Posted on 02/09/2016 12:53:16 PM PST by Cincinatus' Wife
They might not make national headlines, but local endorsements in presidential primaries matter. According to the influential book "The Party Decides," such endorsements reveal party elites trying to come to a decision about which candidate they should mutually support. They are leading indicators of vote - and delegate - outcomes. In many ways, they are better at predicting how the race will turn out than opinion polls.
As we'll explain below, in New Hampshire, Ted Cruz has built up a commanding lead of these endorsements - especially compared with Marco Rubio and Donald Trump, which indicates a reservoir of strength that current polling might be missing.
This echoes our post from a week ago (before the caucus), in which we argued that Ted Cruz's underappreciated strength in Iowa endorsements - he led the field with more than a quarter of the sitting legislators' endorsements - could help him outperform the polling average. And indeed, he did.
On the other hand, there are many endorsements for candidates like Carly Fiorina and Chris Christie. The message is that of a Republican party in New Hampshire deeply divided between a more moderate wing supporting Fiorina and Christie, and a more libertarian wing that now is owned by Cruz (and was for Paul, when he was running).
(Excerpt) Read more at washingtonpost.com ...
New Hampshire SOS Election Info.
http://sos.nh.gov/2016ElecInfo.aspx
On February 5, 2016 Secretary Gardner announced his turnout prediction for the 2016 Presidential Primary Election as follows:
Republican Ballots Cast: 282,000 | Democratic Ballots Cast: 268,000 |
Registered Voters as of February 5, 2016 | 231,376 Democratic | 262,111 Republican | 389,472 Undeclared | TOTAL 882,959
Secretary of State Gardner, former State Senator and author of the First in the Nation Primary Protection Law (1975) Jim Splaine and Cyrus Gregg (son of the late Former Governor Hugh and Cay Gregg) met and unveiled a new piece of memorabilia commemorating the 100th anniversary of the Presidential Primary.
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WMUR TV has the following spread sheet of returns.
\\http://www.wmur.com/politics/2016-full-new-hampshire-presidential-primary-election-results/37649066
Good!
NHCMP BACKS CRUZ. The 3,000-member New Hampshire Conservative Majority Project is endorsing Ted Cruz for president. In an announcement, Chairman Kevin McHugh praised Cruz's conservative credentials and bashed Marco Rubio, saying that if he is elected, he would be "America's Angela Merkel."
Looks like they understand that Ted Cruz is truly the illegal immigrant's best friend.
WTF are you talking about? Off your meds again?
Hardly, just didn’t know what she was talking about like I stated
I donât often say bad things about Trump but when I do I wait til heâs not around to beat my azz. Then I deny it at the next debate. :-)
I suppose it was just mindless snark as you just posted.
If it's *Payless*, he has my vote! :D
Why donât you drop out now???
Guess what? Trump is going to beat your guy. Deal with it. I know it is embarrassing for you, but too bad. You were howling last week about the win for Cruz.....well it is Trump’s turn. You can hate it but that is the way it is and sorry for you but it is a long way to the next test....at least longer then a week. So Trump will be able to celebrate for quite a while.
NH is a small Godless state. Losing here is almost meaningless.
Hey did you hear the good news? Trump won NH and its yuge! :-)
Why don’t you grow up.
Sore. Cruzerman much? :-)
Yes much. Trump is a force of nature. Getting beat by Kasich is revolting! Why???
Obviously you take your tact from your candidate...
He’s a sore loser and your a sore winner... Goes hand in hand.
Looking forward to the take down Trump is going to take in SC and on Duper Tuesday.
NH is full of Massholes that do not like the Taxes that they voted for in MA.
Went to NH to avoid taxes, and then vote for the same sh*t.
The epitome of just plain stupid.
Sad.
You’re certainly not a gracious winner.
Its hard to realize you have backed a candidate that the GOP voting base is just not that excited about.
Eh, I wouldn’t count your chickens so quickly.
I’ll remind you your guy lost last week, he better have won NH as it is the northeast and quite liberal...
True, I would have enjoyed seeing his campaign die the quick death it deserves by Trump losing tonight, but I’ll settle for a few more weeks out.
Donald Trump, Mr. Liberal progressive narcissist has zero business being our nominee. The fact that any of you would support him is mind boggling, especially if you really are conservatives...
Given New Hampshire is quite liberal, I would not expect a solid conservative like Cruz to do well there...
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