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The GOP’s electoral-map problem is not about Trump. It’s about demographics.
Washington Post ^ | May 8, 2016 | Chris Cillizza

Posted on 05/08/2016 5:28:25 PM PDT by Innovative

Republicans have a major electoral-map problem in November. Major.

Donald Trump’s victory last week in Indiana’s primary not only effectively sealed the GOP nomination for the real estate billionaire but also brought into sharp relief how difficult it will be for any Republican to get to 270 electoral votes and beat Hillary Clinton to become the 45th president this fall.

Start here: Eighteen states plus the District of Columbia have voted for the Democratic presidential nominee in every election between 1992 and 2012. Add them up, and you get 242 electoral votes.

(Excerpt) Read more at washingtonpost.com ...


TOPICS: News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: New York
KEYWORDS: 2016election; alreadyposted; brokenrecord; chriscillizza; demagogicparty; demographics; demography; demographyisdestiny; districtofcolumbia; doooooooooooooooomed; election2016; elections; generalelection; ilovetowhine; inyourheadrentfree; memebuilding; newyork; ntsa; partisanmediashill; partisanmediashills; presidentdonaldtrump; republicans; trump; waaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaah; washingtoncompost; washingtonpost
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To: kabar

>>>>Fact: It is legal immigration that is destroying the country and will make the Dems the permanent majority party. We could stop illegal immigration tomorrow and the Dems will still be the permanent majority party unless we reduce legal immigration down from 1.1 million a year to 200,000, i.e., historic levels.

You are correct sir!


61 posted on 05/08/2016 9:08:07 PM PDT by Ultima
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To: All
So tell me again why we have 700,000+ constituents per representative? This would be a non-issue if the ratio was 100,000:1 or even 50,000:1.

Plus the Federalist papers 55 and 56 promised that there would be one Rep for every 30,000 people. These yahoos have waaaay too much power Thirty Thousand
62 posted on 05/08/2016 9:21:17 PM PDT by tenger (Abortion is not stopped because politicians don't want it stopped.)
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To: Innovative

WHITE VOTE IN PRESIDENTIAL ELECTIONS

2012: 72% of electorate, Romney 59, Obama 39

2008: 74% of electorate, McCain 55, Obama 43

2004: 77% of electorate, Bush 58, Kerry 41

2000: 81% of electorate, Bush 55, Gore 42

1996: 83% of electorate, Dole 46, Clinton 44 (Perot 9)

1992: 87% of electorate, Bush 41, Clinton 39 (Perot 21)

1988: 85% of electorate, Bush 60, Dukakis 40

1984: 86% of electorate, Reagan 66, Mondale 34

1980: 88% of electorate, Reagan 56, Carter 36 (Anderson 8)

1976: 89% of electorate, Ford 52, Carter 48

AVERAGE DEMOCRATIC WHITE VOTE SHARE: 40.6%


63 posted on 05/08/2016 9:38:18 PM PDT by Ultima
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To: Fast Ed97

Well I was told by the so-called conservatives—15 years ago- how great “robust” immigration was for the cause.

I was told that Mexican illegal immigrants are pro-life and are a natural fit for the Republican party. I was also told that they would never be Democrats because Blacks are overwhelmingly Democrat and the two interest groups don’t get along.

Oh well. Thanks Medved, Bush et al!
___________

Bingo.


64 posted on 05/08/2016 9:47:54 PM PDT by The Continental Op
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To: Fast Ed97

Americans of all shapes, sizes and colors are realizing what a crock we were sold with immigration, and are now fueling the Trump campaign. They realize this is a losing deal for the average American financially, as many of these immigrants have all of their bills paid by the dwindling pool of American taxpayers, and that the pool of American taxpayers is dwindling because of the jobs taken by immigrants.

We were sold out by the Republocrats years ago, and there is simply no way to hide it anymore.


65 posted on 05/09/2016 4:06:43 AM PDT by kearnyirish2 (Affirmative action is economic warfare against white males (and therefore white families).)
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To: kabar
Right, because every last one of them is going to show up on Election Day, and every last one of them will vote against Trump.

Get your head out of your ass.

66 posted on 05/09/2016 4:09:11 AM PDT by SunkenCiv (Here's to the day the forensics people scrape what's left of Putin off the ceiling of his limo.)
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To: SunkenCiv

Denial ain’t just a river in Egypt. Demography is destiny.


