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Trump: 82% Chance of Winning Indiana
538 ^ | 4/23/2016 | Nate Silver

Posted on 04/23/2016 7:19:43 AM PDT by usafa92

Just the link to 538

(Excerpt) Read more at projects.fivethirtyeight.com ...


TOPICS: Breaking News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: Indiana
KEYWORDS: 51atlink; 51percentchance; carrier; cruz; polls; trump
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To: WildHighlander57

Cruz camp out knocking on doors today in my community here in Indiana. I was outside working in my side yard garden. There were 2 young ladies that stopped and spoke with my husband. Hubby said that he would be voting for Trump and that Cruz was a liar and could not be trusted. He then called him Lyin’Ted!!! Of course they wanted to tell him all about how wonderful Cruz was. They asked my husband who is your wife going to vote for and he told them we were both voting for Trump. Oh, they just could not believe it and wanted to talk to me. Hubby was afraid to tell them I was just in the side yard around the corner of the house. He knows I am all in for Trump and that this conversation would not end well. We have a lot of Church groups that go door to door in our community. I saw them walking away from the house and scrunched down behind a tall shrub thinking they were from one of these groups. Darn-I wish I had known-I would have loved to talk with them!!


141 posted on 04/23/2016 12:05:01 PM PDT by maria60 (/)
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To: Drew68

What? Ted says it himself in the video!! Do you think he’s lying about that too?


142 posted on 04/23/2016 12:07:12 PM PDT by dynoman (Objectivity is the essence of intelligence. - Marilyn vos Savant)
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To: usafa92

TTTT!


143 posted on 04/23/2016 12:12:49 PM PDT by Salvation ("With God all things are possible." Matthew 19:26)
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To: fireman15

Cocaine really came to our community in the late 70’s then of course crack was like a bi-product. Before that, the area was flooded with cheap heroin and meth. Not many people talk or know much about Meth, but it’s really a cruel drug. It’s sad to hear even now that heroin and Meth ar making a comeback.


144 posted on 04/23/2016 12:14:10 PM PDT by MaxistheBest
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To: usafa92

Good grief. Cruz is tanking at mach speed, now.

He better redeem himself quickly, and graciously get out fast to salvage himself in public opinion. A little grace and humility could go along way.

People are fuming.


145 posted on 04/23/2016 12:14:23 PM PDT by RitaOK ( VIVA CRISTO REY / Public education is the farm team for more Marxists coming)
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To: RitaOK

“Good grief. Cruz is tanking at mach speed, now.”

I think that the aura around Ted has worn off. People are paying more attention to the election now and I believe the more people learn about him and see him, the more they dislike him.

A lot of his story has holes in it. Especially his legal career that he and his campaign highlight. It’s not all you might think it is. More times than not, he was not the champion he makes himself out to be.

Even the Heller case, which his supporters here brag on about, that Ted, single handedly saved the gun rights of Americans is smoke and mirrors. He wrote one of the 70 legal briefs in the case and by all accounts was not a factor in the decision.

http://www.thetrace.org/2016/02/ted-cruz-gun-rights-record/


146 posted on 04/23/2016 12:23:54 PM PDT by MaxistheBest
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To: thoughtomator

Meds is what you are all about, dipshit.


147 posted on 04/23/2016 12:25:38 PM PDT by SaraJohnson
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To: thoughtomator

W/respect, when one has to explain what a word, phrase or sentence means; one is rationalizing its meaning, as the words DO NOT speak for themselves. All men are NOT equal, and never were, since Adam.
As for equality in the moral sense, the Almighty endowed each of us w/a Soul which has made each of us unique for eternity; the astonishing miracle of creation.
It is incumbent upon Conservatives to speak ageless truth unvarnished by the malarkey that is the language of the political assholery that infests DC.


148 posted on 04/23/2016 12:26:51 PM PDT by Arrian
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To: thoughtomator

We are not talking about you using drugs. I have no idea. We are talking about you promoting the use of drugs. I tkae no drugs legal or otherwise. How about you? Don’t lie.


