Trump Leads Rubio by 11 Points on the Eve of the New Hampshire Primaries – 29-18%

Overtime Politics ^ | 2/8/16 | Fred

[BigEdLB]

New Hampshire goes to the polls tomorrow, and if the results look anything like the final Overtime Politics poll of the state, Donald Trump is going to get his first win of the election season. He currently leads Marco Rubio by 11 points – 29-18%.

There is a 10% viability threshold for receiving delegates, which means that Carly Fiorina, Ben Carson, and Chris Christie will probably miss out on taking any home. Jeb Bush may end up receiving delegates, depending on if he can outperform his poll projections, while Ted Cruz may miss out if he under-performs.

Donald Trump leads or is tied in almost every demographic category, making New Hampshire possibly a battle for second place. Marco Rubio seems to have a good grasp on the silver medal right now, assuming his debate performance did not hurt his chances much in the Granite State. John Kasich taking second place could provide a very interesting narrative, leading to a much more hotly contested Nevada and South Carolina race to see who will be the last establishment candidate left standing.

[BigEdLB]

[tennmountainman]

Rubio will finish well below 18%.
The bubble boy has a lot of air leaking out.

[DoughtyOne]

E L E C T I O N - B U L L E T I N

The national election center has issued an extreme election advisory for 02/09/2016 Conditions are such that Trumpnados are predicted for the vicinity of:
NEW HAMPSHIRE
Once you have voted please stay indoors and avoid the disappointed supporters other candidates.
Please tune to your local election center radio station for bulletins throughout the day.

[Blood of Tyrants]

The polls are all over the place showing one or the other in the runner up spots.

[MNDude]

These polls are all over the place.

[BigEdLB]

Final NH Analysis:

[WENDLE]

No way!! Trump will win by 1 vote and we will be so proud of him because this “build up to let down” is ploy. We know what you are doing Karl!! It is not going to work again. 1 vote more than the others wins — and then we go to the next 1 vote and you establishment basturds can to to hades !! Rubio was decapitated Saturday. Bush is a pu$$y. Go Trump, Go Cruz,Go Carson!! Wipe the “establishment” out of our party!! Christe is ok.

[napscoordinator]

I think it means first place.

[Zenjitsuman]

This is all wrong John Sununu and his Senator son know how to win in NH and Jeb will beat Rubio, and may even beat Kasich.

I think it will be Trump +12 over second place either Bush or Kasich, then Rubio in 4th and Cruz in 5th place.

All these 4 guys are grouped from 8% to 16% of the vote.
Jeb has Old Rino strength in SC. organizationally, but he is a poor candidate and won’t even win his home state of Florida.

I don’t think Jeb or Rubio can win being champions for Amnesty even in the liberal south of Florida, let alone in the south AK, AR, MS and southwest AZ, NM, TX, NV where illegals make people mad.

Jeb can raise cash because the donor class is scarred to crap over Trump because he can’t be bought off. Trump is a nationalist and this is his chance to save this country and I believe he is the real deal. Trump doesn’t go to DC to get rich. He is mega rich on his own.

[datricker]

Perhaps that an indication of turbidity in the decision making process.

It would be interesting to see based on historical data right before the start of voting to see if polls start darting wildly as many become engaged for the first time. Kinda like reving engines before a race. Modeling excitement,desire and motivation are rather tricky still might be fun.

There is a constant in this equation - we call it Trump.

[WENDLE]

Come on Freepers. We are adult— we are educated — we are not sheeple. Look at the sample. This crap is propaganda. They are using a ploy to show Trump up and then pump that he is “down’’. Look at it the sample segments!! “49” people = 18% give me a break!! I want a one vote win. I coached baseball for a decade. The greatest victory was 1 run. GO TRUMP !! We are going to Pennsylvania avenue with you.

[onona]

Polls don’t mean squat. Especially in NH

[Parley Baer]

“These polls are all over the place.”

They sure are. Pick you poll and pick your 2nd place candidate. However Trump remains far ahead in 1st place on all the polls. GO TRUMP GO

[onona]

Take a deep, cleansing breath....

[nascarnation]

Nice tan!

[datricker]

"Christie is okay"

Don't tell that to Senator Cruz's water boy Mark Levin.

As if on queue he switched from attacking Rubio (Fridays rant) to Governor Cristie - Cruz's next threat. You know why?

You know why Mark. Because Rubio takes votes from Trump.

Thats right I said it. Levin wants Rubio to still do well because it helps his Cruz.

Levin shilling has become shameful - anyone who has listened to him the last 3 - 4 weeks knows what I'm saying is true. Frankly I'm quite surprised how far off the Deep end he is going.

Quoting Leftists populations to attack Christie simultaneously calling him fat by saying he is wide as high. Although true Christie is super fat - this not what we expect from Levin. (First hour sometime after the half of the hour break I think).

I did not start disliking Cruz until Mark start whatever it is he is on.

Levin is doing everything he is accusing all the other campaigns are.

Shame on Mark he is way better then this

[Georgia Girl 2]

The Emerson poll has Rubio and Cruz duking it out for 3rd and 4th place.

[WENDLE]

Yes . I am fully oxygenated. Now I’m really mad at this propaganda!!

[Georgia Girl 2]

I will be surprised if Rubio is not hurt by the debate Sat. He really took a drubbing from Christie.

[WENDLE]

Here is the Mark Levin story. Political hack. Total cocktail party whore, like George will. It’s all about money from the Rino establishment. How does “Mark” make his fortunes. Let us see his tax returns and breakdown of all income sources. IMO it would be be very deflating for those of us to see. Levin is a joke and he is and will be off my radio dial forever.