67 posted on 05/09/2016 4:33:07 AM PDT by kabar
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To: Innovative

If Trump DOESN’T win it will be the start of the breakup of the United States of America.

Trump’s dominance of the Republican Primary clearly shows there is a huge segment of America that understands their consent is no longer sought by those who govern, and they are no longer satisfied to be the storehouse from which government distributes favor.


68 posted on 05/09/2016 4:45:22 AM PDT by papertyger (-/\/\/\-)
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To: Innovative

How about instead of “The GOP’s electoral-map problem is not about Trump. It’s about demographics.”:
“Demographics won’t save Democrats’ worst candidate in history”?


69 posted on 05/09/2016 5:27:33 AM PDT by jmaroneps37 (Conservatism is truth. Liberalism is lies.)
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To: Parley Baer
And with all the illegals coming in the demographics will continue to change in the dimoKKKRATS favor. This may well be out last chance to do something about it.

Exactly. Right here, right now, immigration and the demographics changes it produces is the major political issue.

Nothing else matters right now

If we do not get a lid on immigration, then no conservative will ever be electable in the future. The Dems will be free to implement their entire agenda, without opposition, and any voiced opposition will be prosecuted as hate speech.
70 posted on 05/09/2016 5:32:41 AM PDT by PapaBear3625 (Big government is attractive to those who think that THEY will be in control of it.)
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To: kabar
The Winds of Political Change... And Why You Almost Never Feel Them Coming
American Heritage | February/March 2005 | Kevin Baker
"This was the greatest vote, the greatest margin and the greatest percentage (61 percent) that any President had ever drawn from the American people; we shall live long before we see its like again," the inventor of the modern campaign chronicle, Theodore H. White, wrote after Lyndon Johnson's lopsided triumph over Barry Goldwater in 1964. In fact we would see its like again twice in the next 20 years, and from the Republican side, as Richard Nixon and Ronald Reagan swamped their opponents in 1972 and 1984, respectively... Those gripped by either despair or euphoria over the 2004 election might want to reflect on how quickly, and unforeseeably, political fortunes have changed in the past. As to just what the next catalytic shock will be, and how it will affect the 2008 election, I would be happy to make my own predictions. Just come see me 20 or 30 years from now.

71 posted on 05/09/2016 6:06:53 AM PDT by SunkenCiv (Here's to the day the forensics people scrape what's left of Putin off the ceiling of his limo.)
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To: SunkenCiv

We are not the same country as 1970. In 1970, 1 in 21 was foreign-born; today, it is less than 1 in 8, the highest in 105 years; and within a decade, it will be 1 in 7, the highest in our history.

On this thread I have provided many charts and graphs showing the rapidly changing demographics and the impact on electoral politics. These are facts. Ignore them at your peril.


72 posted on 05/09/2016 7:05:24 AM PDT by kabar
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To: God luvs America
funny thing- demographics played no part in 2010 and 2014 just 2008 and 2012 when they gave us crap candidates...
That's ridiculous. If in 2008, America had the demographics of 1980, McCain would have won. Romney would have had an even easier time.
73 posted on 05/09/2016 4:07:05 PM PDT by rmlew ("Mosques are our barracks, minarets our bayonets, domes our helmets, the believers our soldiers.")
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To: SunkenCiv
Off-topic tidbit -- Eisenhower was the first Republican president since Ulysses S. (Hiram Ulysses, really) Grant to be elected to two terms in his own right (iow, not as VP succeeding the POTUS dying in office) and serve them out.
No. Eisenhower was the first Republican since Grant to serve his full two terms. William McKinley was assassinated in 1901, while serving his second term.
74 posted on 05/09/2016 4:13:43 PM PDT by rmlew ("Mosques are our barracks, minarets our bayonets, domes our helmets, the believers our soldiers.")
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To: rmlew

> Grant to be elected to two terms in his own right (iow, not as VP succeeding the POTUS dying in office) and serve them out.

IOW, yes, what I said is correct.


75 posted on 05/10/2016 1:10:31 AM PDT by SunkenCiv (Here's to the day the forensics people scrape what's left of Putin off the ceiling of his limo.)
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