Posted on 03/22/2016 4:55:42 AM PDT by tatown
AZ - 58 delegates (Winner Take All)
UT - 40 delegates (Proportional, WTA > 50%)
I don’t think Trump will win Utah out right
But I also don’t think that Ted will win at a rate over 50% which is what he needs to get all the delegates.
The Mormons that I know who are missionaries think Cruz is a fraud.
They’re pretty devout for Mormons. There’s also a lot of devout Mormons in Arizona percentage wise and they have a substantial number that support Trump
I think Ted will get more than 50% of the Mormons in Utah but I don’t think he’ll get that much in the entire state.
If he does it’s no big deal because 40 is still less than 58.
But I suspect he’ll win with just under 40% and Trump has momentum and support from other conservatives in the state.
I think he and the other category candidate together will total enough support to keep Cruz from reaching his goal.
The crap about NATO and blaming the attack today on Trump was stupid and everybody’s book. I even heard Dana Loesch spouting it a little tonight.
And she’s a GOP establishment Lackey. Ted Cruz is toast and I do think he will win in Nevada but not with enough to take all the delegates. I heard him predicting on Hannity that he had a very good chance of winning Arizona.
That is delusional thinking.
I think so too. Anything else is media spin..and wishful thinking. I just don’t see how he doesn’t get to 1,237.
Years of battling liberals online and seeing their talking points over and over and over again. I've been a lurker here on Free Republic since 1998 but when I got so tired of dealing with liberals or statists, I joined in 2013 where it's far more civil. I know there are spats here and there but it's so much better here than out there on the world wide webs.
I also come to the conclusion with 0bama and the whole liberal statist culture, including the uniparty, that has come to rise in America and with the massive debt that is a result (among other problems), it all has been a complete failure. With the leftist's failed agenda, I figured they should no longer get a voice in shaping America as they are on the verge of ruining it.
CGato
I think you have that right regarding contested convention = political theater.
Rafael Cruz:
A candidate bears responsibility for the culture of a campaign.
Lol. I was expecting to be attacked with a flame thrower for giving a foreigner’s opinion. We had a famous cricket playee in Australia called ‘The Don’. A real legend. Donald Trump is a legend too. Go Donald. All the way to the Whitehouse. He’ll have to fumigate the place when he gets there.
It is a gamble for his credibility.
What credibility. He could not even help his brother.
LOL> GOP picked the wrong horse again.
Press already Starting to spin UT as a momentum shift in the race... which is garbage, but I told you that was going to be story they would spin.
The momentum hasn’t shifted until you see someone other than Trump win a large population primary state that wasn’t their home state.
Until that happens, nothing has changed... Cruz should win the last few western states, and lose pretty much everywhere else. Kasich won’t see another win at all.
I thought 54 of Pennsylvania delegates are uncommitted also many are WTA by congressional district.
<3
The dynamics of the general election will likely be the same as the primaries, insider vs. outsider.
There is no way Clinton can reinvent herself as an outsider.
I truly believe Trump would crush Clinton. But, a more interesting question is why Sen Sanders is still in the race?
Answer.....If there is an indictment....
1:16 A.M. AND NO TRUMP SPEECH AS OF YET...HAD TWO TV'S GOING AND REMOTE FLIPPING...DRIVING MY FUR BABIES CRAZY, THEY FINALLY FELL ASLEEP...
SO AM WONDERING IF HE WILL MAKE A SPEECH TONIGHT?
WHAT EVER..HE DID NOT EXPECT TO WIN IN UTAH, JUST WAS HOPING TO KEEP TEDDY UNDER 50%...ONLY ONE PERCENT IN SO HE STILL MAY BE ABLE TO DO THAT...THAT WOULD MAKE MY DAY...
OK...DON'T KNOW HOW LONG I’LL LAST HERE BEFORE SLEEP OVER COMES ME...
SO IN ADVANCE I'LL WISH ALL A BLESSED NIGHT'S SLEEP...HUGS FROM PENNSYLVANIA.
First of all, in a head to head general election race, Trump takes N.Y. and other BLUE states, as well as Purple ones, which will unhinge Hillary completely!
The national polls for the general, especially this far out, are unmitigated, unalloyed CRAP!
Well I certainly don’t want to see you unhappy, but I do think Cruz will fall short of the 50% mark.
If he breaks 50% then you can be happy... for now. But if he only gets 48% or a little less don’t be surprised.
In the long run this nomination is only going to go one way and that’s proably not Teddy’s way.
Will Trump do better in urban or outlying districts?
Rove makes money by having donors, he had to tag with somebody to get money. Trump had already said no to him and his organisation. Cruz is ready to be whore of anyone who can give him some money.
PA the state delegates are bound to the winner of the state, the district delegates are unbound... so its a goofy and silly system.
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