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* LIVE TUE 3/22 ELECTION THREAD (AZ and UT)
Self | 3/22 | tatown

Posted on 03/22/2016 4:55:42 AM PDT by tatown

AZ - 58 delegates (Winner Take All)

UT - 40 delegates (Proportional, WTA > 50%)


TOPICS: Breaking News; Politics/Elections; US: Arizona; US: Utah
KEYWORDS: americansamoa; arizona; arizonaprimary; az2016; cruz; livearizonaprimary; liveutahcaucus; primary; trump; ut2016; utah; utahcaucus
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To: goldstategop

I don’t think Trump will win Utah out right
But I also don’t think that Ted will win at a rate over 50% which is what he needs to get all the delegates.
The Mormons that I know who are missionaries think Cruz is a fraud.
They’re pretty devout for Mormons. There’s also a lot of devout Mormons in Arizona percentage wise and they have a substantial number that support Trump
I think Ted will get more than 50% of the Mormons in Utah but I don’t think he’ll get that much in the entire state.
If he does it’s no big deal because 40 is still less than 58.
But I suspect he’ll win with just under 40% and Trump has momentum and support from other conservatives in the state.
I think he and the other category candidate together will total enough support to keep Cruz from reaching his goal.
The crap about NATO and blaming the attack today on Trump was stupid and everybody’s book. I even heard Dana Loesch spouting it a little tonight.
And she’s a GOP establishment Lackey. Ted Cruz is toast and I do think he will win in Nevada but not with enough to take all the delegates. I heard him predicting on Hannity that he had a very good chance of winning Arizona.
That is delusional thinking.


1,061 posted on 03/22/2016 10:15:10 PM PDT by MIA_eccl1212 (When you see a drowning liberal, throw them the anchor...)
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To: Red Steel

I think so too. Anything else is media spin..and wishful thinking. I just don’t see how he doesn’t get to 1,237.


1,062 posted on 03/22/2016 10:15:15 PM PDT by Shortstop7
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To: RitaOK; onyx; kiryandil
How do you do that!

Years of battling liberals online and seeing their talking points over and over and over again. I've been a lurker here on Free Republic since 1998 but when I got so tired of dealing with liberals or statists, I joined in 2013 where it's far more civil. I know there are spats here and there but it's so much better here than out there on the world wide webs.

I also come to the conclusion with 0bama and the whole liberal statist culture, including the uniparty, that has come to rise in America and with the massive debt that is a result (among other problems), it all has been a complete failure. With the leftist's failed agenda, I figured they should no longer get a voice in shaping America as they are on the verge of ruining it.

CGato

1,063 posted on 03/22/2016 10:15:18 PM PDT by Conservative Gato
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To: HamiltonJay

I think you have that right regarding contested convention = political theater.


1,064 posted on 03/22/2016 10:15:38 PM PDT by antceecee (Bless us Lord, forgive us our sins and bring us to everlasting life.)
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To: Iowa David; Irish Eyes
It was an anti Trump SuperPac.


SO WHAT?

CRUZ is responsible! He has arrogantly so stated!

Rafael Cruz:

“A candidate bears responsibility for the culture of a campaign.”


1,065 posted on 03/22/2016 10:15:58 PM PDT by onyx (You're here posting, so sign-up to DONATE MONTHLY!)
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To: Greetings_Puny_Humans

Lol. I was expecting to be attacked with a flame thrower for giving a foreigner’s opinion. We had a famous cricket playee in Australia called ‘The Don’. A real legend. Donald Trump is a legend too. Go Donald. All the way to the Whitehouse. He’ll have to fumigate the place when he gets there.


1,066 posted on 03/22/2016 10:16:01 PM PDT by Long Jon No Silver
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To: TontoKowalski

It is a gamble for his credibility.

What credibility. He could not even help his brother.


1,067 posted on 03/22/2016 10:16:21 PM PDT by Mouton (The insurrection laws maintain the status quo now.)
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To: Mouton

LOL> GOP picked the wrong horse again.


1,068 posted on 03/22/2016 10:16:52 PM PDT by Shortstop7
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To: entropy12

Press already Starting to spin UT as a momentum shift in the race... which is garbage, but I told you that was going to be story they would spin.

The momentum hasn’t shifted until you see someone other than Trump win a large population primary state that wasn’t their home state.

Until that happens, nothing has changed... Cruz should win the last few western states, and lose pretty much everywhere else. Kasich won’t see another win at all.


