Posted on 04/09/2016 7:37:35 AM PDT by mandaladon
(Reuters) - A third of Republican voters who support Donald Trump could turn their backs on their party in November's presidential election if he is denied the nomination in a contested convention, according to a Reuters/Ipsos poll.
The results are bad news for Trump's rivals as well as party elites opposed to the real estate billionaire, suggesting that an alternative Republican nominee for the Nov. 8 presidential race would have a tougher road against the Democrats.
"If it’s a close election, this is devastating news" for the Republicans, said Donald Green, an expert on election turnout at Columbia University.
The Reuters/Ipsos poll conducted March 30 to April 8 asked Trump’s Republican supporters two questions: if Trump wins the most delegates in the primaries but loses the nomination, what would they do on Election Day, and how would it impact their relationship with the Republican Party?
Sixty-six percent said they would vote for the candidate who eventually wins the nomination, while the remaining third were split between a number of alternatives such as not voting, supporting a third-party candidate, and switching parties and voting for the Democratic nominee.
Meanwhile, 58 percent said they would remain with the Republican Party. Another 16 percent said they would leave it, and 26 percent said they did not know what they would do with their registration. The online poll of 468 Republican Trump supporters has a credibility interval of 5.3 percentage points.
(Excerpt) Read more at yahoo.com ...
I’d say we’re about 3/4 the way there. More like 95% if Obama gets another pick.
What is Trumpism?
Your math stinks. Take a look at an Electoral Vote map overlay onto the current delegation map. Cruz still has many minor (3-6 EV wins) and one biggie. He would lose key battleground states and some of the South. There is not a path for GE victory in November.
You think that building a wall, deporting illegals, leveling the playing field on trade, reining in the deficit are “DEM” ideals. You think that halting the importation of terrorists and the M.E. invasion to American soil is a bad thing.
Your dude was mum on all those issues until Trump gained some yuge traction.
But somehow pushing Amnesty and TPA through Congress, giving potus’44 what ever he wants for peace deals, siding with the BLM over our 1st amendment rights are all “Conservative” traits? I guess Trumpism makes us all flaming liberals and not true Conservatives in your small book.
And I’m not even mentioning that your dude would be challenged and DQ’d when the DNC got a whole of him. He is not a NBC and should have gotten himself either a Hawaiian BC or a resolution (nothing-letter) from Congress like the previous actor-McCain.
Oh, I don't know about that. If Trump is the nominee, I think that could damage lots of good conservatives down-ticket, by unfair association with Trump. You may see many Republicans distancing themselves from Trump, if they perceive he is electoral poison. Trump being the Republican standard-bearer could lead to a Democratic sweep of landslide proportions, all across the country. That's the problem of Trump's extraordinarily high unfavorables with most of the country.
Could Hurt republicans?
Why do people continue to assume republicans want to win?
Honestly. Good luck with that. But I don’t see it.
I think there is zero evidence that your supposition: If we endorse Trump, it will forever tarnish the GOP and alienate the Republican Party from most American voters is true.
Actually the opposite is true. Trump is a populist and his ascendancy is a sign that the GOPe Establishment grip has loosened if not failed completely.
You are over analyzing things.
Love this, so hard to get a Third party allowed. Repubs and Dems have seen to it.
Can Cruz supporters not see that unity on our side and stopping the backbiting against Trump would significantly change that? He’s taking fire from ALL sides. Millions of dollars are being spent on ads from his own damn party.
Cruz looks better in polls NOW, but the Democrats can and will slice through him like butter. Have you seen the videos of his father? Have you heard about the guy he campaigned with who wants to kill gay people? Hell, the media will have you thinking he’s ISIS by the time they’re done. And that’s just one attack vector. There are many more.
Trump, however, is a few speeches and an interview with Megyn Kelly away from turning around a lot of perceptions about him. That is, IF the NeverTrump BS stops on our side.
He's not?
Checked Cruz’s unfavorables? Last poll they were 59%. The infighting is killing the Republican brand.
Well, then you haven’t been looking very hard.
Absolutely because there were very few of you. The majority were unable to attend. You had people working in hospitals, cops, fire departments, military all ousted from participating and that just a start. It is a horrible way to have a primary.
Not quite. Maybe Taliban. :p
If the voters, in general, think the GOPestablishment screwed Trump out of the nomination, the GOP will likely lose the Senate in 2016, as well as the White House. And the House will likely change by 2018.
The GOP has 24 Senate seats up, while the Dems have 10. A change in 7 Senate seats will swing the majority. And 7 out of 34 is probably do-able, if voter retribution is in play by the November election.
But, hey, they are called The Party of Stupid for a reason: they earn it.
I think that’s what the GOPe is thinking.
Cruz losing the trump votes will not result in winning the general. No way! We can’t nominate a guy whose won 4 states with voters especially since he’s lost all the purple states. So you are going to take away the nomination from a guy who will have at least 1100 and give it to a guy with 515 after Cruz loses the northeast? Republicans can’t be that stupid.
Shame. Liked the image before reality set in. That’s the story of the lat 30 years.
So was 2012. How'd that work out?
You never know, it will be fun to see their “gravy train” end.
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