Posted on 03/09/2016 10:12:46 AM PST by SeekAndFind
Last night, Donald Trump called on Republicans to unite behind him and declared that only he could defeat Hillary Clinton. A new NBC/WSJ poll out this morning disputes that claim — although the general election is still a long way off. Trump loses to both Hillary and Bernie Sanders by double-digit margins in this sample of 1200 registered voters, but Marco Rubio and Ted Cruz look much more competitive:
Hillary Clinton or Bernie Sanders would handily defeat Donald Trump in a general election match-up, while a clash between Clinton and Texas Sen. Ted Cruz or Florida Sen. Marco Rubio would be a toss-up, according to a new NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll.
The poll shows that Trump, who frequently boasts in interviews and campaign appearances that he would beat Clinton in November, would lose a one-on-one contest against her by double digits. In a head-to-head fight, Clinton gets the support of 51 percent of registered voters compared to 38 percent for the real estate mogul.
For Sanders, the margin of victory would be even greater, the poll shows.
The Vermont senator gets 55 percent support in a hypothetical two-person race against Trump, while the GOP front-runner would get just 37 percent.
For the record, Rubio ties Hillary at 46%. while Cruz trails within the margin of error, 45/47. The pollsters didn’t ask about head-to-head matchups against Sanders for either of the two Republican Senators, which is too bad, as a Sanders nomination is still not out of the realm of possibility.
Readers should consider a couple of caveats in this poll. First, the sample leans toward desiring a Democratic president, 46/42, asked prior to the candidate questions (the sample overall is D+6). Second, head-to-head polling at this stage still carries a lot of emotional freight that may well disappear after the conventions, or at least diminish significantly. If Trump wins the nomination, he will have months to shift his approach for the general election and test whether he’s right about building a large coalition of disaffected non-Republicans.
However, the favorability numbers show why Trump struggles against the two Democrats, at least at this stage. Hillary gets a 38/51, or -13 favorability rating, in this poll; Sanders has a +7 at 43/36. Rubio has a -11 at 28/39, likely the product of his fierce and personal attacks on Trump, but Cruz does worse with -18 at 27/45. Trump, however, gets only 25/64 for a -39 rating, by far the worst in the field. Trump also does worst among all candidates for potential support in a general election at 32/67 (although not that far behind Cruz and Rubio), and also worst among Republican primary voters for support for the nomination at 56/43.
Given that, it’s hardly surprising that Trump does poorly in a general pool of registered voters — now, anyway. Would that change once the GOP infighting stops and Republicans accept Trump as the nominee? Maybe, but at that point the media will likely become entirely hostile to Trump and probably a lot less generous about air time, too. If Trump didn’t adjust by organizing effectively on the ground — and there’s still time to do that, especially with the RNC’s efforts already in place — then those negatives would likely drive Trump’s chances into the slim or none category.
Oh, that's easy. That would be Hillary.
“NBC/WSJ poll” - The only poll that ever showed Cruz in front of Trump nationally. Never happened and never will.
Well then no worries. Kaisch/Rubio knocked out Tuesday the Wall Street Journal polling indicates Cruz will walk right into the nomination and the Presidency.
Trump is a grotesque, and he will lose badly in November. The Trumpsters don’t believe this, but they are drunk on Kool Aid. Everyone else in both parties understands this.
"There is simply no possibility whatsoever of a majority of the American people actually choosing Obama to be their president. It is simply impossible and would never ever happen.. Ever... "
2012:
"There is simply no possibility whatsoever of a majority of the American people actually choosing Obama again to be their president. It is simply impossible and would never ever happen.. Ever... "
2016:
"There is simply no possibility whatsoever of a majority of the American people actually choosing Hillary to be their president. It is simply impossible and would never ever happen.. Ever..."
This is the same group that’s been wildly wrong the last three times. The poll’s a joke.
“I asked: Can you show me where a Cruz fan actually said that?”
If you dont want to browse, then just do a Google search. Geeze.
“The one thing poles have proven is most primary poles are less than precise.”
“Right up until he (Trump) fails in the primaries...
These numbers are meaningless...”
“I think he will outperform the polls, as is his usual going all the way back to when he ran for the US Senate in Texas.”
How many times have you posted this nonsense under different headlines?
Of course, you’re right about that. People tend to drink deeply of the kool-aid here. I can remember people thinking McCain’s selection of Palin absolutely guaranteed that he would beat Obama. People were certain of it. It’s probably the same fools comparing 1980 to this election when the circumstances are in no way similar. There’s no Iranian hostage crisis to erode Hillary’s numbers for month after month. Trump does not have Reagan’s genial personality to appeal to people once they get to know him better.
The media really hasn’t even started in on Trump yet. We’re going to see a borking like none that’s ever been seen before after Trump gets the nomination.
Psych ops - Just like Cruz saying he can/will beat Trump!-)
In their DREAMS!
Do you think he will/could win against cankles ?
NBC/WSJ is garbage. Fake push polls.
Their last poll showing a deadlocked three way GOP race should have had people laughing at them.
And let’s not forget that they overestimate Hillary’s appeal while consistently underestimating that of Trump.
If you conduct bad polling, you can make the numbers look however you want.
I don’t believe them for a second.
The WSJ/NBC Pro-Amnesty / Telemundo related orgs?
Trump will get trounced?
Ay AY ay!!!
Does any one really believe those two clowns could defeat Hillary when they can’t even win around the country?
In real life, Cruz is in the mid 20s and Boobio barely registers.
Now if they actually won, this kind of head to head matchup would be far more believable.
Personally as a Cruz supporter, when the AVERAGE of polls show a trend, I tend to think the trend shows something.
I can’t speak for other Cruz supporters but I find this to be true of most FReeper Cruz supporters.
We in general ( other than maybe a few here and there which you provided ) do not call into question the motives of pollsters when the results do not show the candidate we favor winning.
It is what it is and no amount of denying will change things.
A theory, leftists are doing an operation chaos in the gop primary. These same leftists are going on Conservative forums/talk radio to push for trump.
Or could it be that there really are people who detest and don’t trust Donald Trump? Trump will absolutely lose the women’s vote, probably worse than any candidate of all time. His base are the “get-eveners”. Sadly, this will result in POTUS Clinton.
Yep, you’re onto them. This ain’t polling. It’s pushing a narrative. Y’know, making stuff up.
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