, which is that Trump will get destroyed. Therefore the poll has MERIT and trolling here to try to discredit Trump’s rise goes against JR’s directives, and this is HIS SITE.
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