149 posted on 04/23/2016 12:27:21 PM PDT by SaraJohnson
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To: Donglalinger

Scooby is a Cruz supporter?


150 posted on 04/23/2016 12:30:49 PM PDT by BigEdLB (Take it Easy, Chuck. I'm Not Taking it Back -- Donald Trump)
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To: thoughtomator

I take it the answer is ‘no’.


151 posted on 04/23/2016 12:33:21 PM PDT by Hoodat (Article 4, Sec. 4)
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To: Hoodat
So how much time have you spend inside a crack house at night with no electricity?

Never had the pleasure myself.

This discussion is going off the rails. In general I respect a no drugs ever guy like Trump more than I respect a pothead - and I think pot should be legal. Not all virtues should be mandatory. Cocaine and heroin can actually kill you dead on the spot, which is a whole different level. If you believe in federal food and drug safety laws outlawing cocaine follows logically.

If you're a federalist/state's rights conservative the argument isn't so clear cut. Under federalism it's unlikely that most drugs would remain illegal in every state.

I'm not ready to endorse New Deal definitions of the limits of federal power just to stop every potential overdose. Leave it to the states.

152 posted on 04/23/2016 12:35:05 PM PDT by MaxFlint
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To: dynoman
What? Ted says it himself in the video!! Do you think he’s lying about that too?

I just don't see Ted Cruz as being the type of person who while in college was ever invited anywhere where cocaine was present much less having anyone offer to share a bump with him.

So, yeah, I think he's full of it.

153 posted on 04/23/2016 12:36:56 PM PDT by Drew68
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To: dp0622

What does your tag line mean? Unless you are making fun of people like Thurston Howell III from Gilligan’s Island I don’t see your point. Are you advocating for class warfare against conservatives from older, established families?


154 posted on 04/23/2016 12:38:57 PM PDT by Piranha (Power is not only what you have but what the enemy thinks you have - Saul Alinsky)
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To: usafa92
Most polls were done before the New York Rout
155 posted on 04/23/2016 12:39:28 PM PDT by stocksthatgoup (GOPe/MSM - "When we want your opinion, we will give it to you.")
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To: dowcaet; Aria; Jane Long

I think you’re on to something.

Read where Cruz was elected to the Senate with only 4% of the vote, in TEXAS. Is that right, Jane?

He worked the same tactical path in TEXAS that he’s using now. In TEXAS, he simply corralled the religious zealots, holy rollers, Evangelicals, and the Republican activist base, enough to just hold his opponent under 50% and force a run off— one that wouldn’t come around until some week day in the middle of summer heat, and guaranteeing a low turn out.

Now he thinks he should be a president, therefore.

It is just TOO eerie how some candidates, like Hillary, Obama and Cruz shaped their whole life for gaining the presidency. I don’t like that biographical history on a candidate. It is too surreal when they pull it off. (said shuttering, and chills.)


156 posted on 04/23/2016 12:40:16 PM PDT by RitaOK ( VIVA CRISTO REY / Public education is the farm team for more Marxists coming)
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To: SaraJohnson

I’m not promoting the use of drugs, except for you specifically and your anger management condition.


157 posted on 04/23/2016 12:40:20 PM PDT by thoughtomator
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To: Hoodat

The answer is that if you’re going to apply the standards of inner-city crack addicts to the entire US population, you’re so far from having a rational discussion that I can’t take you seriously.

I will note that a trillion dollars wasted on the war on drugs has done exactly nothing to reduce any of the issues you raised. Zero. Total waste.


158 posted on 04/23/2016 12:41:43 PM PDT by thoughtomator
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To: dynoman

Wow.


159 posted on 04/23/2016 12:45:42 PM PDT by Duchess47 ("One day I will leave this world and dream myself to Reality" Crazy Horse)
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To: usafa92
"On the Banks of the Wabash, Far Away"

From Tennesseans to all our Indiana Trumpsters--and your Indiana Homeland Far Away!

160 posted on 04/23/2016 12:49:52 PM PDT by gg188 (Ted Cruz, R - Goldman Sachs)
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