SC Poll: Trump 32, Cruz 26, Rubio 20, Bush 10

The Weekly Standard ^ | Bill Kristol

[TBBT]

I've just heard from a political operative whom I've known a long time and whose integrity I trust. This person is working with an organization—not one of the campaigns—that was in the field (using a very reputable pollster) Wednesday night in South Carolina.

Here's what the pollster found:

[Intolerant in NJ]

I've just heard from a political operative whom I've known a long time and whose integrity I trust...oh no - not another one of Dick Morris's supersecret high power polls again.....

[LS]

Yeah. Just like New Hampshire. You do realize in two states Cruz has been beaten by 90,000 votes. That is a staggering number.

[SmokingJoe]

You do realize in two states Cruz has been beaten by 90,000 votes. That is a staggering number.

Let's see what it looks like after the SEC primaries March 1st which includes Texas with its huge population. 90,000 is nothing.

[longtermmemmory]

like George Will had the inside track because his wife worked for Walker?

[dartuser]

Yes, but on the other hand ... I would like to see the Trump/Cruz battle finish sooner rather than later.

[LS]

It’s “nothing” is our dude is losing. Yet when Trump lost IA by fewer than 5,000 it was monumental. So sad.

[CaptainK]

Kristol the prognosticator

Bill Kristol Verified account ‏@BillKristol

Bill Kristol Retweeted Dan McLaughlin

Absolutely right. And while Trump remains favorite, could slide to mid-20s, 1st could be closer than people expect.

Dan McLaughlin @baseballcrank Trump remains the favorite to win New Hampshire. Beyond that, hard to have any confidence predicting Tuesday night in GOP.

8:20 AM - 7 Feb 2016

[Bob434]

[[Did you happen to catch this SC focus group? Everyone thinks that Trump will win, but when asked they all say they’re voting for Ted Cruz!]]

Yeah but don’t put too much stock in that- they were saying the same thing in NH too- a reporter went around asking people who they were voting for and no one mentioned trump- but we saw that the early polls were actually pretty close to what actually happened-

It just depends on WHERE they are asking the question- are they asking in more liberal districts? Conservative only?

I’m no trumpie, but I’ve seen this scenario play out before where some reporters suggest the ‘people they speak to don’t support the leader In the polls’

I hope the focus group is correct- but I’m always leery of focus groups

[JediJones]

LOL, we’ll remember to consult you on whether a poll is “reliable” or not before posting any from now on. K thx bai.

[Grampa Dave]

( October 18, 2015 ) Kristol: Biden will get in Monday or Tuesday
Washington Examiner ^ | October 18, 2015 | Curt Mills
Posted on 11/19/2015, 9:14:46 PM by WilliamIII

Bill Kristol, editor of The Weekly Standard, made a bold pronouncement on ABC’s “This Week with George Stephanopoulos” Sunday, predicting Vice President Joe Biden will get in the race for president Monday or Tuesday.

“Joe Biden’s going to get in, I’m quite confident. I think he’ll get in tomorrow or Tuesday,” Kristol said. “I think he’ll go to Delaware, presumably, and he’ll announce in a state he represented for so many years, and I think he’ll be a strong candidate.”

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/3362782/posts

[Grampa Dave]

Weekly Standard founder Bill Kristol was once again the butt of the political joke on Tuesday after his latest faulty prediction — in this case, his take on the New Hampshire GOP presidential primary.

Last week, Kristol forecast a win for Sen. Marco Rubio (R-FL) with Sen. Ted Cruz (R-TX) not too far behind in second and Donald Trump and Ohio Gov. John Kasich bringing up the rear, tagging his Twitter prediction #NoGutsNoGlory, as seen below:

NH prediction, 5 days out: Rubio 25, Cruz 22, Trump 19, Kasich 17, others single digits. #NoGutsNoGlory

— Bill Kristol (@BillKristol) February 4, 2016

http://www.rawstory.com/2016/02/bill-kristol-blows-his-new-hampshire-primary-picks-and-twitter-wont-let-him-forget-it/

[Grampa Dave]

One more outstanding election prediction by the broken Kristol Ball:

December 17, 2006 - Bill Kristol predicted that Hillary Clinton would prevail in the Democratic primaries and Barack Obama didn’t have a chance. As he said on Fox News:

If [Hillary Clinton] gets a race against John Edwards and Barack Obama, she’s going to be the nominee. Gore is the only threat to her, then. … Barack Obama is not going to beat Hillary Clinton in a single Democratic primary. I’ll predict that right now.

http://www.thewire.com/politics/2011/06/giuliani-bill-kristol-and-bad-predictions-timeline/38655/