1,069 posted on 03/22/2016 10:17:11 PM PDT by HamiltonJay
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To: Red Steel

I thought 54 of Pennsylvania delegates are uncommitted also many are WTA by congressional district.


1,070 posted on 03/22/2016 10:17:19 PM PDT by Iowa David (Cruz 2016 - Before it's too late)
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To: MIA_eccl1212

<3


1,071 posted on 03/22/2016 10:17:57 PM PDT by antceecee (Bless us Lord, forgive us our sins and bring us to everlasting life.)
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To: onyx
I’m telling y’all, I am losing my mind with all this 24/7 politic’n.

I know what you mean. I have never followed a primary this closely. It has been an education to say the least.

On my second Single Barrel with water. I will be up for a bit longer. Baking bread for my wife to take into a family (Bruderhof) tomorrow. She diagnosed it right (sadly) again. From her office, to the ER and immediately to surgery.

I bake great bread, however I am ketogenic (don't eat it). It will be finished in time for the results.

Everyone I know says the same thing. They have never been this engaged before.

Oh. The Uniparty is dead (both democrat and republican) to all that is following it.

Interesting times we live in.
1,072 posted on 03/22/2016 10:18:21 PM PDT by PA Engineer (Liberate America from the Occupation Media. #2ndAmendmentMatters)
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To: Mom MD

The dynamics of the general election will likely be the same as the primaries, insider vs. outsider.

There is no way Clinton can reinvent herself as an outsider.

I truly believe Trump would crush Clinton. But, a more interesting question is why Sen Sanders is still in the race?

Answer.....If there is an indictment....


1,073 posted on 03/22/2016 10:18:58 PM PDT by Rational Thought
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To: onyx
ONYX...

1:16 A.M. AND NO TRUMP SPEECH AS OF YET...HAD TWO TV'S GOING AND REMOTE FLIPPING...DRIVING MY FUR BABIES CRAZY, THEY FINALLY FELL ASLEEP...

SO AM WONDERING IF HE WILL MAKE A SPEECH TONIGHT?
WHAT EVER..HE DID NOT EXPECT TO WIN IN UTAH, JUST WAS HOPING TO KEEP TEDDY UNDER 50%...ONLY ONE PERCENT IN SO HE STILL MAY BE ABLE TO DO THAT...THAT WOULD MAKE MY DAY...

OK...DON'T KNOW HOW LONG I’LL LAST HERE BEFORE SLEEP OVER COMES ME...

SO IN ADVANCE I'LL WISH ALL A BLESSED NIGHT'S SLEEP...HUGS FROM PENNSYLVANIA.

1,074 posted on 03/22/2016 10:18:58 PM PDT by haircutter
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To: Mom MD
Anyone who claims that Hillary "crushes" or even just "beats" Trump, has absolutely NO idea what they're talking about and is a political naif who has less than NO idea at all how to "count noses"!

First of all, in a head to head general election race, Trump takes N.Y. and other BLUE states, as well as Purple ones, which will unhinge Hillary completely!

The national polls for the general, especially this far out, are unmitigated, unalloyed CRAP!

1,075 posted on 03/22/2016 10:19:17 PM PDT by nopardons
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To: AmericanInTokyo

Well I certainly don’t want to see you unhappy, but I do think Cruz will fall short of the 50% mark.
If he breaks 50% then you can be happy... for now. But if he only gets 48% or a little less don’t be surprised.
In the long run this nomination is only going to go one way and that’s proably not Teddy’s way.


1,076 posted on 03/22/2016 10:19:25 PM PDT by MIA_eccl1212 (When you see a drowning liberal, throw them the anchor...)
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To: MIA_eccl1212

Will Trump do better in urban or outlying districts?


1,077 posted on 03/22/2016 10:19:29 PM PDT by Kenny
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To: CedarDave

Rove makes money by having donors, he had to tag with somebody to get money. Trump had already said no to him and his organisation. Cruz is ready to be whore of anyone who can give him some money.


1,078 posted on 03/22/2016 10:19:51 PM PDT by jennychase ( Vote Trump Or get Ready for President Hillary)
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To: onyx
He can't work with the SuperPac it is illegal if a candidate state saying Don't like that ad they get in big trouble
1,079 posted on 03/22/2016 10:20:14 PM PDT by Iowa David (Cruz 2016 - Before it's too late)
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To: Iowa David

PA the state delegates are bound to the winner of the state, the district delegates are unbound... so its a goofy and silly system.


1,080 posted on 03/22/2016 10:20:26 PM PDT by HamiltonJay
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